Core Insights - Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) is set to release its second-quarter 2025 results on July 29, with an expected earnings per share (EPS) of $4.10, reflecting a 27.7% increase from $3.21 in the same quarter last year [1][5] - The consensus estimate for second-quarter revenues is $4.55 billion, indicating a 10.7% growth year-over-year [5] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RCL's EPS has increased by 1.5% over the past 60 days [1] - The earnings surprise history shows that RCL has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 8.7% [5][7] Revenue and Growth Factors - Continued strength in close-in demand, strong pricing across key itineraries, and growing onboard revenue contributions are expected to support RCL's second-quarter performance [11] - The introduction of new vessels like Icon of the Seas and Utopia of the Seas is anticipated to positively impact yields, with expected yield growth of 4.3% to 4.8% year-over-year [13] - Passenger ticket revenues are projected to rise 11.1% year-over-year to $3.2 billion, while onboard and other revenues are expected to increase by 6.9% to $1.3 billion [14] Margin Expectations - Operating margins are predicted to expand by 150 basis points year-over-year to 28.2%, supported by scale efficiencies and effective cost management [15] - Net cruise costs excluding fuel are expected to rise by 3.7% to 4.2% year-over-year due to dry dock activity and new ship ramp-up costs [16] Stock Performance and Valuation - RCL shares have increased by 61.5% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which rose by 29.7% [18] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 20.76X, above the industry average of 20.20X [21] Strategic Focus - RCL aims to capture a larger share of the $2 trillion global vacation market through strategic fleet expansion and premium onboard offerings [23] - The company’s diversified deployment strategy, particularly in high-demand regions like the Caribbean, is expected to support continued yield growth [23]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Royal Caribbean (RCL) will report quarterly earnings of $4.10 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.7%, with revenues expected to reach $4.55 billion, a 10.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 1.6%, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong relationship between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Onboard and other' to be $1.33 billion, marking a 9% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenues- Passenger ticket' is projected to reach $3.21 billion, reflecting an 11.1% increase from the year-ago quarter [5]. Operational Metrics - The estimated 'Available Passenger Cruise Days (APCD)' is projected at 12,923 days, up from 12,233 days in the same quarter last year [6]. - The 'Occupancy Rate' is expected to be 109.6%, compared to 108.2% a year ago [6]. - 'Passenger Cruise Days' are anticipated to reach 14,168 days, an increase from 13,230 days in the previous year [6]. Cost Projections - 'Net Cruise Costs Excluding Fuel per APCD' is expected to be $129.25, up from $123.65 in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Net Cruise Costs per APCD' is projected at $151.33, compared to $146.70 in the same quarter last year [7]. Passenger Estimates - The consensus among analysts is that 'Passengers Carried' will reach 2.34 million, an increase from 2.04 million a year ago [8]. Stock Performance - Shares of Royal Caribbean have increased by 24.1% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 5.7% [8].

Industry Performance & Trends - The Invesco Leisure and Entertainment ETF has outperformed the broader market over the last three months [1] - Cruise industry booking volumes have normalized, growing at a low to mid single-digit percentage year-over-year, compared to roughly 20% growth entering the year [5] - Consumer confidence is down, contributing to booking trends more similar to pre-COVID levels [8] - Softening is being observed in different parts of the travel trade after several years of strong results [9] Company Specific Analysis (Royal Caribbean) - Royal Caribbean stock has had a great run, outperforming in the past two years, including an 83% increase in the last three months [1][3] - Truth Securities is downgrading Royal Caribbean to "hold" due to normalization in the cruise industry and high valuations [2][5] Investment Opportunities - Norwegian Cruise Lines is considered a catch-up name and an underperformer within the cruise sector [10][11] - Hyatt Hotels is mentioned as a hotel chain that hasn't performed as well as Hilton, suggesting potential relative value [10][11] Underlying Travel Trends - Research indicates underlying travel trends have been mediocre and lethargic [10]

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Have you been paying attention to shares of Royal Caribbean (RCL) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 29.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $344.62 in the previous session. Royal Caribbean has gained 48.3% since the start of the year compared to the 11.3% move for the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the 10.9% return for the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry.What's Driving the Outperformance?The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises ...

Core Insights - Royal Caribbean has officially welcomed the new ship, Star of the Seas, which is set to debut in August 2025 in Port Canaveral, Florida, marking a significant milestone in family vacation experiences [1][2][3] Group 1: Ship Details and Features - Star of the Seas is part of the Icon Class and represents a new era of family vacations, featuring innovative designs and engineering feats such as the AquaDome and record-breaking waterslides [3][4][6] - The ship will offer over 40 dining, drinking, and entertainment options across eight distinct neighborhoods, enhancing the vacation experience for families [4][5] - Star will be the third ship in Royal Caribbean's fleet powered by liquefied natural gas (LNG), contributing to the company's environmental initiatives aimed at achieving a net-zero cruise ship by 2035 [6] Group 2: Upcoming Developments - Royal Caribbean is expanding its vacation offerings with new destinations, including the Royal Beach Club Paradise Island in December 2025 and additional locations in Cozumel and Mexico by 2027 [7] - The company continues to innovate in the cruise industry, focusing on creating unforgettable experiences for families and vacationers [3][9]

Company Performance - Royal Caribbean (RCL) closed at $333.57, with a +1.02% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.61% [1] - The stock has risen by 22.43% over the past month, significantly exceeding the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 5.12% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.85% [1] Upcoming Financial Results - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for Royal Caribbean is $4.05, reflecting a 26.17% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is expected to reach $4.54 billion, up 10.58% from the prior-year quarter [2] Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $15.43 per share and revenue at $18.05 billion, indicating increases of +30.76% and +9.48% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate changes suggest a favorable outlook on the company's business health and profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - Royal Caribbean has a Forward P/E ratio of 21.4, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 21.76 [6] - The company holds a PEG ratio of 0.98, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.99 [6] Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 68, placing it in the top 28% of over 250 industries [7] - The top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Group 1 - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence, including daily updates, research reports, and stock screens [1][2] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market within a 30-day timeframe, rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics [3][4][5][6][7] Group 2 - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E and Price/Sales, appealing to value investors [4] - The Growth Score emphasizes a company's financial health and future growth potential, analyzing projected and historical earnings and cash flow [5] - The Momentum Score assists investors in capitalizing on price trends, utilizing recent price changes and earnings estimate adjustments [6] Group 3 - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores to identify stocks with the best overall value, growth, and momentum characteristics, serving as a strong indicator alongside the Zacks Rank [7] - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to simplify portfolio building, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks achieving an average annual return of +23.62% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8][9] Group 4 - Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) is currently rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B, indicating a moderate investment potential [12] - RCL is highlighted as a growth investment opportunity, with a Growth Style Score of B and a projected year-over-year earnings growth of 30.8% for the current fiscal year, supported by upward revisions from analysts [13]

Core Insights - Royal Caribbean (RCL) has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 7.89% [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $2.53 per share for the most recent quarter, falling short of the expected $2.71, resulting in a surprise of 7.11% [2] - For the previous quarter, Royal Caribbean exceeded expectations by reporting $1.63 per share against a consensus estimate of $1.50, achieving a surprise of 8.67% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent changes in earnings estimates for Royal Caribbean have been favorable, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for an earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Royal Caribbean stands at +1.25%, suggesting analysts have become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6][8] Importance of Earnings ESP - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - A negative Earnings ESP reduces predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [8] - Monitoring a company's Earnings ESP prior to quarterly releases is crucial for increasing the likelihood of successful investment decisions [10]

Core Insights - Celebrity Xcel will introduce seven new elevated experiences designed to enhance guest enjoyment and create lasting memories [1][6] - The ship will feature innovative spaces such as the Celebrity Pool Club, Attic at The Club, and The Spa, each offering unique activities and relaxation options [1][3][4] Group 1: New Experiences - The Celebrity Pool Club will provide an all-day, all-night poolside experience with amenities like poolside chilled towels and private cabanas [1] - The Poolest Day EverSM will transform the pool area on sea days into a vibrant event with live music, games, and exclusive drinks [2] - Attic at The Club will be a 24/7 adults-oriented lounge featuring retro games and private event spaces for group activities [3] Group 2: Spa and Wellness - The Spa on Celebrity Xcel will include the first-ever Hydra RoomSM, offering a water-focused wellness experience with therapeutic benefits [4] - The new outdoor Vitamin D DeckSM will provide guests with a relaxing space to enjoy ocean views and complimentary beverages [4] Group 3: Retail and Community Engagement - The Celebrity Flagship store will serve as an interactive retail experience, allowing guests to engage with the brand and create personalized mementos [5] - The Xcel 'Dream Makers' program invites guests to participate in shaping new onboard experiences, influencing culinary and entertainment options [7] Group 4: Itineraries and Future Plans - Celebrity Xcel will begin its inaugural season from Fort Lauderdale in November, offering seven-night itineraries to various Caribbean destinations [8] - In Summer 2026, the ship will embark on its inaugural European season with journeys from Barcelona and Athens, including overnight stays in Madeira, Portugal [8]