Riskified .(RSKD)
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Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-18 12:30
Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue reached $811 million, a 3% year-over-year increase[50, 55] - H1 2025 revenue totaled $163447 million, a 5% year-over-year increase[55, 89] - Q2 2025 Adjusted EBITDA was $21 million[50, 57] - The company repurchased 49 million shares for $233 million in Q2 2025[58, 65] - The company has approximately $85 million remaining for share repurchases as of August 15, 2025[58, 65] Market Position and Growth - Riskified reviewed approximately $145 billion in GMV in the twelve months ended June 30, 2025[16, 18] - The company estimates the global ecommerce GMV to be approximately $65 trillion in 2025 and $83 trillion in 2029[19] - Non-GAAP operating expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased from 50% to 47% year-over-year[56] Future Outlook - The company's 2025 revenue guidance is between $336 million and $346 million[59] - The company's 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance is between $18 million and $26 million[59] - The company expects approximately $30 million in Free Cash Flow in 2025[74]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-08-18 10:51
Exhibit 99.1 Riskified Reports Second Quarter Results, Driven By New Business Wins and Robust Upsell Activity Improves Revenue Guidance for FY 2025 NEW YORK, August 18, 2025 - Riskified Ltd. (NYSE: RSKD) (the "Company"), a leader in ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence, today announced financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. The Company will host an investor call to discuss these results today at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. "We delivered solid second-quarter results, driven by consi ...
Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp Riskified Expectations Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-08-15 12:35
Group 1 - Riskified Ltd. is set to release its second-quarter earnings results on August 18, with analysts expecting earnings of 2 cents per share, a decrease from 4 cents per share in the same period last year [1] - The company is projected to report quarterly revenue of $80.37 million, an increase from $78.73 million a year earlier [1] - Riskified's first-quarter results were better than expected, indicating potential positive momentum [1] Group 2 - Riskified shares experienced a decline of 1.5%, closing at $5.11 [2] - Analysts have provided various ratings for Riskified, with DA Davidson maintaining a Buy rating and raising the price target from $6 to $6.5 [4] - Piper Sandler reiterated an Overweight rating with a price target of $7, while JP Morgan maintained a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $7 to $6 [4]
Riskified (RSKD) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-10 19:02
Summary of Riskified (RSKD) FY Conference Call - June 10, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Riskified - **Industry**: E-commerce fraud prevention and risk management Key Points and Arguments 1. **Core Business Model**: Riskified started by helping merchants manage e-commerce risk, focusing on identifying fraudulent transactions and managing chargebacks. The company has expanded its services to include policy abuse management and consumer account protection [1][3][4]. 2. **Market Size**: Merchants are liable for card-not-present fraud, leading to aggregate losses of hundreds of billions annually due to fraud [4]. 3. **Cost Structure for Merchants**: A sample profit and loss statement for e-commerce merchants shows costs related to fraud chargebacks (25 basis points), staffing (3 basis points), and tools (2 basis points) [5]. 4. **Performance Guarantees**: Riskified offers guaranteed performance, including cost guarantees for approved transactions that result in chargebacks, which allows merchants to replace traditional service provider costs [7][8]. 5. **Data Capture and Technology**: Riskified utilizes extensive data capture per transaction, leveraging machine learning to optimize fraud detection and decision-making processes. The company claims to capture three times more data than traditional payment processors [10][12]. 6. **Client Base**: Riskified works with over 50 publicly traded companies, providing tailored models for each client based on their specific data points [12][14]. 7. **Fraud Trends**: Fraud is becoming more sophisticated, necessitating continuous investment from merchants to combat new trends. The rise of e-commerce and AI tools has contributed to this increase in fraud [19][20][21]. 8. **Riskified Flywheel**: As more merchants join the network, Riskified's accuracy improves due to better data, leading to higher approval rates and retention rates among clients [22][23]. 9. **Policy Abuse Management**: Riskified's policy product helps merchants identify and block fraudulent refund and return requests, providing significant ROI [23][37]. 10. **International Growth**: The company has seen strong international growth, with eight out of the top ten clients in Q1 being outside the U.S. [35]. 11. **New Product Growth**: Non-chargeback guarantee products grew by 190% year-over-year, with significant revenue expected from the policy product [36]. 12. **Financial Health**: Riskified has a strong balance sheet with no debt and has been actively repurchasing shares. The company aims for 15% to 20% EBITDA margins by 2026 [53][56]. 13. **Market Opportunity**: The total e-commerce GMV is over $6 trillion, presenting a significant growth opportunity for Riskified as it aims to capture more market share [58]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Client Decision Factors**: Enterprises often weigh the cost of building internal solutions against outsourcing to Riskified, which can improve their P&L by reducing costs and increasing efficiency [60]. 2. **Long-term Vision**: Riskified aims to expand its product portfolio and generate more value for clients, leveraging network effects to gain capabilities across geographies and industries [62]. 3. **M&A Strategy**: The company is open to M&A opportunities that can enhance its technology and cross-sell to existing clients, although current market valuations present challenges [56][57]. This summary encapsulates the key insights from the Riskified FY Conference Call, highlighting the company's strategic focus, market dynamics, and growth potential in the e-commerce fraud prevention industry.
Riskified (RSKD) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 17:22
Summary of Riskified (RSKD) FY Conference June 04, 2025 Company Overview - **Company Name**: Riskified - **Founded**: 2013 - **Public Listing**: 2021 - **Core Business**: Provides fraud management solutions for e-commerce, focusing on chargeback guarantee products and expanding into new areas [2][6] Industry Insights - **E-commerce Market Size**: The total addressable market (TAM) for e-commerce is approximately $6 trillion, with Riskified managing over $140 billion in gross merchandise volume (GMV) [17][40] - **Fraud Management Challenge**: E-commerce merchants face significant costs due to chargebacks, averaging around 25 basis points (bps) of revenue, which can be substantial [9][11] Core Product Offerings - **Chargeback Guarantee**: Riskified offers a chargeback guarantee that reduces the cost structure for merchants from an average of 30 bps to 20-25 bps, while also guaranteeing transaction approval rates [14][40] - **Adaptive Checkout**: A product that enhances bank payment authorization rates by sending enriched data to issuing banks, improving overall transaction success [19] - **Policy Protect**: The fastest-growing product with 90% year-over-year growth, aimed at identifying and blocking fraudulent refund requests [20][21][26] - **Chargeback Management Software**: A tool for managing chargebacks, allowing fraud teams to handle disputes efficiently [27] Financial Performance - **Cost Structure**: The cost of chargebacks is the largest component affecting gross margins, which hover around 50% [44] - **Operational Efficiency**: The company has focused on reducing operational expenses (OpEx) while improving profitability, with a flat OpEx forecast for the current year [41] - **Cash Flow**: Strong cash flow generation, with guidance over $30 million for the year [44] Growth Opportunities - **Market Expansion**: Riskified is targeting geographic expansion in regions like APAC and LATAM, with a focus on diversifying into non-discretionary categories [42][49] - **Upselling Potential**: There is significant white space for upselling within existing clients, with 80% of the top 30 clients having at least one upsell [49] - **New Product Development**: Continuous innovation in machine learning and data analytics to enhance product offerings and improve fraud detection capabilities [35][39] Key Metrics and Results - **ROI for Merchants**: On average, top clients experience a 30% reduction in costs and a high single-digit increase in approval rates [17][40] - **Data Capture Advantage**: Riskified's ability to capture extensive data per transaction allows for more accurate fraud detection and tailored solutions for enterprise clients [33] Conclusion Riskified is positioned as a leading player in the e-commerce fraud management space, leveraging machine learning and extensive data capture to provide value to merchants while addressing the significant challenges posed by fraud and chargebacks. The company is focused on expanding its product offerings and geographic reach, aiming for sustained growth and improved profitability in the coming years.
Riskified: Revenue Growth Acceleration Over The Next Few Years
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-29 02:18
Group 1 - The investment approach focuses on long-term investments while incorporating short-term shorts to uncover alpha opportunities [1] - The analysis is based on bottom-up evaluation, emphasizing the fundamental strengths and weaknesses of individual companies [1] - The goal is to identify companies with solid fundamentals, sustainable competitive advantages, and growth potential [1]
Riskified (RSKD) FY Conference Transcript
2025-05-20 18:52
Summary of Riskified Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Riskified - **Industry**: E-commerce fraud prevention and management - **Core Offering**: AI solutions for managing online payments fraud, policy abuse, chargeback management, and account security [4][5] Core Value Proposition - **Merchant Challenges**: Merchants face liability for fraudulent transactions, requiring robust systems to differentiate between legitimate and fraudulent transactions [5] - **Fraud Types**: Includes chargebacks from "liar buyer friendly fraud," where customers falsely claim fraud to return items [6][7] - **Impact on Business**: Riskified's solutions have led to a cost reduction of over 30% and an average increase in approval rates of about 8% for top customers [9][10] Market Strategy - **Target Market**: Focus on enterprise clients, particularly those with revenues from $50 million to over $1 billion, with a growing presence in Latin America and Asia-Pacific [12] - **Sales Approach**: Direct sales targeting large enterprises, with plans to expand into mid-market and SMB segments [12] Industry Dynamics - **Fraud Evolution**: Increased sophistication in fraud tactics, including the use of AI by fraudsters, necessitating advanced solutions [14][21] - **Market Opportunity**: The growth of e-commerce (projected at $6.5 trillion) presents a significant opportunity for fraud, driving demand for Riskified's services [18][19] Financial Performance - **Net Dollar Retention**: Declined to 96% in 2024, attributed to large merchant churn and macroeconomic factors affecting discretionary spending [31][32] - **Growth in Non-Discretionary Categories**: Shift towards non-discretionary spending categories like food delivery and groceries has diversified the revenue base [30] Competitive Landscape - **Competitors**: Traditional legacy players and newer fintech solutions, with Riskified positioned as a more advanced, AI-driven alternative [35][36] - **Data Advantage**: Riskified captures extensive data across the transaction lifecycle, enhancing modeling performance compared to competitors [37][38] Product Development - **New Products**: Introduction of adaptive checkout, policy protect, and dispute resolve tools aimed at improving merchant conversion rates and managing fraud [55][61] - **Chargeback Guarantee**: Offers merchants a guaranteed approval rate and cost of fraud, enhancing value and accountability [49][50] Customer Engagement - **Cross-Selling Opportunities**: Increased focus on cross-selling additional products to existing clients, with significant growth in new product revenue [44][46] - **Customer Experience**: Emphasis on improving customer experience through faster refunds for loyal customers and managing abusive refund requests [62][63] Macro Environment - **Economic Resilience**: Despite uncertainties, consumer spending has remained resilient, with minimal impact from tariffs on overall business [27][28] - **Future Outlook**: Anticipated recovery in discretionary spending and continued growth in non-discretionary categories expected to stabilize net dollar retention [34] Conclusion - Riskified is well-positioned in the e-commerce fraud prevention market, leveraging advanced AI technology to address evolving fraud challenges while expanding its product offerings and market reach. The company is focused on enhancing customer experience and driving growth through strategic diversification and innovation.
Riskified (RSKD) FY Conference Transcript
2025-05-15 15:40
Summary of Riskified Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Riskified - **Industry**: Fintech, specifically focused on e-commerce fraud prevention and management Core Business and Value Proposition - Riskified started by helping e-commerce merchants manage online fraud, which is a significant and growing issue, with global fraud estimated at $50 billion annually [5] - The company leverages machine learning, cybersecurity, and big data to create models that detect fraudulent transactions [3][4] - Riskified has expanded its services to include policy abuse, dispute management, and account security, addressing various challenges faced by merchants [4] Financial Metrics and Cost Structure - Typical merchants incur costs of 30 basis points for managing fraud, which includes chargebacks, internal staffing, and current solution providers [6][7] - Riskified offers a guaranteed model that reduces costs to around 24 basis points, providing a 20% reduction in costs and a guaranteed approval rate of 93% [9][10] - On average, Riskified has reduced costs for its top clients by over 30% and increased approval rates by 7-8% [11] Policy Abuse and Refund Management - Policy abuse, particularly in refund and return requests, is a major issue, with Riskified able to block over 10% of fraudulent requests without increasing false positives [12][13] - The company emphasizes the importance of educating merchants on the value of their services, which can be difficult to quantify [14][16] Competitive Landscape - Riskified differentiates itself from competitors by offering a chargeback guarantee and a broader range of services, while many competitors focus solely on risk scoring [17][19] - The company has a competitive win rate above 70%, attributed to its comprehensive platform and ability to address multiple issues [21][25] Market Opportunity - Riskified processed $140 billion in reviewed volume last year, with the global e-commerce market estimated at $6 trillion [26][30] - The company believes that a significant portion of the market still relies on legacy solutions, presenting an opportunity for market share gains [31] Business Resilience and Outlook - Riskified's business is diversified across various sectors, including travel, fashion, and electronics, which has helped mitigate risks from market fluctuations [45][46] - The company has maintained a strong pipeline and is confident in its guidance for the upcoming quarters, despite potential economic uncertainties [47] Long-term Goals and Strategy - Riskified aims to achieve a gross margin target of over 15% by 2026, focusing on scalability and automation [48][49] - The company is open to M&A opportunities but has not pursued any to date due to a lack of suitable options [52][53] - Riskified envisions leveraging its AI platform to expand its service offerings and increase the GMV flowing through its system [69] Conclusion - Riskified is positioned as a leader in the fintech space, focusing on fraud prevention and management for e-commerce merchants, with a strong emphasis on machine learning and data analytics to drive value and efficiency in its services. The company is optimistic about its growth potential and market opportunities in the coming years.
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a GMV of $34.2 billion for Q1 2025, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase [13] - Revenue for the first quarter was $82.4 million, also up 8% year-over-year [13] - The non-GAAP gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was approximately 50%, with a year-over-year decline attributed to ramping up new merchants in newer categories [17] - Positive adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million was achieved in Q1, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA [19] - The company ended the quarter with approximately $357 million in cash, deposits, and investments, carrying zero debt [19][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The two largest categories, Tickets and Travel and Fashion and Luxury, each grew in the mid-teens range year-over-year, driven by strong new business wins and upsell activity [13] - The money transfer and payments category saw approximately 90% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by new merchant activity [14] - The home category contracted by 74%, contributing to a 5% year-over-year decline in the U.S. market [15] - Growth accelerated across all regions outside the U.S., with APAC growing approximately 70% and Outer Americas growing approximately 13% [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Eight of the top ten new logos won during Q1 were headquartered outside the U.S., indicating a continued expansion of the company's geographic footprint [12] - The company noted that the overall consumer remained resilient, with April trends stable compared to March [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its top-of-funnel efforts to generate more pipeline, converting that pipeline into new business, and retaining and growing with merchants once onboarded [7] - The strategic investment in machine learning capabilities is aimed at enhancing performance for merchants and addressing evolving fraud challenges [10] - The company aims to maintain a non-GAAP gross profit margin between 52% to 53.5% for the full year [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong start to 2025 and the opportunities surrounding the pipeline and anticipated new business activity [21] - The company is maintaining its revenue guidance of between $333 million and $346 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance of between $18 million and $26 million for the year [22] - Management acknowledged the uncertainty around potential impacts of tariffs on merchants and overall spending activity [21] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 4.1 million shares for approximately $20.7 million during the first quarter, contributing to a decrease in share count [20] - The company continues to expect approximately $30 million of positive free cash flow in 2025, with the majority expected in the second half of the year [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of product roadmap execution on growth confidence - Management expressed satisfaction with the strong start to the year, attributing pipeline growth to the platform's value proposition and increased touchpoints within organizations [26][27] Question: Timeline for gross margin stabilization - Management encouraged looking at gross margins on an annual basis, reiterating expectations set in the previous call [30] Question: Update on mid-tier market strategy - Management indicated that while there is potential in the mid-tier market, the current strength of the pipeline remains focused on enterprise-level clients [35] Question: Long-term potential of the money transfer and payments category - Management highlighted the broad range of use cases in the money transfer category and the opportunity to expand market share [37] Question: Comparison with competitors, specifically Stripe - Management noted that Riskify's data capabilities are significantly greater than those of gateway solutions like Stripe, allowing for more effective fraud prevention [41][43] Question: Industry growth rates compared to company performance - Management acknowledged that their categories do not always align with external e-commerce growth metrics, with some categories performing better than industry averages [45][46] Question: Growth mix between new logos and existing base - Management indicated that new logo growth is slightly higher than expected, while dollar retention rates remain close to 100% [63][64]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's GMV for Q1 was $34.2 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase [13] - Revenue for Q1 was $82.4 million, also up 8% year-over-year [13] - Non-GAAP gross profit margin for Q1 was approximately 50%, with a year-over-year decline attributed to ramping up new merchants [17] - Positive adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million was achieved in Q1, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA [19] - The company ended Q1 with approximately $357 million in cash, deposits, and investments, carrying zero debt [19][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The two largest categories, Tickets and Travel and Fashion and Luxury, each grew in the mid-teens range year-over-year [13] - The money transfer and payments category achieved approximately 90% year-over-year growth in Q1, driven by new merchant activity [14] - The home category contracted by 74%, contributing to a 5% year-over-year decline in the U.S. [15] - Growth in APAC was approximately 70%, while Outer Americas grew approximately 13% [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Eight of the top ten new logos won during Q1 were headquartered outside the U.S., indicating a focus on international growth [12] - The company has seen strong performance in the travel category, contrasting with broader industry trends [46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its product portfolio and enhancing its AI decisioning engine to address a wider range of use cases [9] - The strategy includes diversifying across verticals and geographies to enhance resilience against economic uncertainty [11] - The company aims to maintain a revenue guidance of $333 million to $346 million for the year, reflecting a balanced view of risks and opportunities [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of consumers despite market uncertainties [11] - The company is strategically investing in machine learning capabilities to support merchants in addressing evolving fraud challenges [10] - The outlook remains cautious due to potential impacts of tariffs on merchants and overall spending activity [21] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 4.1 million shares for approximately $20.7 million in Q1, reflecting a commitment to managing dilution [20] - The company expects to generate approximately $30 million in positive free cash flow in 2025, with most cash flow generation anticipated in the second half of the year [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of product roadmap execution on growth confidence - Management highlighted strong pipeline growth and the effectiveness of their global go-to-market strategy as key factors for confidence in future growth [26][27] Question: Timeline for gross margin stabilization - Management encouraged looking at gross margins on an annual basis, noting that large client wins in Q1 impacted year-over-year comparisons [30] Question: Update on mid-tier market strategy - Management indicated that while there is potential in the mid-tier market, current strength remains in enterprise-level opportunities [35] Question: Long-term potential of the money transfer and payments category - Management sees a broad opportunity set in money transfer, with various use cases and payment methods contributing to growth [37] Question: Comparison with competitors like Stripe - Management emphasized the advantages of their data capabilities over gateway solutions, allowing for more effective fraud prevention [41][43] Question: Industry growth rate relative to company performance - Management noted that their growth in certain categories, like travel, has outperformed broader industry trends, indicating potential share gains [46][48]