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Polestar Automotive Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
The Motley Fool· 2024-10-26 08:55
Company Overview - Polestar Automotive is an electric vehicle (EV) maker backed by Geely's Volvo, producing high-end EVs including the Polestar 2, Polestar 3, and Polestar 4 [2] - The company went public via a SPAC merger in June 2022, with its stock opening at nearly $13 but now trading at about $1.30 per share [1] - Polestar plans to launch the Polestar 5 GT and Polestar 6 electric roadster in 2025 and 2026, respectively [2] Financial Performance - Polestar's revenue fell 3% to $2.38 billion in 2023, while its net loss more than doubled from $466 million to $1.17 billion [3] - The company received a delisting warning from Nasdaq after its stock dipped below $1 [3] - Analysts expect revenue to rise 15% to $2.75 billion in 2024 and surge 146% to $6.77 billion in 2025, with net losses narrowing to $1.03 billion in 2025 [4] Deliveries and Market Expansion - Polestar's deliveries surged 80% to 51,491 vehicles in 2022 but only increased 6% to 54,626 vehicles in 2023 [2] - Deliveries declined 23% year-over-year to 32,300 vehicles in the first nine months of 2024 due to supply-chain constraints and software issues [2] - The company plans to enter seven new markets in 2025 and aims to deliver about 155,000 vehicles that year [4] Valuation and Growth Potential - Polestar trades at 1.6 times this year's sales and less than one times next year's sales, with an enterprise value of $4.52 billion [5] - The company believes it can achieve a positive gross margin by Q4 2024 and reach cash flow breakeven by the end of 2025 [5] Challenges and Risks - Polestar faces significant net debt of $2.79 billion and ended its latest quarter with only $669 million in cash and equivalents [6] - The company's reliance on Chinese manufacturing exposes it to rising tariffs on Chinese-made EVs in the U.S. and Europe [6] - Expanding production in the U.S. and South Korea could drive up operating costs and compress gross margins due to pricing pressure in the EV market [6] Strategic Outlook - Polestar's stock is considered risky due to its ambitious goals, high debt, and competitive pressures in the luxury EV market [7] - The company has not yet proven its ability to scale up its business or differentiate itself from high-end competitors [7]
Should You Buy Polestar Stock While It's Below $2.50?
The Motley Fool· 2024-10-13 10:41
Core Viewpoint - Polestar Automotive has undergone significant management changes and is attempting to recover from production delays and declining demand, with its stock price experiencing a notable increase since early August, although it remains substantially below its initial public offering price. Group 1: Company Challenges - Polestar has faced production delays and a decline in consumer demand, delivering only 54,600 vehicles last year against a target of 80,000, and experiencing a 27% drop in deliveries in the first half of this year with 20,371 vehicles delivered [4][2] - The company has been impacted by tariffs on Chinese-made vehicles, leading to a shift in production for its Polestar 3 to the United States and Polestar 4 to South Korea, facing tariffs of 20% for EU imports and over 100% for U.S. deliveries [5][2] - Compliance issues with Nasdaq listing rules have also posed challenges, with the company failing to meet reporting deadlines and being notified of non-compliance due to its share price falling below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days [6] Group 2: Management Changes - A new management team has been established, including a new CEO, CFO, head of design, and head of global communications, with the new CEO, Michael Lohscheller, having prior experience with other struggling EV makers [7] Group 3: Financial Performance - In the past year, Polestar earned approximately $2 billion but reported a net loss of $1.4 billion, ending the second quarter with around $669 million in cash and cash equivalents [8] - The company secured $300 million in funding in August and has taken on $1.3 billion in external financing this year, although it is still not fully funded [8] Group 4: Future Outlook - Polestar anticipates a stronger second half of the year, particularly in the fourth quarter, aiming to deliver 155,000 vehicles next year and achieve break-even cash flow [9]
Polestar(PSNY) - 2024 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2024-09-30 20:28
Financial Performance - Revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was $905.8 million, a decrease of 27% compared to $1,237.6 million for the same period in 2023[3] - Gross loss for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was $27.3 million, compared to a gross profit of $21.6 million in the same period of 2023[3] - Operating loss for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was $464.4 million, slightly improved from a loss of $497.5 million in 2023[3] - Net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was $539.5 million, compared to a net loss of $340.8 million in 2023, representing a 58% increase in losses[3] - Polestar reported a net loss of $539,485 thousand for the six months ended June 30, 2024, compared to a net loss of $340,830 thousand for the same period in 2023, indicating a 58.3% increase in losses year-over-year[13] - Negative operating and investing cash flows for the six months ended June 30, 2024, were $524,747 thousand, a decrease from $939,410 thousand in the same period of 2023, reflecting improved cash flow management[13] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of June 30, 2024, were $3.98 billion, down from $4.12 billion as of December 31, 2023[5] - Total equity increased to $1.82 billion as of June 30, 2024, from $1.26 billion at the end of 2023[5] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $668.9 million as of June 30, 2024, from $768.9 million at the end of 2023[5] - Current and non-current liabilities to credit institutions rose to $2,484,108 as of June 30, 2024, compared to $2,023,582 as of December 31, 2023, an increase of approximately 22.8%[53] - Total financial liabilities measured at amortized cost increased to $5,284,537 as of June 30, 2024, up from $4,684,997 as of December 31, 2023, reflecting a rise of about 12.8%[53] - The Group's total liabilities as of June 30, 2024, were $5,284,537,000, compared to $2,861,824,000 as of December 31, 2023, marking an increase of approximately 85%[54] Research and Development - Research and development expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2024, were $23.3 million, significantly reduced from $83.1 million in 2023[3] - The recognized asset associated with R&D agreements as of June 30, 2024, was $1,044,527, with acquisitions attributable to 2024 being approximately $60,768[73] Market Presence and Product Development - As of June 30, 2024, Polestar's vehicle lineup includes the PS2, PS3, and PS4 in production, while the PS5 and PS6 are under development, indicating ongoing product expansion[11] - The company operates in 27 markets across Europe, North America, and Asia, highlighting its global market presence[11] Financing and Liquidity - Polestar has secured long-term financing support from credit institutions and entered into multiple short-term working capital loan arrangements to meet liquidity targets[13] - The Group's total outstanding debt could lead to immediate calls from banks if certain covenants are breached, which are currently under discussion for waivers[64][66] - Polestar entered into an 11-month working capital loan for $196,000 with an interest rate of 7.8% per annum on August 2, 2024[81] Inventory and Sales - Vehicle sales amounted to $883,621 for the six months ended June 30, 2024, down from $1,208,791 in the prior year, reflecting a significant decline[27] - The Group's inventory as of June 30, 2024, was valued at $726,017,000, a decrease from $939,359,000 as of December 31, 2023, representing a decline of about 22.7%[58] - Inventories recognized as an expense during the six months ended June 30, 2024, totaled $969,844,000, compared to $1,155,622,000 in the same period of 2023, showing a decrease of approximately 16.1%[59] Related Party Transactions - Total revenue from related parties for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was $162,334, representing 17.9% of total revenue, compared to $78,310 (6.3%) for the same period in 2023[71] - Total purchases of goods, services, and other from related parties for the six months ended June 30, 2024, amounted to $640,893, down from $1,321,988 in 2023[72] Restatements and Adjustments - The restatement of financial statements revealed an increase in loss by $23,662 due to inventory-related errors[82] - The total revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2023, was restated to $1,237,635, reflecting an adjustment of $6,370[84] - The operating loss for the same period was restated to $(497,483), an increase of $23,732[84] - The net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2023, was adjusted to $(340,830), reflecting an increase of $27,795[86]
Is Polestar Automotive Stock a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2024-09-28 22:18
Core Points - Polestar reported an 82% sequential increase in car deliveries in Q2 2024, but this raises concerns about underlying issues [2][6] Group 1: Compliance and Leadership Changes - Polestar has regained compliance with Nasdaq after filing its Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023 [3] - The company delayed its 20-F filing due to the need for additional time to evaluate and quantify errors in historical financial statements [4] - Polestar has revamped its leadership team, hiring a new CEO, head of design, head of global communications, and a new CFO amid compliance issues [5] Group 2: Financial Performance - Polestar's revenues decreased by 17% year over year in Q2, attributed to lower global vehicle sales and higher discounts [6] - Gross profit fell from $900,000 to negative $2.4 million, indicating unsustainable production costs [7] - Research and development spending dropped by 76%, raising concerns about the company's commitment to innovation in a competitive market [8] Group 3: Losses and Market Position - Polestar reported a loss of $242.3 million in Q2, which is a 12% improvement compared to the same quarter in 2023 [9] - The company has never had a profitable year, compounded by accounting issues and significant management turnover [10] - Polestar's stock has declined approximately 90% from its peak, reflecting Wall Street's negative sentiment towards the company [11]
Where Will Polestar Automotive Stock Be in 3 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2024-09-14 15:25
Core Viewpoint - Polestar Automotive has faced significant challenges since its market debut, with a substantial decline in stock value and production issues impacting growth potential [1][2]. Company Overview - Polestar, originally a racing team, was transformed into a high-performance EV brand by Volvo and Geely, leading to its public listing via SPAC in June 2022 [3]. - The company currently produces three high-end EV models: Polestar 2, Polestar 3, and Polestar 4, with plans to launch Polestar 5 and Polestar 6 in 2025 and 2026, respectively [4]. Production and Delivery Performance - Polestar's vehicle deliveries increased by 80% to 51,491 in 2022 but only grew by 6% to 54,626 in 2023, attributed to supply chain challenges and software issues [5]. - In the first half of 2024, deliveries fell by 27% year-over-year to 20,371 vehicles, although there was an 82% sequential increase in the second quarter [6]. - The company aims to deliver 155,000 vehicles in 2025, supported by new plants in the U.S. and South Korea [6]. Financial Projections - Analysts project Polestar's revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 61% from 2023 to 2026, reaching $9.9 billion by 2026 [7]. - The stock trades at less than 2 times this year's sales, presenting a potential opportunity for significant price appreciation if the company scales successfully [8]. Challenges and Risks - Polestar's stock has been under pressure due to accounting issues, management changes, and a significant net loss that widened from $466 million in 2022 to $1.17 billion in 2023 [9][12]. - The company faces challenges from new EU tariffs on Chinese-made EVs, which could impact its expansion plans and gross margin targets [11]. - Polestar's net debt stood at $2.79 billion at the end of 2023, with only $669 million in cash and equivalents, raising concerns about its financial stability [12].
Why Investors Hit the Brakes on Polestar Stock Today
The Motley Fool· 2024-09-04 21:43
Core Viewpoint - Polestar's stock experienced a significant decline of nearly 12% following a price target reduction by analyst Alex Potter from Piper Sandler, despite some operational improvements [1][2]. Group 1: Price Target Reduction - Alex Potter reduced Polestar's price target by $0.50 per share, bringing it down to $1.50, while maintaining a "neutral" recommendation on the stock [2]. - The reduction in price target reflects concerns over sales volumes and a slower-than-expected rollout of new models [2][3]. Group 2: Operational Performance - Polestar has recently regained compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements and published its second-quarter earnings, indicating some stabilization in operations [2]. - However, the company faces challenges in sales volumes, prompting the analyst to adjust estimates for the first half of the year [2]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - Polestar is identified as a smaller and struggling player in the increasingly crowded EV market, facing challenges related to its business strategy [4]. - Concerns are raised regarding the high price points of Polestar vehicles and potential EU tariffs on Chinese-made EVs, which could impact market competitiveness [4].
Why Polestar Stock Jumped Today
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-30 17:45
Investors are cheering the electric vehicle maker's earnings report and its leadership change. Polestar Automotive (PSNY 12.15%) seems to be gaining momentum as electric vehicle (EV) deliveries accelerated in the second quarter, and management foresees even stronger sales as the year progresses. That momentum is lifting shares of the EV maker, which is majority-owned by Geely Holding and Volvo. As of 1 p.m. ET Friday, Polestar stock was up by 12.2%. That followed its 13% gain on Thursday as investors absorb ...
Polestar Incurs $242M Operating Loss in Q2, Eyes Recovery in 2H24
ZACKS· 2024-08-30 16:06
Swedish electric vehicle (EV) maker Polestar Automotive (PSNY) released its second-quarter 2024 results yesterday. The company delivered 13,150 vehicles in the quarter, indicating an 82% jump on a sequential basis. Revenues came in at $575 million, down 17% year over year, owing to generous discounts amid the competitive EV landscape. PSNY incurred an operating loss of $242.3 million for the three months ended June 30, narrower than $273.6 million incurred in the year-ago quarter. Nonetheless, the loss unde ...
Polestar Lives to Fight Another Day After Q2 Earnings
MarketBeat· 2024-08-30 11:45
Polestar Automotive NASDAQ: PSNY is an electric vehicle company that has seen a shock to its share price over the past 52 weeks. Prior to its recent earnings release, shares were down 70%. Since going public in June 2022, shares have gone straight down, losing 91% of their value. The NASDAQ issued a warning that it may delist the shares if they don't turn things around soon. It needs to hold its stock price above $1 for at least 10 business days before Jan. 2, 2025, to prevent this possibility. Get PSNY ale ...
Why Beaten-Down EV Stock Polestar Surged 21% Today
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-29 19:02
Can a new CEO and new cars change Polestar's fortunes? Polestar Automotive (PSNY 13.76%) stock zoomed today and was up 17% as of 12:20 p.m. ET after clocking 21.1% gains in the early hours of trading today. The Swedish electric vehicle (EV) maker reported a sharp sequential jump in its deliveries for the second quarter, a day after CEO Thomas Ingenlath abruptly resigned. The two updates were enough to trigger a buying frenzy in the EV stock that's lost more than 70% value in one year alone. Polestar gets a ...