Group 1 - Redwood Trust Inc (NYSE: RWT) has a business model that allows it to achieve high returns while minimizing balance sheet risks [1] - The stock is currently trading at 0.7 times price-to-book (P/B) ratio, indicating potential undervaluation [1]

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the Quarterly Period Ended: March 31, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the Transition Period from _______________ to _______________. Commission File Number 1-13759 REDWOOD TRUST, INC. (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter) Maryland 68-032 ...

Redwood Trust (RWT) could be a solid choice for investors given the company's remarkably improving earnings outlook. While the stock has been a strong performer lately, this trend might continue since analysts are still raising their earnings estimates for the company.The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this specialty finance company, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlatio ...

Shares of Redwood Trust (RWT) have gained 10.1% over the past four weeks to close the last trading session at $5.89, but there could still be a solid upside left in the stock if short-term price targets of Wall Street analysts are any indication. Going by the price targets, the mean estimate of $7.47 indicates a potential upside of 26.8%.The mean estimate comprises nine short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $0.73. While the lowest estimate of $6 indicates a 1.9% increase from the current pri ...

Redwood Trust (RWT) reported $27.9 million in revenue for the quarter ended March 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.3%. EPS of $0.14 for the same period compares to $0.08 a year ago.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $31.31 million, representing a surprise of -10.89%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -17.65%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.17.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall ...

Core Viewpoint - Redwood Trust reported quarterly earnings of $0.14 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.17 per share, but showing an improvement from $0.08 per share a year ago, indicating a -17.65% earnings surprise [1] - The company posted revenues of $27.9 million for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate by 10.89%, compared to $24 million in the same quarter last year [2] Earnings Performance - Over the last four quarters, Redwood Trust has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [2] - The company had an earnings surprise of -18.75% in the previous quarter, where it was expected to post earnings of $0.16 per share but delivered $0.13 [1] Stock Performance - Redwood Trust shares have declined approximately 4.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has seen a decline of 5.5% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, with current consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming quarter at $0.20 on revenues of $30.55 million, and $0.82 on revenues of $126.96 million for the current fiscal year [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Redwood Trust is currently favorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) for the stock, suggesting expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which Redwood Trust belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 43% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8]

Redwood Trust (RWT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Kaitlyn Mauritz - Head - IRChristopher Abate - Chief Executive Officer and DirectorDashiell Robinson - PresidentBrooke Carillo - Chief Financial OfficerCrispin Love - DirectorEric Hagen - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Douglas Harter - Equity Research AnalystRichard Shane - AnalystDonald Fandetti - AnalystSteven Delaney - Analyst Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Redwood Trust First Quarter twenty ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP earnings of $14.4 million or $0.10 per share, compared to a loss of $8.4 million or negative $0.07 per share in the fourth quarter, indicating a significant sequential improvement driven by strong performance across operating platforms [22] - Book value per share ended the quarter at $8.39, a modest decline from $8.46 in the fourth quarter, translating to a positive economic return of 1.3% for the first quarter [23] - Earnings available for distribution (EAD) for the first quarter was $19.8 million or $0.14 per share, up from $18.4 million or $0.13 per share in the fourth quarter [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sequoia's first quarter performance showed $4 billion in locks, representing a 73% quarter-on-quarter growth, while the net income from Sequoia was $25.8 million, representing a 28% return on equity (ROE) for the quarter, up from 23% in the previous quarter [11][24] - CorVest generated net income of $2.9 million, resulting in a 20% ROE for the quarter, despite a slight decrease in volumes from the fourth quarter [25] - Aspire's early lock volumes were just over $100 million, tracking within the same gain on sale margin range as Sequoia [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that while money center banks reported steep mortgage volume declines of 20% to 30%, Sequoia's growth was driven by wallet share growth and the emergence of seasoned bulk portfolios from banks [11] - The company observed a strong demand for the assets created, with trillions of dollars raised by private credit institutions looking to invest in the residential mortgage space [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on strategic partnerships with entities on both the supply and demand side of the market as part of its growth initiatives [10] - The company is advocating for a leveling of the playing field between private capital and government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) to streamline regulatory burdens and enhance market efficiency [9] - The company aims to reallocate nearly 20% of capital towards operating platforms and retained operating investments while reducing exposure to legacy bridge investments [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management indicated that the current macro environment has rendered most projections for 2025 obsolete, but the company is navigating market volatility from a position of strength [5][6] - The management expressed optimism about the potential transformation in housing finance policy and the opportunity for private sector financing without government support [9] - The company expects to achieve its full-year target despite potential short-term volume fluctuations due to market conditions [31] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with unrestricted cash of $260 million, up from $245 million at year-end, and recourse leverage stood at 2.5 times compared to 2.4 times in the fourth quarter [26] - The company has a current share repurchase authorization of over $100 million and is actively evaluating the potential for share buybacks [63] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did the company hedge its portfolio during the volatility in April? - The company emphasized its ability to turn capital and move risk quickly, which contributed to managing the period effectively across the book [33][34] Question: How does the company manage liquidity and execution risk with significant volume locks? - The company highlighted its efficient risk turnover and the ability to pre-sell or know where partners are lined up to execute, which mitigates liquidity risk [39][40] Question: Can the company provide clarity on the bulk purchases of seasoned loans? - The company confirmed that the bulk purchases are closed loans and emphasized their focus on distribution and hedging parameters [44][46] Question: What is the outlook for the bridge loans and the associated risks? - The company noted that the uptick in delinquency was a result of strategic decisions to pursue alternative resolutions and that they expect to resolve these issues throughout the year [50][52] Question: Can the company elaborate on the expected EAD ROE for 2025? - The company expects a year-end 2025 run rate of 9% to 12% for EAD ROE, driven by reallocating capital towards operating businesses [58][60]

Cautionary Statement; Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements regarding our 2025 forward outlook and strategic priorities, key drivers to increase earnings, book value, and mortgage banking volumes, current target annualized non-GAAP EAD returns on equity, current target returns related to capital deployment opportunities and estimates of upside and potential earnings in our Redwood Investments segment from embedded discounts to par value on sec ...

Core Viewpoint - Redwood Trust (RWT) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to an upward trend in earnings estimates, which significantly influences stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in a company's earnings picture, which is a strong indicator of near-term stock price movements [2][4]. - The correlation between earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements is well-established, with institutional investors using these estimates to determine fair value [4][6]. Company Performance Indicators - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, Redwood Trust is expected to earn $0.82 per share, reflecting a 57.7% increase from the previous year [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Redwood Trust has increased by 5.6%, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [8]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - Only the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks receive a 'Strong Buy' rating, indicating superior earnings estimate revisions and potential for market-beating returns [9][10].