No ve m b er 5 , 2 0 2 5 Q3'25 Earnings Presentation Important Information Forward-Looking Statements The information in this presentation includes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation, regarding our strategy, future operations, financial position, estimated revenues and losses, projecte ...

Core Insights - Permian Resources reported $1.32 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, an 8.7% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of $0.37 compared to $0.35 a year ago [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.34 billion, resulting in a surprise of -1.21%, while the EPS exceeded expectations by 23.33% [1] Financial Performance - Average daily net production was 410,225 BOE/D, surpassing the seven-analyst average estimate of 394,558.90 BOE/D [4] - Average daily net production for natural gas was 704,795 Mcf/D, exceeding the six-analyst average estimate of 684,861.60 Mcf/D [4] - Average daily net production for NGL was 105,822 BBL/D, compared to the six-analyst average estimate of 98,783.45 BBL/D [4] - Average daily net production for oil was 186,937 BBL/D, higher than the six-analyst average estimate of 181,975.20 BBL/D [4] Sales Prices and Revenue - Average sales price for gas, including derivative cash settlements, was $1.08, slightly above the $1.07 average estimate [4] - Average sales price for oil, including derivative cash settlements, was $66.97, compared to the five-analyst average estimate of $66.16 [4] - Net revenues from oil sales reached $1.11 billion, aligning closely with the three-analyst average estimate of $1.1 billion [4] - Net revenues from NGL sales were $170.39 million, exceeding the $158.34 million average estimate [4] - Net revenues from natural gas sales were $33.86 million, falling short of the $55.03 million average estimate [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Permian Resources have returned -1.4% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by 1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market [3]

Core Insights - Permian Resources reported quarterly earnings of $0.37 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.30 per share, and showing an increase from $0.35 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +23.33% [1] - The company generated revenues of $1.32 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, which was 1.21% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but an increase from $1.22 billion year-over-year [2] - The stock has underperformed the market, losing approximately 13.7% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 gained 15.1% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Permian Resources' stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the revisions of earnings estimates [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.27 on revenues of $1.31 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.29 on revenues of $5.22 billion [7] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry is currently ranked in the bottom 16% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment for companies in this sector [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor sentiment and stock performance [5]

Production and Sales - Average daily crude oil production increased by 6% to 186,937 Bbls/d in Q3 2025, with total production at 410,225 Boe/d[4] - The company increased its full-year oil production guidance by 3.0 MBbls/d to 181.5 MBbls/d and total production guidance by 9.0 MBoe/d to 394.0 MBoe/d[13] - Net average daily production guidance for 2025 is updated to 398,000 Boe/d, with oil production at 182,000 Bbls/d[27] - Oil sales for the three months ended September 30, 2025, reached $1,113,847 thousand, compared to $1,099,318 thousand in the same period of 2024[29] - Average daily net production for oil increased to 186,937 Bbls/d in Q3 2025, up from 160,801 Bbls/d in Q3 2024[29] - Average sales price for oil per Bbl in Q3 2025 was $64.77, down from $74.31 in Q3 2024[29] Financial Performance - Adjusted free cash flow for Q3 2025 was $469 million, with cash provided by operating activities at $766 million[6] - Net income attributable to Class A Common Stock for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $595,669 thousand, down from $768,051 thousand in 2024[33] - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $717.05 million, down from $995.03 million in the same period of 2024, representing a decrease of about 28%[37] - Adjusted EBITDAX for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $1.02 billion, compared to $904.98 million for the same period in 2024, indicating an increase of approximately 12.9%[41] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q3 2025 was $468,837,000, up from $302,691,000 in Q3 2024, representing a 55% increase[49] - Adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was $315,136,000, compared to $281,221,000 in Q3 2024, indicating a 12.1% increase[53] Capital Expenditures and Investments - Cash capital expenditures for Q3 2025 were $480 million, with drilling and completion costs reduced to approximately $725 per lateral foot, an 11% decrease from 2024[5] - Total cash capital expenditure program for 2025 is revised to $2,020 million, up from $1,920 million[27] - Year-to-date, the company has deployed over $800 million on high-quality acquisitions, continuing its disciplined acquisition strategy[12] Debt and Liquidity - Total debt was reduced by 11% quarter-over-quarter to $3.6 billion, with a leverage ratio of approximately 0.8x and total liquidity exceeding $2.6 billion[8] - Long-term debt decreased to $3.54 billion as of September 30, 2025, from $4.18 billion at December 31, 2024, a decrease of about 15.3%[35] - Net debt as of September 30, 2025, was $3.46 billion, with a net debt-to-LQA EBITDAX ratio of 0.8x, indicating a stable leverage position[43] Operating Expenses - Total controllable cash costs decreased by 6% quarter-over-quarter to $7.36 per Boe, driven by lower lease operating expenses[7] - Lease operating expenses per Boe decreased to $5.07 in Q3 2025 from $5.43 in Q3 2024[31] - Total operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, were $2,702,951 thousand, compared to $2,385,772 thousand in 2024[33] Dividends and Shareholder Returns - The board declared a base dividend of $0.15 per share, representing an annualized yield of 4.8%[15] Market and Pricing - The company expects approximately 75% of 2026 natural gas production to be priced at Gulf Coast and DFW markets, improving pricing by approximately $1 per Mcf relative to Waha[14] - The average price for crude oil swaps in Q4 2025 is $70.99 per barrel, with a total volume of 5,244,000 barrels[54] - The company has natural gas swaps for Q4 2025 at an average price of $4.02 per MMBtu, with a total volume of 15,180,000 MMBtu[55] Stock and Shares - The company reported a total of 807.94 million adjusted basic weighted average shares outstanding for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to 794.36 million in 2024, an increase of approximately 1.8%[46] - Adjusted diluted weighted average shares outstanding increased to 846,217 in Q3 2025 from 836,909 in Q3 2024[53] Management and Strategy - The company expects to internally fund future exploration and development activities through adjusted operating cash flow and adjusted free cash flow[48] - The company’s management believes adjusted financial measures provide meaningful indicators of actual sources and uses of capital associated with operations[48]

Core Insights - Approximately 38% of S&P 500 energy companies have reported Q3 2025 results, indicating noticeable challenges impacting earnings [1] - The Oil-Energy sector is experiencing mixed trends, with crude prices declining due to oversupply while natural gas prices are rising amid tighter supply and geopolitical tensions [2] Commodity Performance - Crude oil prices fell sharply in Q3 2025, with West Texas Intermediate averaging $65.74 per barrel, down 14% from $76.24 in Q3 2024, primarily due to oversupply as OPEC+ nations increased production by over 1.3 million barrels per day [3] - Natural gas prices rose significantly, with the Henry Hub spot price averaging $3.03 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), a 44% increase from $2.11 in Q3 2024, driven by supply disruptions and strong demand [5] Market Dynamics - Trade tensions between the U.S. and China, potential tariffs on imports from India, and softening industrial demand expectations contributed to bearish sentiment in the oil market [4] - Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East and concerns over tariffs on LNG equipment imports have further increased production costs, supporting the rise in natural gas prices [6] Earnings Outlook - The energy sector's Q3 2025 earnings are projected to decline by 4.9% year over year, despite a sequential improvement from a negative 16.9% in Q2 2025, with revenues expected to grow only 1% [7] - In contrast, the broader S&P 500 is expected to show earnings and revenue growth of 7.3%, highlighting the energy sector's role as a market drag [8] Company-Specific Insights - Key companies to watch include APA Corporation, Permian Resources Corporation, Energy Transfer, and Devon Energy Corporation, all facing challenges in delivering earnings beats [2][10] - APA Corporation's earnings estimate is 74 cents per share, indicating a 26% decrease year over year, with a Zacks Rank of 3 [12][13] - Permian Resources Corporation's earnings estimate is 30 cents per share, reflecting a 14.29% decrease year over year, also with a Zacks Rank of 3 [14] - Energy Transfer's earnings estimate is 33 cents per share, a 3.13% increase year over year, but it holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [15] - Devon Energy Corporation's earnings estimate is 93 cents per share, indicating a 15.45% decrease year over year, with a Zacks Rank of 3 [16]

Core Viewpoint - Permian Resources Corporation (NYSE:PR) is recognized as a strong investment opportunity, with UBS maintaining a Buy rating and a price target of $17 ahead of its Q3 earnings report scheduled for November 5 [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Permian Resources Corporation has demonstrated strong execution throughout 2025, leading to expectations of another robust operational update in its upcoming quarterly results [2]. - The company is enhancing its free cash flow through improvements in efficiency, which is anticipated to facilitate debt reduction [2]. Group 2: Competitive Position - Permian Resources Corporation is viewed as a top consolidator in the industry, boasting better well economics compared to many competitors [3]. - The company operates independently in the oil and natural gas sector, primarily within the Permian Basin, focusing on the core of the Delaware Basin [3].

Group 1 - Permian Resources Corporation (NYSE:PR) is considered one of the best large-cap stocks to buy under $20, with Piper Sandler raising the price target to $21 from $20 while maintaining an Overweight rating [1] - The focus on E&P companies includes improving intermediate-term oil sentiment and the secular growth story for natural gas demand, along with capital efficiency outlook for FY26 and expectations for continued M&A activity [2] - BofA Securities analyst maintained a Buy rating on Permian Resources with a price target of $15.00, highlighting its position as an independent oil and natural gas company in the US [3]

Core Viewpoint - Permian Resources Corporation is viewed positively by Wall Street analysts, with expectations of solid operational and financial results for Q3 2025, leading to increased price targets from RBC Capital and Mizuho Securities [1][2]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - RBC Capital raised the price target for Permian Resources to $18 from $17, maintaining an Outperform rating, citing expectations for consistent Q3 2025 results [1]. - Mizuho Securities analyst William Janela reiterated a Buy rating on Permian Resources shares, setting a price target of $19 [2]. Group 2: Company Overview and Operations - Permian Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on developing crude oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States [3]. - RBC Capital anticipates that the company will maintain its current activity pace, achieving low-single digit organic oil growth while improving capital efficiencies [2].

Group 1 - The article discusses the analysis of oil and gas companies, specifically focusing on Permian Resources and its valuation within the industry [1] - Permian Resources recently conducted a secondary offering by selling shareholders, which did not provide any net benefit to the company [2] - The company also purchased 2 million shares of treasury stock to mitigate the impact of the secondary offering [2] Group 2 - The oil and gas industry is characterized as a boom-bust, cyclical sector, requiring patience and experience for successful investment [2]

Group 1 - The overall market is considered to be in extremely overbought territory, yet market indexes are trading at or near all-time highs, showing resilience despite a government shutdown and a faltering jobs market [2][3] Group 2 - The Biotech Forum offers a model portfolio featuring 12-20 high upside biotech stocks, along with live chat for trade discussions and weekly research updates [3]