Super Micro Computer(SMCI)

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急挫后反弹概率达80%!高盛建议逢低买入美股动量股
智通财经网· 2025-08-21 10:59
过去三天里,跌幅最大的一些美股包括Palantir(PLTR.US)、AMD(AMD.US)和超威电脑(SMCI.US),分别下跌12%、6%和6%。而在此期间,英伟达仅下跌 2.8%,尽管其在基准指数中的较大权重仍拖累了大盘。 Susquehanna International Group衍生品策略联席主管Chris Murphy表示,这些股票"是今年交易最拥挤的标的之一,建立在对AI的乐观预期和投机性动量之 上,因此容易出现迅速的逆转"。 智通财经APP获悉,高盛集团的交易部门表示,若以史为鉴,近期涨势强劲的动量股的大幅下挫可能正提供一次逢低买入的机会。交易员们指出,高盛High Beta一篮子动量股票此前在出现类似跌幅后的反弹表现,加上当前的技术面走势,为其观点提供支持。他们在一份客户报告中表示:"过去当多空动量一篮 子股票在五天内下跌10%或以上时,在接下来的一周上涨的概率为80%。接下来一周的回报率中值为4.5%,接下来一个月的回报率中值超过11%。" 动量策略的重点是买入近期上涨的个股,卖空表现落后的个股。这一策略的突然回撤源于该篮子中被做空股票的反弹。不过,高盛的交易员表示,一篮子动 量股票在本 ...
Super Micro Computer: Low Valuation But Margins Have To Improve
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-20 11:24
I'm a 19 year old passionate trader managing a 6 figure portfolio trying to and beating the major indexes with my stock picks. I am focused mostly on growth stocks, particularly stocks that implements AI into their operations, as well as stocks that has a moat over their sector. My personal strategy revolves around finding stocks with high growth potential and undervalued in the market, creating a portfolio with high growth potential rather than FOMO. I started researching and analysing stocks since 17, aim ...
美股异动 芯片股普跌 AMD(AMD.US)跌超4%
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-19 15:12
Core Viewpoint - Chip stocks experienced a broad decline on Tuesday, with significant drops in major companies [1] Company Performance - AMD (AMD.US) fell over 4% [1] - NVIDIA (NVDA.US) decreased by more than 1.2% [1] - Broadcom (AVGO.US) dropped over 1.5% [1] - TSMC (TSM.US) declined by more than 1.7% [1] - Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US) saw a decrease of over 2.3% [1] - CoreWeave (CRWV.US) experienced a decline of more than 5.5% [1]
美股异动 | 芯片股普跌 AMD(AMD.US)跌超4%
智通财经网· 2025-08-19 14:38
智通财经APP获悉,周二,芯片股普跌,截至发稿,AMD(AMD.US)跌超4%,英伟达(NVDA.US)跌超 1.2%,博通(AVGO.US)跌超1.5%,台积电(TSM.US)跌超1.7%,超微电脑(SMCI.US)跌超2.3%, CoreWeave(CRWV.US)跌超5.5%。 ...
Super Micro Computer: The Hidden Winner In The AI Factory Race
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-19 13:49
Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI ) has been experiencing a sell-off since announcing messy quarterly results . This reaction largely misses the forest for the trees. Beneath the headline misses is a company that exited "AWS Certified AI Practitioner Early Adopter"I am a DevOps Engineer for a major, wholly owned subsidiary of a large-cap Fortune 500. I am a true subject-matter expert on the actual buildout, deployment, and maintenance of AI tools and applications. I have increasingly deep knowledge on the ...
超微电脑:指引暗示2026财年下半年将出现重大增长拐点
美股研究社· 2025-08-19 12:44
Core Viewpoint - The recent quarterly earnings report from Supermicro (NASDAQ: SMCI) served as a wake-up call for investors, revealing that both revenue and non-GAAP EPS fell short of expectations, with guidance for Q1 FY2026 also below market forecasts [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q4 FY2025, Supermicro's revenue growth was only 7.5%, significantly lower than the market's initial expectation of a 35% increase, which was later revised down to 12% [5]. - The company has adjusted its revenue target for FY2026 from $40 billion to "at least $33 billion," indicating a projected year-over-year growth of 50% [6][7]. Market Reaction - Following the disappointing Q4 earnings, Supermicro's stock price dropped over 20%, reflecting a reset in market expectations regarding the company's recovery timeline [2][13]. - The current stock price corresponds to a non-GAAP forward P/E ratio of 17.2, which is in line with the five-year average [2]. Future Outlook - Management indicated that growth catalysts are expected to emerge starting in Q2 FY2026, provided there are no significant economic downturns or unexpected slowdowns in AI demand [2][7]. - The introduction of the GB200 system and the modular data center solution (DCBBS) are anticipated to drive revenue growth, with DCBBS expected to contribute approximately $9.9 billion by Q4 FY2026 [7][8]. Profitability Concerns - Supermicro's non-GAAP gross margin has declined for three consecutive quarters, reaching 9.6% in Q4 FY2025, significantly lower than the 15% level seen in the first half of FY2024 [10][11]. - The company has projected non-GAAP operating expenses of $247 million for Q1 FY2026, with an expected operating profit margin of approximately 5.8%, indicating limited improvement [11][12]. Investment Sentiment - Despite the recent downturn, there is cautious optimism regarding Supermicro's potential for recovery, with analysts upgrading the stock rating from "hold" to "buy" based on anticipated growth catalysts [2][13]. - The market sentiment remains low, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued, presenting a long-term investment opportunity [13].
Hyperscaler Spending Could Supercharge Super Micro Computer Stock
MarketBeat· 2025-08-19 12:11
One thing's for sure: the tech industry is booming, with five major players—Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle—investing heavily to make their ambitious plans a reality. The US has seen over $600 billion invested in new AI infrastructure development, earning these companies the nickname "hyperscalers." Super Micro Computer Today SMCI Super Micro Computer $45.86 +0.49 (+1.08%) 52-Week Range $17.25 ▼ $66.44 P/E Ratio 27.63 Price Target $44.75 One area that could be improved is data center efficienc ...
Super Micro Computer: Guidance Implies A Major Growth Inflection In 2H FY2026 (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-18 03:15
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of fundamental equity research and macroeconomic strategy in investment decision-making, highlighting the analyst's expertise in these areas [1]. Group 1: Analyst Background - The analyst has 7 years of experience at a multi-strategy hedge fund, specializing in fundamental equity research and global macro strategy [1]. - The analyst holds a degree in Business Economics from UCLA and a Master of Accounting from the University of Michigan's Ross School of Business [1]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The focus of the articles is primarily on company fundamentals, indicating a deep dive into financial metrics and performance indicators [1].
Super Micro Computer Sees Modular Infrastructure As The Solution For Its Margin Decline
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-14 18:32
Group 1 - Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is launching Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) to enhance AI infrastructure for enterprises and cloud services [1] - The DCBBS is an integrated technology stack aimed at accelerating the implementation of AI solutions [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of considering the entire investment ecosystem rather than evaluating a company in isolation [1]
美国暗植追踪器监控AI芯片出货,或涉戴尔、超微服务器
是说芯语· 2025-08-14 01:59
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the U.S. government's secretive use of tracking devices in shipments of advanced chips believed to be at high risk of illegal transfer to China, indicating a rigorous enforcement of export restrictions on semiconductor technology [1][3]. Group 1: Tracking Devices and Enforcement - U.S. authorities have installed tracking devices in specific batches of advanced chip shipments to monitor potential illegal transfers to China, reflecting a strong commitment to enforcing export controls [1][3]. - These tracking devices, used for decades by U.S. law enforcement, are now being applied to combat illegal semiconductor transfers, particularly in shipments from manufacturers like Dell and Super Micro [3][4]. - The tracking devices can vary in size, with some being as large as smartphones, and are often hidden within the packaging of the products [4]. Group 2: Industry Reactions and Implications - Companies like Super Micro and Dell have refrained from commenting on the tracking actions, while NVIDIA and AMD have also not provided responses regarding the matter [5]. - The U.S. government has been pushing for chip companies to incorporate location verification technologies in their products to prevent illegal transfers to restricted countries [6]. - China has criticized these export restrictions as measures to hinder its rise and has expressed concerns over potential "backdoor" risks in AI chips [6]. Group 3: Historical Context and Legal Framework - The use of tracking devices by U.S. export enforcement can be traced back several decades, with legal frameworks allowing for their installation under certain conditions [7]. - There are indications that some individuals involved in the transfer of controlled chips to China are aware of the existence of these tracking devices and take precautions to check for them [7]. - Recent legal actions by the U.S. Justice Department have highlighted the scrutiny surrounding shipments containing NVIDIA chips, emphasizing the ongoing investigations into potential export violations [7].