Industry Overview - The leisure industry experienced resilient consumer demand in Q4 2025, driven by steady employment and a preference for experiences over goods, particularly during the holiday season [1] - Strong booking trends for leisure travel, increased attendance at events, and solid visitation at resorts, casinos, theme parks, and cruises contributed to revenue growth [1] Pricing Strategies - Leisure operators utilized dynamic pricing, premium offerings, and bundled experiences to counteract softer traffic, leading to higher average revenue per customer [2] - Increased room rates, onboard spending, ticket pricing, and ancillary revenues helped sustain revenue growth despite modest volume increases [2] Cost Management - The bottom line benefited from easing inflationary pressures, improved labor availability, and operational efficiencies, including streamlined staffing and technology-driven productivity gains [3] - Lower energy and input cost volatility further stabilized operating expenses [3] Financial Discipline - Disciplined capital allocation and balance sheet management supported profitability, allowing companies to focus on margin-accretive growth without aggressive discounting [4] - Healthier financial positions enabled companies to translate solid revenues into stronger earnings [4] Company Highlights - Pool Corporation is set to report Q4 2025 results with an Earnings ESP of +1.10% and projected EPS of 99 cents, up from 97 cents a year ago [7][10] - Hilton Grand Vacations is expected to report Q4 2025 results with an Earnings ESP of +1.19% and projected EPS of $1.05, compared to 49 cents last year [10][11] - PENN Entertainment is anticipated to report a narrower loss of 20 cents per share for Q4 2025, with an Earnings ESP of +7.03% [12][14]

Disney’s U.S. Theme Parks See Fewer Foreign Visitors Aheadhttps://t.co/cKOZvZPZcp https://t.co/qdgcNFJ33h ...

Core Viewpoint - China is planning to implement new measures to boost service consumption, focusing on sectors like elderly care, healthcare, and leisure to counteract weak demand for goods, with success dependent on increasing household incomes and social welfare [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Strategy - Authorities are expected to introduce incentives, reduce market barriers, and invest in high-growth sectors to address supply shortages in the services sector, which has been underdeveloped due to historical policy biases favoring manufacturing [2][3]. - Policymakers are emphasizing the importance of service consumption due to its significant potential, with a gradual expansion aligned with economic transformation [3]. - Chinese leaders aim to increase household consumption's share of the economy to 45% by 2030, up from approximately 40% currently [3]. Group 2: Investment in Social Welfare - The government has committed to "invest in people" by enhancing spending on education, healthcare, and social security, indicating stronger support for families and an effort to boost household spending power [4]. - As per capita GDP approaches $14,000, Chinese households are increasingly directing their spending towards services such as elderly care, travel, and entertainment, reflecting a shift towards a services-led consumption model [5]. Group 3: Economic Growth and Consumption Trends - The rebalancing of the economy is more about the relative importance of consumption versus investment rather than the type of consumption, with demand for services expected to grow faster than for goods as household incomes rise and the population ages [6]. - China's economy grew by 5% last year, achieving the government's target by capturing a record share of global goods demand, which helped mitigate the effects of weak domestic consumption and U.S. tariffs [6].

Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) is rated as a Buy, but there is caution regarding the high volatility associated with the leisure industry, indicating that sales may be more sensitive in the event of a recession [1] Company Summary - Shift4 Payments, Inc. operates within the leisure industry, which is characterized by high volatility [1] - The company's sales performance is expected to be more affected by economic downturns compared to other sectors [1]

Core Insights - EXEL Industries reported a revenue of €983 million for the fiscal year 2024-2025, a decrease of 10.6% compared to the previous year, with a 9.6% reduction at constant scope and foreign exchange rates [3][4] - The Group's recurring EBITDA fell to €67.6 million, representing a margin of 6.9%, primarily due to significant volume reductions in Agricultural Spraying and Sugar Beet Harvesting activities [3][5] - Net income decreased to €16.3 million, impacted by lower current operating income resulting from reduced agricultural activity volumes [3][6] Financial Performance - Revenue breakdown showed a decline in Agricultural Spraying by 19.9% to €403.3 million and Sugar Beet Harvesting by 12.9% to €148.1 million, while Leisure and Industry segments saw slight increases [4][5] - Recurring EBITDA decreased from €87.4 million (7.9% of revenue) in 2023-2024 to €67.6 million (6.9% of revenue) in 2024-2025 [5] - Net financial debt was reduced by approximately €30 million, from €127.8 million in 2024 to €98.3 million in 2025, due to improved cash generation [7] Investment and Future Outlook - The Group maintained a dynamic investment policy, with total CAPEX of €32.6 million, including €20 million for modernizing industrial sites [8] - A dividend of €0.60 per share, representing 25% of consolidated net income, is proposed for approval at the General Meeting on February 4, 2026 [10] - The business climate remains challenging, particularly in Agricultural Spraying and Sugar Beet Harvesting, with expectations of continued slowdown in the early part of the 2025-2026 fiscal year [13][14] Management Commentary - The CEO highlighted the resilience of EXEL Industries' model, emphasizing the ability to adapt to a less buoyant market while maintaining financial discipline and reducing net debt [15]

Revenue Guidance - Topgolf raised its full-year revenue guidance [1] Industry Trend - Football fans spent extra time playing golf [1]

On November 2nd, this park will close for good after starting in the 1970s as a drive-thru wildlife safari. It's a loss for the hundred of employees who work here, for the local community, as a source of tax revenue, and also for the thousands of attendees who come here. The park has really catered to middle class families.Everybody romanticizes Disney parks, but for so many people, that is not a feasible thing in life. I mean, growing up, I wanted to go to Disney World, but it's not something I could do. I ...

Core Insights - David Tepper's Appaloosa LP has significantly reduced its equity portfolio, indicating a cautious stance towards high-growth and technology-linked stocks while consolidating capital into core holdings with better risk-reward profiles [1][7] Reductions in Holdings - **iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI)**: Reduced by 82.14%, selling 4.6 million shares and retaining 1 million, reflecting caution towards Chinese equities due to sluggish growth and regulatory uncertainty [2] - **Oracle Corp (ORCL)**: Decreased by 78.57%, trimming 550,000 shares to hold 150,000, likely due to profit-taking after a strong rally and rising competition concerns [3] - **PDD Holdings Inc (PDD)**: Cut by 54.23%, selling 2.37 million shares and retaining 2 million, indicating a tactical pullback from Chinese e-commerce amid geopolitical tensions [4] - **Meta Platforms Inc (META)**: Reduced by 27.27%, cutting 150,000 shares to hold 400,000, signaling valuation discipline after a surge [5] - **Alphabet Inc (GOOG)**: Decreased by 25.37%, selling 510,000 shares and retaining 1.5 million, reflecting portfolio rebalancing within large-cap tech [6] Full Exits - Appaloosa executed several full exits, including the liquidation of the SPDR S&P 500 Fossil Fuel Reserves ETF (SPYX), a $2.5 billion PUT position that constituted about 30% of the portfolio, and exited Apple (AAPL) with a $278 million PUT stake [8][9] - Other full exits included Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), and Broadcom (AVGO), indicating profit-taking in leisure and semiconductor sectors after strong performance [9][10] Overall Strategy - Tepper's recent activity highlights a disciplined risk-management approach, focusing on high-liquidity, large-cap names while maintaining flexibility to redeploy capital towards higher-upside opportunities [7][10]

Travel and leisure, that was our mystery chart, surging more than 15% today on better than expected earnings and fullear guidance hike after vacation ownership and spending climbed in the third quarter. The stock is now up about 38% this year. Joining me now with more on those numbers and the state of the travel industry is Mike Brown, president and CEO of Travel and Leisure.Mike, it's great to speak with you today. >> It's great to be back on the show. Nice to meet you, Morgan.So let's talk about this what ...

Financial Impact of Government Shutdown - US Travel estimates the government shutdown costs the travel industry almost $200 million to date [2] - The industry forecasts a loss of $1 billion per week for every week the federal government remains closed [2] - Lodging in the government segment was down 11% by June this year [5] - Convention and conference businesses in DC, Hawaii, and San Diego were down about 25% [6] Disruptions and Uncertainty - Non-essential government travel is canceled, impacting corporate travel [2] - Confusion exists regarding what is open and closed, affecting travel plans [4][9] - Trepidation over travel may lead 60% of those surveyed to cancel or avoid flights [4] - Project delays are occurring due to postponed meetings with federal agencies [7] Industry Concerns - Independent hotels, representing 60% of hotels in the nation (small businesses), are waiting and watching [9] - International travel is down this year, especially from Canada [9] - The extent to which canceled trips will be rescheduled remains uncertain [6][8]