Core Insights - Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) reported Q3 2025 revenue of $29.2 million, reflecting a 6% sequential growth and a 3% year-over-year increase, driven by a 42% rise in On Demand services [5] - The company experienced an adjusted EBITDA loss of $9.9 million, which was in line with guidance, while airline operations achieved a second consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA [5] - Significant capital structure improvements were made, including a $100 million strategic transaction to fund SurfOS and refinance debt, positioning the company for a more sustainable capital structure [5] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $29.2 million, exceeding guidance [5] - Adjusted EBITDA loss was reported at $9.9 million, consistent with expectations [5] - The airline operations segment delivered positive adjusted EBITDA for the second consecutive quarter [5] Strategic Developments - The company has made substantial improvements to its capital structure, refinancing higher-cost debt and reducing annual cash interest [5] - These actions are expected to provide a clearer path toward scaling operations and initiating Phase 3 of the transformation plan in FY26 [5]

Group 1 - Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) stock has decreased nearly 35% since the last report, indicating significant volatility in its market performance [1] - The company is viewed as a speculative investment, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence and the electrification of aviation [1] - The analyst, Dhierin-Perkash Bechai, emphasizes the importance of data-informed analysis in identifying investment opportunities within the aerospace, defense, and airline sectors [1] Group 2 - The Aerospace Forum is highlighted as a leading investment research service focused on the aerospace, defense, and airline industries, providing access to proprietary data analytics [1] - The analyst's background in aerospace engineering contributes to a nuanced understanding of industry developments and their potential impact on investment strategies [1] - The forum aims to uncover growth prospects in a complex industry, suggesting a proactive approach to investment analysis [1]

Group 1: Earnings Performance - Surf Air Mobility Inc. reported a quarterly loss of $0.64 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.61, but an improvement from a loss of $0.94 per share a year ago, indicating a year-over-year improvement [1] - The company posted revenues of $29.17 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.30% and showing an increase from year-ago revenues of $28.39 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once, while it has topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - Surf Air Mobility Inc. shares have lost approximately 43.6% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 16.4% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is -$0.57 on revenues of $28.28 million, and -$3.61 on revenues of $107.17 million for the current fiscal year [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Transportation - Airline industry, to which Surf Air Mobility Inc. belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may negatively impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that investors should monitor these revisions closely [5][6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported third quarter revenue of $29,200,000, exceeding guidance of $27,000,000 to $28,500,000, and representing a 6% sequential increase from the second quarter [7][26] - Adjusted EBITDA loss for the third quarter was $9,900,000, within the guidance range, and the company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to at least $105,000,000 [7][26] - The company has improved its capital structure, reducing debt by $52,000,000 through pay downs and conversions to equity [5][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The on-demand business generated a 40% increase in revenue compared to both the second quarter and the same quarter of the prior year, benefiting from a shift in the mix of flying from turboprop to jet aircraft [9][26] - Scheduled service revenue decreased by 4% year-over-year, while on-demand revenue increased by 42% sequentially [26] - The airline operations achieved a second consecutive quarter of profitability, defined as positive adjusted EBITDA [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has flown over 300,000 passengers in the past twelve months, positioning itself as one of the largest commuter airlines in the country [10] - The company is well-positioned in the air mobility market, leveraging relationships with over 400 operators for its on-demand operations [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is executing a four-phase transformation plan aimed at building an air mobility platform and strengthening its financial position [4][14] - Plans include the commercialization of Surf OS in 2026, with three flagship products: BrokerOS, OperatorOS, and OwnerOS [14][15] - The company is pursuing strategies to showcase new technology in its airline operations and expand into new markets, particularly in Hawaii [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's position to drive shareholder value and highlighted the successful execution of the transformation plan [21][55] - The company anticipates a runway of 18 to 24 months for the commercialization of Surf OS, supported by recent financing [30][46] - Management noted that the government shutdown has not significantly impacted operations, with no capacity reductions affecting their services [49][50] Other Important Information - The company has entered a five-year exclusive partnership with Palantir to leverage AI tools for developing an all-in-one software platform for the air mobility industry [11][12] - The company is targeting a supplemental type certificate for electrified powertrains by 2027, with plans to work with key organizations in the industry [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: What kind of cash runway do you have in terms of commercializing Surf OS? - The financing provides a runway of between 18 and 24 months for Surf OS [30] Question: Can you talk about your partnerships with Palantir and Beta Technologies? - The company is well-positioned to partner with various electrification technology providers, leveraging its regional air mobility operations [31][32] Question: Are there opportunities to lower operating costs over the next twelve to eighteen months? - The company is still optimizing airline operations and expects to achieve increased profitability and operational performance through technology [33][34] Question: How many more routes might you expect to remove from the scheduled business? - A few more exits are expected in the fourth quarter, with all unprofitable routes to be exited by the end of the year [40] Question: Can you speak to the path for the company to be debt-free? - The company has a clear path to becoming debt-free through the convertible note structure and successful execution of its transformation plan [44] Question: Any commentary around the recent government shutdown? - The company has not experienced significant impacts from the government shutdown, continuing operations without disruptions [49][50]

Core Insights - Surf Air Mobility Inc. has appointed Shawn Pelsinger to its Board of Directors, effective October 8, 2025 [1] Company Overview - Surf Air Mobility is recognized as a leading regional air mobility platform [1] - Shawn Pelsinger currently serves as Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer at Acrisure, a global fintech provider [1]

Summary of Surf Air Mobility Conference Call Company Overview - Surf Air Mobility (NYSE: SRFM) is a leading air mobility platform and one of the largest commuter airlines in the U.S. by scheduled departures [1] - The company operates as the largest U.S. passenger operator of Cessna Caravans and is developing an AI-powered software platform called Surf OS in partnership with Palantir Technologies [1][5] - Surf Air Mobility is also focused on commercializing electrified aircraft and creating proprietary powertrain technology for the Cessna Caravan under an exclusive agreement with Textron Aviation [1] Core Business Units - The company has two distinct business units: 1. **Air Mobility**: Scheduled and charter flight operations in the Part 135 space 2. **Air Technology**: Focused on Surf OS software platform and powertrain electrification initiatives [5][7] Recent Performance and Financials - In the last 12 months, Surf Air Mobility flew approximately 320,000 passengers [5] - Q2 revenue was reported at $27 million, exceeding guidance of $23.5 to $26.5 million [13] - Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $9.5 million, better than the guidance range of $10 to $13 million [13] - Key operating performance measures improved significantly, achieving profitability in airline operations for Q2 [13] Strategic Partnerships and Agreements - Signed a five-year software license agreement with Palantir Technologies, becoming their exclusive partner for software configuration and sales for Part 135 operators [16] - Palantir Technologies is also one of Surf Air Mobility's largest shareholders, aligning interests [17] Transformation Plan - The company implemented a four-stage transformation plan: 1. **Transformation**: Completed in 2024, focused on improving capital structure and management team [11] 2. **Optimization**: Currently in this phase, optimizing airline operations and implementing Surf OS technology [11] 3. **Expansion and Acceleration**: Planned for 2026 and 2027, including launching new routes and deploying electric aircraft [12] Technology Initiatives - Surf OS includes modules like Broker OS and Operator OS, which are currently live and being utilized within the company's operations [8][15] - The company is developing proprietary electric and hybrid electric powertrains for the Cessna Grand Caravan, aimed at reducing costs and emissions [9] Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve at least $100 million in revenue for the year and a positive adjusted EBITDA in airline operations [15] - Plans to launch new routes and expand product offerings in the Part 135 marketplace [12][21] - The transformation plan is focused on profitable growth, with a strong operational team and unique agreements with partners [21][23] Key Takeaways - Surf Air Mobility is positioned to leverage technology for growth in the air mobility sector, with a strong focus on electrification and operational efficiency [1][21] - The company is on track to achieve its financial goals and is making significant progress in its transformation initiatives [15][21]

Core Viewpoint - Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - Rising earnings estimates for Surf Air Mobility Inc. indicate an improvement in the company's underlying business, likely leading to an increase in stock price [5][10]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks Rank stock-rating system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a strong historical performance, particularly for Zacks Rank 1 stocks, which have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7][9]. - The upgrade of Surf Air Mobility Inc. to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, Surf Air Mobility Inc. is expected to earn -$3.61 per share, with no year-over-year change [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Surf Air Mobility Inc. has increased by 7.5%, reflecting positive sentiment among analysts [8].

Summary of Surf Air Mobility Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Surf Air Mobility - **Ticker Symbol**: SRFM - **Industry**: Regional Air Services and Technology Key Points and Arguments Business Transformation - Surf Air Mobility is undergoing a four-phase transformation plan initiated in 2024, focusing on improving capital structure and liquidity [3][16] - The company has raised both debt and equity to support its turnaround efforts, enhancing its balance sheet [3][18] - New management with extensive aviation experience has been brought in to drive the transformation [3] Airline Operations - Surf Air Mobility is one of the largest commuter airlines in the U.S., operating a fleet of 45 Cessna Caravans [4] - The airline operations have shown significant improvements, with double-digit growth in operational metrics compared to the previous year [8] - The company aims to exit 2025 with profitability in its airline operations, having already achieved profitability in the second quarter of the current year [8][17] Technology Development - The company is developing a software platform for the Part 135 industry in partnership with Palantir Technologies, which owns 10% of Surf Air Mobility [4][10] - The SurfOS product is designed to address the needs of various stakeholders in the general aviation space, including brokers, operators, and aircraft owners [10][21] - The technology aims to bring efficiency and productivity to a fragmented market that currently relies heavily on outdated methods [10][21] Electrification Initiative - Surf Air Mobility is pursuing an electrification initiative to develop fully electric and hybrid-electric powertrains, which will reduce operating costs and emissions [5][28] - The company has identified supply chain partners to help fund this electrification project [5] Market Potential - The global market for regional air mobility is estimated to be between $75 billion and $115 billion by 2035, with the U.S. market alone exceeding $15 billion [22] - Surf Air Mobility plans to leverage existing infrastructure, such as underutilized public use airports, to facilitate growth in air mobility [14] Financial Strategy - The company has taken significant steps to strengthen its balance sheet, including a $50 million term loan and raising $45 million in equity [16][18] - The reduction in cash burn and improved flight completion rates (from 82% to 95%) are direct results of these financial strategies [17] - Future financing will be opportunistic, aimed at accelerating the transformation plan and commercial rollout of SurfOS [22] Competitive Advantage - Surf Air Mobility's operational experience and existing airline operations provide a competitive edge in testing and deploying new technologies [26][27] - The platform is agnostic to aircraft type, allowing for integration with various electric aircraft, enhancing operational flexibility [28] Additional Important Insights - The company is focused on monetizing its technology products starting in 2026, transitioning its on-demand business from a cost center to a profit center [12] - The partnership with Palantir Technologies is crucial for developing data-driven solutions tailored to the needs of the Part 135 market [20][21] - Surf Air Mobility's strategy emphasizes modularity in its technology offerings, allowing for customization based on stakeholder requirements [20][21]

Group 1 - Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) has experienced significant selling pressure, resulting in a 16.6% decline in stock price over the past four weeks, but it is now considered to be in oversold territory with potential for recovery [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for SRFM is currently at 29.47, indicating that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself, suggesting a possible bounce back towards equilibrium [5] - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for SRFM by 15.9% over the last 30 days, which typically correlates with price appreciation in the near term [7] Group 2 - SRFM holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, indicating a strong potential for a turnaround [8]

Core Viewpoint - Surf Air Mobility's stock price has significantly decreased from approximately $8.80 in mid-July to around $4.50, largely due to mixed Q2 earnings and limited short-term growth visibility [2][4] Financial Performance - The Q2 earnings report showed a loss of $0.93 per share with revenues of $27.4 million, down from $32.4 million a year prior, indicating a 15% decline [2] - Projected Q3 revenues are estimated between $27 million and $28.5 million, suggesting limited growth potential in the near term [2] - Revenues have declined by 4% over the past year, with operating margins at -32.6% and negative cash flow [4] - The company has $91 million in debt, nearly half of its $180 million market capitalization, and cash reserves of $23 million, indicating a weak balance sheet [4] Strategic Initiatives - Surf Air is pursuing a long-term strategy to electrify short-haul regional air travel using hybrid and fully electric propulsion technology [3] - The company plans to retrofit existing aircraft, including Cessna models, for quicker and cost-effective implementation of its innovations [3] - Surf Air has strengthened its relationship with Palantir, which now holds nearly 20% of the company, and has a five-year exclusive software partnership with Palantir [3] - The SurfOS platform, powered by Palantir's AI, is set to launch in 2026, aiming to become a next-generation operating system for aviation [3] Valuation Metrics - Surf Air is trading at around 0.6x sales, compared to 3.1x for the S&P 500, indicating it may be fairly priced but also reflects investor caution [4] - The company's current financial metrics suggest it represents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity [4]