South Bow Corporation(SOBO)

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South Bow Corporation(SOBO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-16 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a normalized EBITDA of $266 million for the first quarter of 2025, demonstrating a solid financial start to the year [4] - The company reaffirmed its normalized EBITDA guidance for 2025 at $1.01 billion, indicating confidence in its financial resilience despite market volatility [8][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 90% of the company's EBITDA is contracted over the next seven years, which mitigates commodity price and volumetric risks [7] - The company successfully completed the pipeline scope of the Blackrod Connection project, contributing to its operational capabilities [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects to maintain its contractual commitments of 585,000 barrels per day despite operational pressure restrictions due to the Milepost 171 incident [10][71] - The company has observed headwinds against uncontracted volumes due to increased pipeline egress capacity and tariff uncertainties [43][46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a risk-managed approach to capital allocation while pursuing growth opportunities that leverage existing infrastructure [17] - The management emphasized the importance of pipeline integrity and safety, committing to ongoing investments in integrity programs [6][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the stability of cash flows due to highly contracted business, despite challenges from the Milepost 171 incident [22] - The company is committed to providing transparent updates to stakeholders as it learns more about the incident and its implications [16] Other Important Information - The company has mobilized over 300 resources in response to the Milepost 171 incident, successfully containing environmental impacts and restoring operations [9][10] - The management highlighted that insurance policies are expected to cover most costs associated with the incident [10][40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the range of outcomes post-incident? - Management emphasized that 90% of EBITDA is contracted, reducing risk on the base business, and they are working closely with regulators to assess maintenance activities [21][22] Question: What are the learnings from the incident for future prevention? - Management stated that pipeline integrity and safety are top priorities, with significant investments made in inline inspections and integrity programs [24][25] Question: What is the expected duration of pressure restrictions? - Management indicated it is too early to speculate on the timeframe for pressure restrictions, as investigations are ongoing [30][32] Question: How will the incident impact leverage and costs? - Management expects all costs related to the incident to be covered by insurance or variable tolls, maintaining the debt to EBITDA ratio [39][40] Question: What is the outlook for uncommitted volumes? - Management noted that while there are headwinds against uncontracted barrels, the base business remains stable due to high contract commitments [43][46] Question: What is the long-term growth outlook? - Management highlighted the Blackrod project as a key contributor to future EBITDA growth, with expectations for tightening egress volumes in 2026 [49][50] Question: What is the company's stance on potential asset sales? - Management confirmed that all assets are core and there are no current plans for asset sales, but they remain open to future opportunities [57][58] Question: How is the company responding to market conditions post-election? - Management expressed optimism about the regulatory environment and its impact on capital allocation decisions [53][54]
South Bow Corporation(SOBO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-16 13:02
Corporate Presentation MAY 2025 South Bow at a Glance A strategic liquids pipelines franchise connecting resilient supply to the strongest demand markets in North America OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS | 4,900 | km | Pipeline footprint | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.25 | MMbbl/d | Delivered safely and reliably | | 7.6 | MMbbl/d | Terminal storage capacity | FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS1 | 208 million | Shares outstanding | | --- | --- | | $5.1 billion | Market capitalization | | $10.6 billion | Enterprise value2 | | $2.00 /shar ...
South Bow Corporation(SOBO) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-15 21:10
Exhibit 99.1 Management's Discussion and Analysis Basis of Presentation The following management's discussion and analysis ("MD&A") was prepared as of May 15, 2025 and is a review of the results of operations and the financial condition of South Bow Corporation and its subsidiaries (collectively, "South Bow" or the "Company"). This MD&A should be read in conjunction with the accompanying unaudited consolidated interim financial statements of South Bow as at and for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and ...
South Bow Announces Approval of Resolutions at Annual General Meeting of Shareholders
Globenewswire· 2025-05-15 21:09
Core Points - South Bow Corp. held its annual general meeting on May 15, 2025, where shareholders approved all resolutions presented [1][2] - The company appointed 11 board members with voting in favor ranging from 96.51% to 99.83% [1] - KPMG LLP was appointed as the company's auditors with 99.76% of votes in favor [2] - The approach to executive compensation was accepted with 95.95% of votes in favor [2] Company Overview - South Bow operates 4,900 kilometers (3,045 miles) of crude oil pipeline infrastructure, connecting Alberta crude oil supplies to U.S. refining markets [2] - The company is based in Calgary, Alberta, and is a spinoff from TC Energy, officially becoming a standalone entity on October 1, 2024 [2]
South Bow Reports First-quarter 2025 Results and Declares Dividend
Globenewswire· 2025-05-15 21:07
Core Viewpoint - South Bow Corp. reported its first-quarter 2025 financial and operational results, demonstrating resilience despite market volatility and outlining its outlook for the year ahead [1]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $498 million, with a net income of $88 million, translating to $0.42 per share [5][7]. - Normalized EBITDA for the quarter was $266 million, reflecting an 8% decrease from Q4 2024 due to lower demand for uncommitted capacity [5][7]. - Distributable cash flow amounted to $151 million, with total long-term debt and net debt remaining stable at $5.7 billion and $4.9 billion, respectively [5][7]. - The company declared dividends totaling $104 million, or $0.50 per share, during the first quarter [5][7]. Operational Performance - The Keystone Pipeline recorded a throughput of approximately 613,000 barrels per day (bbl/d) with a System Operating Factor (SOF) of 98% [5][7]. - The U.S. Gulf Coast segment of the Keystone Pipeline System had a throughput of approximately 726,000 bbl/d [5][7]. - The Blackrod Connection Project's construction was completed, and the facility is expected to be in service by early 2026, with cash flows anticipated to increase through 2027 [5][7]. Market Outlook - The crude oil pipeline capacity in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin continues to exceed supply, leading to low demand for uncommitted capacity on the Keystone Pipeline in the near term [11]. - Economic and geopolitical uncertainties, including rapidly changing global trade policies, have contributed to significant volatility in commodity prices [11]. 2025 Guidance - South Bow reaffirmed its guidance for normalized EBITDA of approximately $1.01 billion for 2025, with 90% of this secured through committed arrangements [17]. - The company adjusted its normalized EBITDA guidance range to $1.01 billion +/- 1% / -2% due to strong Q1 performance [17]. - Normalized EBITDA for Q2 2025 is expected to be approximately 7% to 8% lower than Q1 2025 [17]. Capital Allocation Priorities - The company focuses on paying a sustainable base dividend, strengthening its investment-grade financial position, and leveraging existing infrastructure to enhance customer offerings [17].
South Bow Safely Restarts Keystone Pipeline
Newsfilter· 2025-04-16 11:30
Core Viewpoint - South Bow Corp. has successfully restarted the Keystone Pipeline after receiving regulatory approval following an oil release incident on April 8, 2025, near Fort Ransom, North Dakota [1][3]. Group 1: Incident Response and Recovery - South Bow has repaired and replaced the affected pipeline section and has recovered most of the estimated 3,500 barrels of oil released, focusing on soil remediation [2]. - The company is committed to the safety of personnel and minimizing environmental risks, with continuous air quality monitoring showing no adverse health concerns [2]. - A Corrective Action Order was issued by PHMSA on April 11, 2025, requiring South Bow to implement specific corrective actions, which included a restart plan that has been approved [3]. Group 2: Regulatory Compliance and Operations - The Keystone Pipeline is now operating under certain pressure restrictions as mandated by PHMSA, and South Bow has also informed the Canada Energy Regulator about similar restrictions on the Canadian sections of the pipeline [3]. - The pipeline was operating within its design and regulatory approval requirements at the time of the incident [3]. - South Bow is actively engaging with regulators, local officials, landowners, and the community during the recovery process [2][3]. Group 3: Communication and Updates - South Bow will continue to provide updates regarding the incident and recovery efforts on its website [4].
South Bow Announces Timing of First-quarter 2025 Results, Conference Call and Webcast, and Annual General Meeting
Globenewswire· 2025-04-14 21:06
Core Points - South Bow Corp. will release its first-quarter 2025 financial and operational results on May 15, 2025, after market close [1] - A conference call and webcast to discuss these results will be held on May 16, 2025, at 8 a.m. MT (10 a.m. ET) [2] - The annual general meeting of shareholders will take place virtually on May 15, 2025, at 8 a.m. MT (10 a.m. ET) [5] Financial and Operational Results - The first-quarter 2025 financial results will be available after market close on May 15, 2025 [1] - Audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2024, are accessible on South Bow's website and through regulatory filings [7] Conference Call and Meeting Details - The conference call will provide an opportunity for stakeholders to discuss the first-quarter results [2] - Registration is required to access the conference call, and participants will receive a unique PIN [3] - The annual meeting will enable greater shareholder attendance and participation through a live audio webcast [5][6]
Will SOBO stock crash below $20 after Keystone pipeline spill?
Finbold· 2025-04-09 14:37
Tuesday’s Keystone pipeline spill resulted in roughly 3,500 barrels of crude oil being released in North Dakota.While that might not sound like much, the issue has halted the flow of millions of gallons of crude oil on the way from Canada to U.S. refineries. The $5.2 billion pipeline transported an average of 624,000 barrels, roughly 26 million gallons, in 2024.Here’s the rub — refineries keep a supply of crude on hand — but if the shutdown continues for a couple of more days, gas, and diesel in particular, ...
South Bow Responds to Pipeline Incident at Milepost 171
Newsfilter· 2025-04-09 11:30
Core Points - South Bow Corp has shut down the Keystone Pipeline due to an oil release incident near Fort Ransom, North Dakota [1] - The shutdown was initiated after leak detection systems identified a pressure drop, with the system being fully shut down within two minutes [2] - Approximately 3,500 barrels of oil have been estimated to be released from the pipeline [2] Response Efforts - The company has activated emergency response procedures, focusing on onsite staff safety, community well-being, and environmental protection [3] - Continuous air and environmental monitoring has been established to mitigate risks associated with the incident [3] - South Bow will provide ongoing updates regarding the situation on its website [3] Forward-Looking Statements - The news release includes forward-looking statements regarding the company's response efforts and future updates related to the oil release [4][5] - These statements are based on assumptions about market conditions, regulatory approvals, and operational costs [5][6] - The company does not guarantee the accuracy of these forward-looking statements, as they are subject to various risks and uncertainties [6][7]
South Bow Corporation (SOBO) Closes the Market
Newsfile· 2025-04-07 20:41
Company Overview - South Bow Corporation has officially listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) [1] - The company was previously part of TC Energy's liquid pipelines business and became a standalone entity in 2024 [2] Operational Highlights - South Bow delivers 1.25 million barrels of crude oil daily through its pipeline infrastructure [2] - The company connects Alberta crude oil supplies to U.S. refining markets located in Illinois, Oklahoma, and the U.S. Gulf Coast [2] - South Bow emphasizes safe and reliable transportation to North America's highest demand markets [2]