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大和:维持新秀丽“持有”评级 第三季表现大致胜于预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 09:09
Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's report indicates that Samsonite (01910) performed better than expected in Q3, with a revenue decline of 0.6% year-on-year to $873 million, surpassing Daiwa's forecast of $865 million and market expectations of $861 million [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 decreased by 0.6% year-on-year to $873 million [1] - Gross margin improved by 0.3 percentage points year-on-year to 59.6%, significantly exceeding expectations [1] - Net profit for Q3 was $59 million, slightly above Daiwa's forecast of $57 million but below market expectations of $62 million [1] Analyst Rating - Daiwa maintains a "Hold" rating on Samsonite [1]
大和:维持新秀丽(01910)“持有”评级 第三季表现大致胜于预期
智通财经网· 2025-11-14 09:07
Core Viewpoint - Daito's report indicates that Samsonite (01910) performed better than expected in Q3, with a revenue decline of 0.6% year-on-year to $873 million, surpassing the firm's forecast of $865 million and market expectations of $861 million [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 decreased by 0.6% year-on-year to $873 million [1] - The company's gross margin improved by 0.3 percentage points to 59.6%, significantly exceeding expectations [1] - Net profit for Q3 was recorded at $59 million, slightly above the firm's forecast of $57 million but below market expectations of $62 million [1] Analyst Rating - Daito maintains a "Hold" rating on Samsonite [1]
里昂:上调新秀丽目标价至22港元
Core Viewpoint - The report from Citigroup indicates that Samsonite's third-quarter sales amounted to $873 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 1.3% when adjusted for constant currency, although all regions and brands showed signs of sequential improvement [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Samsonite's management expresses confidence in sequential improvement for the fourth quarter, despite noting a high comparison base for December [1] - Citigroup forecasts a 0.2% year-over-year decline in group sales for the fourth quarter, with an overall sales decline of 3% for the full year [1] Group 2: Profitability Outlook - For fiscal year 2025, Citigroup predicts an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.4%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points year-over-year [1] - The firm anticipates a recovery in the margin to 17.1% for fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustment - Based on improved outlook for the second half of 2025, Citigroup raises Samsonite's target price from HKD 21 to HKD 22 and reaffirms a "highly confident outperform" rating [1]
大行评级丨里昂:新秀丽下半年展望改善 目标价上调至22港元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-14 06:31
Core Viewpoint - Citibank's report indicates that Samsonite's Q3 sales reached $873 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.3% when adjusted for constant currency, although all regions and brands showed sequential improvement [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Sales turned positive from August to October, maintaining a stable trend from November to the present [1] - The management expresses confidence in sequential improvement for Q4, but notes that December has a high comparative base [1] Group 2: Financial Forecast - Citibank anticipates a 0.2% year-on-year decline in group sales for Q4, with an overall annual sales decline of 3% [1] - The forecast for adjusted EBITDA margin is 16.4% for FY2025, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, with a recovery to 17.1% in FY2026 and a sales growth of 3% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustment - Based on improved outlook for the second half of 2025, Citibank raises its target price from HKD 21 to HKD 22, reiterating a "highly confident outperform" rating [1]
大行评级丨花旗:新秀丽第三季业绩大致符合预期 评级“买入”
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-14 02:52
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that Samsonite's Q3 performance largely met expectations, with adjusted EBITDA declining by 7.7% year-on-year to $143 million, while revenue at constant exchange rates saw a narrower decline of 1.3% to $872.7 million [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 decreased by 7.7% year-on-year to $143 million [1] - Revenue at constant exchange rates fell by 1.3% year-on-year to $872.7 million [1] - The quarterly improvement was primarily driven by the TUMI brand and the Asia region [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Management anticipates that despite a high base in Q3, sales growth is expected to improve quarter-on-quarter in Q4 due to robust global travel demand, new product launches, and marketing activities [1] - Consumers typically replace their products every 3 to 4 years, with a new replacement cycle expected to begin in 2026 [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is continuing preparations for a U.S. listing, aiming for completion in 2026 if market conditions are favorable, which could act as a catalyst for valuation re-rating [1] - Citigroup has set a target price of HKD 19.7 and maintains a "Buy" rating on the stock [1]
研报掘金丨中金:上调新秀丽目标价至24港元 销售反弹趋势稳步推进
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-14 02:46
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that Samsonite's Q3 net sales reached $873 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.3% at constant exchange rates. Adjusted EBITDA was $143 million, and adjusted net profit was $63.6 million, down from $79.7 million in the same period last year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Samsonite's Q3 net sales were $873 million, a 1.3% year-on-year decline at constant exchange rates [1] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $143 million [1] - Adjusted net profit was $63.6 million, compared to $79.7 million in the previous year [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The company is experiencing an unexpected recovery in Asia, prompting an upward revision of revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 by 3% and 12%, respectively, to $3.513 billion and $302 million [1] - Due to the strong performance of the Tumi business and direct sales channels, as well as improved operating leverage, forecasts for 2026 revenue and net profit have been raised by 3% and 8%, respectively, to $3.753 billion and $342 million [1] Group 3: Rating and Target Price - CICC maintains a "outperform" rating for Samsonite, considering the steady trend of sales rebound [1] - The target price has been increased by 20% to HKD 24 [1]
新秀丽(01910):3Q25业绩略超市场预期,四季度和26年展望积极
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook for Samsonite, indicating a potential recovery in sales and profitability, with expectations for mid-single-digit revenue growth trajectory around 2026 [2][19]. Core Insights - In 3Q25, Samsonite's net sales declined by 1.3% year-on-year, a significant improvement from the 5.8% decline in 2Q25, driven by recovery in DTC and non-travel businesses [2][12]. - The gross margin for 3Q25 reached 59.6%, up 30 basis points from the previous year, indicating effective cost management despite tariff pressures [3][13]. - The company completed a core debt refinancing, enhancing liquidity and financial flexibility, with net debt at approximately $1.2 billion and a net leverage ratio of around 2x [4][14]. - DTC channel sales increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with e-commerce growing over 10%, reflecting a shift towards direct-to-consumer sales [5][15]. - TUMI brand showed strong performance with a 5.0% year-on-year revenue increase in 3Q25, contributing positively to the overall group revenue [6][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 3Q25 net sales were $1.1 billion, with a notable recovery in various regions, excluding North America, which remained under pressure [2][12]. - The company expects further sales improvement in 4Q25, supported by strong October sales and positive holiday season momentum [19]. Cost Management - Gross margin improvements were achieved through supplier collaboration and product optimization, with expectations for continued strong performance into 4Q25 [3][13]. - Operating expenses increased slightly due to prior expansions, with SG&A expenses at $339 million, up 5.1% year-on-year [3][13]. Debt and Liquidity - The company successfully restructured its core debt, extending maturity dates and reducing funding costs, which enhances financial resilience [4][14]. Sales Channels - The DTC channel's revenue share increased from 38.9% to 42%, indicating a strategic shift towards direct sales [5][15]. - The wholesale channel faced challenges, but growth in third-party e-commerce helped mitigate some of the declines [5][15]. Brand Performance - Samsonite brand revenue declined by 4.1% year-on-year, while TUMI and American Tourister showed signs of recovery, with TUMI achieving a 5.0% increase [6][16][18].
港股新秀丽高开近15%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-13 11:06
Core Viewpoint - Samsonite (01910.HK) opened nearly 15% higher and is currently up 14.99%, trading at HKD 19.18 with a transaction volume of HKD 22.9738 million [1] Group 1 - Samsonite's stock price experienced a significant increase of 14.99% [1] - The opening price surged close to 15% [1] - The current trading volume reached HKD 22.9738 million [1]
中信里昂:上调新秀丽目标价至22港元 重申高度确信的“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 09:31
Core Viewpoint - Citic Lyon has raised the target price for Samsonite (01910) by 4.8%, from HKD 21 to HKD 22, maintaining a strong "outperform" rating, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - Citic Lyon has increased its sales forecasts for the company for the fiscal years 2025-2027 by 2-3% and adjusted net profit forecasts by 2-10%, primarily due to improved outlook for the second half of 2025 [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2025 is projected to be 16.4%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, while it is expected to reach 17.1% in fiscal year 2026, with sales returning to a 3% growth [1] Group 2: Recent Performance and Outlook - In the third quarter, the company's sales decreased by 1.3% year-on-year to USD 873 million, but all regions and brands recorded sequential growth [1] - Sales turned positive from August to October, with a continued positive trend from November to the present [1] - The Chinese market outperformed expectations in the third quarter, with a year-on-year increase of 10%, aligning with Citic Lyon's prior expectations, and management is confident about sequential improvement in the fourth quarter [1] - Citic Lyon anticipates a slight year-on-year decline of 0.2% in sales for the fourth quarter, with an overall expected decline of 3% in annual sales [1]
中信里昂:上调新秀丽(01910)目标价至22港元 重申高度确信的“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-13 09:27
Core Viewpoint - Citic Securities has raised the target price for Samsonite (01910) by 4.8%, from HKD 21 to HKD 22, maintaining a "Buy" rating, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects [1] Financial Forecasts - Sales forecasts for Samsonite for the fiscal years 2025-2027 have been increased by 2-3%, while net profit forecasts have been raised by 2-10%, primarily due to improved outlook for the second half of 2025 [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2025 is projected to be 16.4%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, with an expected recovery to 17.1% in fiscal year 2026, alongside a return to 3% sales growth [1] Recent Performance - In the third quarter, Samsonite's sales decreased by 1.3% year-on-year to USD 873 million, but all regions and brands showed sequential growth [1] - Sales turned positive from August to October, with a continued positive trend observed from November to the present [1] Market Insights - The Chinese market outperformed expectations in the third quarter, with a year-on-year growth of 10%, aligning with Citic's prior forecasts, and management is optimistic about sequential improvement in the fourth quarter [1] - For the fourth quarter, sales are expected to decrease by 0.2% year-on-year, with an overall annual sales decline projected at 3% [1]