Phillips 66(PSX)
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Phillips 66(PSX) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 18:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Reported earnings for Q4 2025 were $2.9 billion or $7.17 per share, while adjusted earnings were $1 billion or $2.47 per share, reflecting a flat performance compared to the previous quarter [11][12] - Capital spending for the quarter was $682 million, with operating cash flow generated at $2.8 billion [12][14] - Net debt to capital ratio stood at 38%, with a commitment to return over 50% of net operating cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [11][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Midstream adjusted EBITDA increased by 40% since 2022, reaching approximately $1 billion in Q4 2025, driven by higher volumes despite lower margins [8][12] - Refining results improved due to the acquisition of WRB and higher realized margins in the Gulf Coast, offset by weaker margins in the Central Corridor [12][13] - Chemicals segment saw a decrease in results primarily due to lower polyethylene margins driven by lower sales prices [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The acquisition of WRB increased exposure to Canadian heavy crude differentials by 40%, which have widened by approximately $4 per barrel since the acquisition announcement [7][12] - PADD 2 is expected to have robust demand for the next decade, with gasoline stable and diesel and jet fuel continuing to grow [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on safe, reliable operations, continuous improvement, and disciplined capital allocation to maximize profitability [4][18] - Strategic actions in 2025 included acquiring the remaining 50% interest in WRB, selling a 65% interest in the Germany and Austria retail marketing business, and idling the Los Angeles refinery [5][6] - The company aims to achieve an adjusted controllable cost per barrel of approximately $5.50 by the end of 2027 [6][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the refining sector, anticipating continued demand growth and challenges in meeting that demand due to low refinery additions [80] - The company is optimistic about achieving its cost reduction targets and improving operational reliability [27][28] - Management highlighted a positive inflection point in results for 2025, with expectations for continued improvement in 2026 [18][80] Other Important Information - The company plans to add a gas plant approximately every 12-18 months, with a run-rate adjusted EBITDA target of approximately $4.5 billion by year-end 2027 [9][10] - The company has streamlined its operations and reduced headcount to enhance efficiency and performance [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for Mid-Continent products and feedstock opportunities post-WRB consolidation - Management highlighted strong integration between refining, midstream, and marketing assets, with a focus on maximizing the advantage of heavy Canadian crude [21] Question: 2026 priorities on cost outlook - Management indicated a target of $5.50 per barrel for controllable refining costs, with continuous improvement initiatives in place [24][27] Question: Turnaround management and utilization rates - Management noted a relatively low turnaround cycle for 2026, with a focus on maintaining high utilization rates [33][34] Question: Cash flow framework and stock buyback capacity - Management outlined a framework for returning cash to shareholders, with approximately $4 billion available for debt reduction and buybacks [36][38] Question: Dynamics of WCS spreads and Venezuelan crude - Management confirmed the ability to process Venezuelan crude and its impact on heavy crude differentials, emphasizing flexibility in crude sourcing [44][46] Question: Potential for consolidation in the refining industry - Management expressed openness to M&A opportunities that enhance competitive advantage, particularly in the Mid-Continent or Gulf Coast [92]
Phillips 66(PSX) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 18:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, reported earnings were $2.9 billion or $7.17 per share, while adjusted earnings were $1 billion or $2.47 per share, reflecting a flat performance compared to the previous quarter [10][11] - Capital spending for the quarter was $682 million, with operating cash flow generated at $2.8 billion, including a $708 million working capital benefit due to inventory reduction [12][13] - Net debt to capital ratio stood at 38%, with $756 million returned to shareholders, including $274 million in share repurchases [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company adjusted earnings were flat at $1 billion, with sequential improvements in Refining, Renewable Fuels, and Midstream, offset by decreases in Chemicals and Marketing and Specialties [11][12] - Midstream adjusted EBITDA increased by 40% since 2022, reaching approximately $1 billion in Q4 2025, driven by higher volumes despite lower margins [6][11] - Refining results benefited from the acquisition of WRB, with higher realized margins in the Gulf Coast, while Marketing and Specialties results decreased due to the sale of a 65% interest in the Germany and Austria retail marketing business [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company increased its exposure to Canadian heavy crude differentials by 40% following the acquisition of WRB, with differentials widening by approximately $4 a barrel since the acquisition announcement [4][5] - The worldwide crude utilization rate is expected to be in the low 90s for Q1 2026, with turnaround expenses projected between $170 million and $190 million [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on safe, reliable operations, continuous improvement, and disciplined capital allocation to maximize shareholder returns [3][17] - Strategic actions in 2025 included acquiring the remaining 50% interest in the WRB joint venture and idling the Los Angeles refinery, which is expected to positively influence costs [4][15] - The company aims to achieve an adjusted controllable cost per barrel of approximately $5.50 by the end of 2027, with ongoing initiatives to reduce costs and improve reliability [4][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the refining sector, anticipating that demand will continue to grow in 2026, with challenges in meeting that demand due to low refinery additions [79] - The company highlighted a positive inflection point in results for 2025, with expectations for continued improvement and momentum in 2026 [17][81] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining investor trust and delivering consistent results in a competitive environment [17] Other Important Information - The company plans to add a gas plant approximately every 12-18 months, with the Iron Mesa gas plant expected to be operational in early 2027 [8] - The Western Gateway project is in the scoping and design phase, with positive feedback from prospective customers and regulatory support [61][66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for Mid-Continent products and feedstock opportunities post-WRB acquisition - Management noted strong integration between refining, midstream, and marketing assets, with a robust demand profile expected in PADD 2, benefiting from widening heavy dips [20] Question: 2026 priorities on cost outlook - Management indicated a target of $5.50 per barrel for controllable refining costs, with continuous improvement initiatives expected to drive down costs further [26] Question: Turnaround management and utilization rates - Management confirmed a relatively light turnaround cycle for 2026, with costs slightly increasing due to the inclusion of WRB assets, but overall guidance remains stable [32] Question: Midstream growth outlook and potential for stock buybacks - Management outlined a framework for returning over 50% of operating cash flow to shareholders, with expectations for significant debt reduction and share buybacks [36] Question: Refining macro outlook for 2026 - Management expressed bullish sentiment for refining margins in 2026, citing expected demand growth and low unplanned turnarounds [79][81] Question: Likelihood of increased ethane rejection in the Permian - Management does not foresee a material change in ethane rejection due to new gas pipelines, expecting continued balance in supply and demand [85]
Phillips 66(PSX) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-04 17:00
1 Lake James Gas Plant GOLDSMITH, TX Cautionary Statement In the third quarter of 2024, we began presenting the line item "Capital expenditures and investments" on our consolidated statement of cash flows exclusive of acquisitions, net of cash acquired. Accordingly, prior period information has been reclassified for comparability. Phillips 66 and Refining results included herein through September 30, 2025, includes our proportional share of WRB Refining LP equity earnings and beginning October 1, 2025, incl ...
Phillips 66 Q4 Earnings Top Estimates on Higher Realized Refining Margins
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 16:50
Key Takeaways Phillips 66 posted Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.47, beating estimates and reversing a year-ago quarterly loss.PSX refining swung to profit as worldwide realized margins nearly doubled from last year's levels.Phillips 66 saw higher midstream earnings and cash flow, while chemicals and renewables weighed on results.Phillips 66 (PSX) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.47 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.11. The bottom line also improved from the year-ago quarter ...
ADP Payrolls Come in Way Below Expectations
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 16:50
Market Overview - Pre-market futures have shown a recovery from early lows, influenced by Q4 earnings reports and private-sector job numbers, with the Dow up by 142 points and the S&P 500 up by 10 points, while the Nasdaq is down by 66 points [1] Employment Data - Private-sector payrolls for January reported by ADP came in at +22K, significantly below expectations, and down from a revised +37K the previous month, marking the first back-to-back monthly job gains since April and May of the previous year [2] - Services employment accounted for most of the private-sector hires, with +21K in services compared to only +1K in goods-producing sectors; Healthcare Services led with +74K hires, followed by Financial Services with +14K and Construction with +9K, while Professional & Business Services lost -57K jobs [3] - ADP Chief Economist noted that hiring trends are following consumer demand rather than technology advancements, indicating a disconnect between stock market performance and private-sector job growth [4] Sector Insights - The job gains in the Construction sector may hint at increased labor demand due to data-center buildouts, although it is considered premature to draw definitive conclusions [5] - A new ADP methodology revealed a downward adjustment of -212K fewer hires for the private sector in 2025, reducing total expected hires from +771K in 2024 to +398K in 2025, which may provide a clearer picture of the labor market [6] Earnings Reports - Eli Lilly & Co. reported a +7.9% earnings surprise with earnings of $7.54 per share and revenues of $19.29 billion, driven by strong performance in diabetes and weight loss drugs [8] - AbbVie reported earnings of $2.71 per share, exceeding estimates of $2.66, while Novartis reported $2.03 per share, beating consensus by 4 cents; however, AbbVie shares fell by -3% despite the positive earnings [9] - Phillips 66 reported earnings of $2.47 per share, surpassing expectations of $2.11 and significantly improving from a loss of -$0.15 per share in the same quarter last year, with shares up by +1.3% in pre-market trading [10]
Is there a software stock bubble? Plus, Phillips 66 CFO talks earnings, Venezuela
Youtube· 2026-02-04 16:43
You don't even want me to introduce myself today. That's how much you want me to just stand here and dish out analysis after Tuesday's obliteration in software stocks. Well, I'm doing an intro anyway cuz it's my show.I'm Yahoo Finance executive editor Brian Sazy and this is Opening Bid coming to you live from Yahoo Finance's headquarters in New York City. Now about those software stocks in this overall tech stock moment. Far be it for me to offer up a differing perspective in the almighty AI chip god more f ...
ADP Jobs Lower, Q4 Earnings Reports Up
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 16:22
Market Overview - Pre-market futures have improved from early lows, influenced by Q4 earnings reports and private-sector job numbers, with the Dow up 142 points and the S&P 500 up 10 points, while the Nasdaq is down 66 points and the Russell 2000 is up 12 points [1] Private Sector Employment - Private-sector payrolls for January reported by ADP show an increase of only 22K, significantly below expectations, and down from a revised 37K the previous month, marking the first back-to-back monthly job gains since April and May of the previous year [2] - The services sector accounted for most of the job gains, adding 21K jobs, while goods-producing sectors only added 1K jobs. Healthcare Services led with 74K hires, followed by Financial Services with 14K and Construction with 9K. Professional & Business Services lost 57K jobs, and Manufacturing has not seen positive job growth since early 2024 [2][3] - A new ADP methodology indicates a downward revision of 212K fewer hires for the entire year of 2025, reducing total private-sector hires from 771K in 2024 to 398K in 2025 [4] Earnings Reports - Eli Lilly & Co. reported a 7.9% earnings surprise with earnings of $7.54 per share and revenues of $19.29 billion, also exceeding estimates by 7.9%, driven by strong performance in diabetes and weight loss drugs [6][7] - AbbVie reported earnings of $2.71 per share, beating estimates of $2.66, while Novartis reported $2.03 per share, surpassing consensus by 4 cents. Novartis shares rose 1.6%, while AbbVie shares fell 3% [7] - Phillips 66 reported earnings of $2.47 per share, exceeding expectations of $2.11 and significantly improving from a loss of $0.15 per share in the same quarter last year, with shares up 1.3% in pre-market trading [8]
Phillips 66(PSX) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2026-02-04 14:42
Revenue and Income - Total revenues for 2025 YTD reached $136,560 million, a decrease of 4.6% compared to $145,496 million in 2024 YTD[1] - Net income attributable to Phillips 66 for 2025 YTD was $4,403 million, down from $2,117 million in 2024 YTD, reflecting a significant increase of 107.5%[5] - Basic earnings per share for 2025 YTD was $10.82, compared to $5.01 in 2024 YTD, indicating a growth of 116.3%[1] - Total adjusted net income attributable to Phillips 66 for 2025 was $2.632 billion, compared to $2.604 billion in 2024, reflecting a slight increase[8] - Income before income taxes for 2025 YTD reached $4,500 million, a significant increase from $1,011 million in 2024 YTD[45] Expenses and Costs - Operating expenses for 2025 YTD totaled $6,423 million, a slight increase from $5,939 million in 2024 YTD, representing a rise of 8.1%[1] - The company’s total costs and expenses for 2025 YTD were $131,140 million, a decrease of 8.2% from $142,821 million in 2024 YTD[1] - Selling, general and administrative expenses for 2025 amounted to $1.088 billion, a decrease from $1.434 billion in 2024, representing a reduction of approximately 24.1%[65] Taxation - The effective tax rate for 2025 YTD was 16.5%, compared to 18.7% in 2024 YTD, indicating a decrease in the tax burden[3] - The effective tax rate on taxable U.S.-based special items was approximately 24%[15] - Adjusted effective tax rate for 2025 was 22.9%, up from 20.5% in 2024, indicating an increase in the adjusted tax rate[67] Segment Performance - The refining segment reported a loss of $274 million for 2025 YTD, an improvement from a loss of $365 million in 2024 YTD[5] - Marketing and Specialties segment generated $4,500 million in income for 2025 YTD, a substantial increase from $1,011 million in 2024 YTD, reflecting a growth of 344.4%[5] - Adjusted EBITDA for the Midstream segment in 2025 reached $3.773 billion, up from $3.662 billion in 2024, indicating a growth of approximately 3%[11] - The refining segment reported an adjusted EBITDA of $2.338 billion for 2025, a significant increase from $966 million in 2024[11] - The Chemicals segment's adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $845 million, down from $1.348 billion in 2024, indicating a decline of approximately 37%[11] Cash Flow and Financing - Cash flows from operating activities for Q3 2025 were $187 million, with a year-to-date total of $2.752 billion[19] - The total net cash used in financing activities for Q3 2025 was $2.049 billion, reflecting significant debt repayments[19] - The company reported a cash and cash equivalents balance of $1.489 billion at the end of Q3 2025[20] - Total debt as of the end of 2025 was $19,716 million, a decrease from $21,755 million in 2024, indicating a reduction of approximately 9.5%[51] Asset Dispositions and Impairments - The company reported a net gain on dispositions of $2,984 million for 2025 YTD, compared to $321 million in 2024 YTD, showing a significant increase[1] - The company recorded a net gain on asset dispositions of $(68) million in Q1 2025, compared to a pre-tax impairment of $79 million in Q4 2025[29] - The total impairments recognized in 2025 reached $1.060 billion, with significant impacts in Q2 and Q3[19] - Special items included in income (loss) before income taxes totaled $1.841 billion for 2025, compared to a loss of $710 million in 2024, indicating significant fluctuations in special items[13] Production and Sales - Total refined products sales in the U.S. for Q1 2025 were 1,828 MB/D, up from 1,926 MB/D in Q1 2024, reflecting a 5% increase[45] - Total renewable fuels produced in Q1 2025 was 44 MB/D, a decrease from 63 MB/D in Q1 2024, showing a decline of 30%[48] - The worldwide total production, including proportional share of equity affiliates, was 1,871 MB/D year-to-date[43] Market Conditions - The Henry Hub natural gas price for Q1 2025 was $4.27 per MMBtu, significantly higher than $2.41 per MMBtu in Q1 2024, representing a 77.6% increase[26] - WTI crude oil price averaged $64.89 per barrel for the year-to-date, while Brent averaged $69.06[43] Legal and Regulatory Matters - The company reported a legal accrual of $605 million in Q3 2025, which was a notable increase from $262 million in Q2 2025[46] - The company incurred special items including a legal settlement of $(181) million and pending claims of $(123) million[58]
菲利普斯66 Q4业绩超预期,炼油部门实现扭亏为盈
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-04 13:45
格隆汇2月4日|炼油商菲利普斯66公布去年第四季度业绩,调整后每股收益为2.47美元,超过分析师平 均预期的2.16美元;销售额同比增长6.9%至363.33亿美元,亦超过分析师预期的320.61亿美元。期内, 炼油部门实现调整后净利润5.42亿美元,而去年同期为亏损7.59亿美元。 ...
菲利普斯66 CEO:我们不会进入委内瑞拉参与相关开发
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-04 13:11
格隆汇2月4日|菲利普斯66(PSX.US)CEO:我们不具备上游业务能力,因此我们不会进入委内瑞拉参 与相关开发。 ...