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Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Sterling Stock Post Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 16:06
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding estimates by 24.7% and 12.5% respectively, showcasing robust year-over-year growth across key metrics [1][2] Financial Performance - Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $3.48, a 58% increase from the prior year, while revenues totaled $689 million, reflecting a 32% rise [2] - The E-Infrastructure Solutions segment saw a 58% growth, with 42% being organic, and Transportation Solutions increased by 10% [2] - Gross margin expanded by 280 basis points to 24.7%, driven by a shift towards higher-margin projects [2] - Adjusted EBITDA grew 47% year-over-year to $156 million, with operating cash flow at $84 million [2] Market Performance - STRL shares gained 32.7% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Engineering - R and D Services industry and the S&P 500, which grew by 3.8% and 8.9% respectively [5] - The stock also outperformed the broader Construction sector's 1% rise during the same period [5] Growth Drivers - The data center market was a key growth driver, with revenues from this area increasing over 125% year-over-year [10] - A strong backlog of $2.6 billion, up 64% from the previous year, indicates solid visibility for future growth [12] - E-Infrastructure Solutions accounted for $1.8 billion of the backlog, reflecting a 97% year-over-year increase [12] - The company anticipates E-Infrastructure revenue growth of around 30% or higher on an organic basis for 2025 [11] Strategic Focus - Sterling's strategic focus on mission-critical projects, including data centers and e-commerce distribution, has strengthened its position in high-growth markets [9] - The Transportation Solutions segment showed steady progress, with adjusted operating profit increasing 40% year-over-year [14] Future Outlook - The company expects continued strong momentum in data centers into 2026, supported by a solid pipeline of new projects and healthy customer demand [11] - For 2025, STRL anticipates adjusted operating profit margins to rise to between 13.5% and 14% from 9.6% in 2024 [15] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged at $9.57 and $10.98 per share, indicating year-over-year growth of 56.9% and 14.7% respectively [16] Valuation - STRL is currently trading at a premium compared to industry peers, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio above the five-year average [18] - The company is priced higher than competitors such as AECOM, Fluor, and KBR [20]
Sterling Infrastructure: I Got It Wrong, But The Recent Pullback Sets Up A Golden Opportunity Again
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 18:02
Group 1 - Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) reported strong double-digit growth in its topline for the second half of the year [1] - The growth was attributed to significant contributions from the recent CEC integration and ongoing strength in the market [1] Group 2 - The company is recognized for its focus on infrastructure solutions, indicating a robust foundation for long-term success [1]
IBD 50 Stocks: Data Center Leader Sterling Boasts Relative Strength In Volatile Market
Investors· 2025-11-10 17:11
Group 1 - Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) has shown resilience amid recent stock market weakness and is targeting a new buy point, making it a notable stock to monitor as the market recovers from previous losses [2][4] - The company has received an upgrade in its IBD Relative Strength Rating, climbing to 77, indicating improved price performance [4] - The stock is part of a broader industry group that is seeing several stocks near buy points, suggesting potential investment opportunities [4] Group 2 - The overall market is experiencing dips ahead of a jobs report, with specific focus on stocks like Broadcom, KKR, and STRL [4] - There is a notable surge in demand for AI-related stocks, with one stock seeing a 108% increase to its buy point as profits rise [4] - The engineering sector, particularly companies like Sterling Infrastructure, is attempting breakout strategies, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [4]
Will Sterling's 125% Data Centre Growth Extend Into 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 16:26
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) is benefiting from strong demand in the data center construction market, positioning itself as a key player in mission-critical infrastructure development [1][4] - The company reported a remarkable 125% year-over-year increase in data center revenues in Q3 2025, driven by the need for large-scale and complex site development projects [2][9] - Sterling's backlog growth, fueled by signed and anticipated data center awards, provides strong visibility into 2026 and beyond, leading to an increase in full-year 2025 guidance [3][9] Company Performance - Sterling's E-Infrastructure Solutions segment is experiencing expanding profitability due to a shift towards larger, higher-margin projects [2][9] - The company's shares have surged 30.4% in the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Engineering - R and D Services industry's growth of 2.9% [7] - The current forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for STRL is 35.06, indicating a premium compared to industry peers [12] Competitive Landscape - Sterling operates in a competitive environment with major firms like Quanta Services, Inc. and EMCOR Group, Inc. expanding into mission-critical and data center development [5][6] - Quanta Services has strong expertise in electrical infrastructure, while EMCOR has a nationwide presence in mechanical and electrical construction services, both of which pose competition to Sterling [5][6] - Sterling's integrated approach, combining site development and electrical services, provides a distinctive advantage in the growing data center investment landscape [6] Financial Estimates - Earnings estimates for STRL remain unchanged at $9.57 and $10.98 per share for 2025 and 2026, respectively, indicating year-over-year growth of 56.9% and 14.7% [13]
Sterling Infrastructure Set to Join S&P MidCap 400 and Red Rock Resorts to Join S&P SmallCap 600
Prnewswire· 2025-11-06 23:20
Core Points - Sterling Infrastructure Inc. will replace Light & Wonder Inc. in the S&P MidCap 400, while Red Rock Resorts Inc. will replace Sterling Infrastructure in the S&P SmallCap 600, effective November 13, 2025 [1][2] - Light & Wonder is expected to delist from the NASDAQ Stock Exchange around the same date and will maintain its primary listing in Australia [1] Index Changes - Effective November 13, 2025: - Addition of Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) to the S&P MidCap 400 in the Industrials sector [2] - Deletion of Light & Wonder (LNW) from the S&P MidCap 400 in the Consumer Discretionary sector [2] - Addition of Red Rock Resorts (RRR) to the S&P SmallCap 600 in the Consumer Discretionary sector [2] - Deletion of Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) from the S&P SmallCap 600 in the Industrials sector [2]
Sterling Infrastructure: Wait For A Better Entry Point As Stock Looks Overstretched Now
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-06 06:13
Core Insights - The article emphasizes a value-focused investment strategy, highlighting the importance of fundamental research in sectors such as chemicals, homebuilders, building materials, industrials, and metals & mining [1] Investment Strategy - The investment approach prioritizes stocks that are undervalued and have potential catalysts in the near future, indicating a focus on identifying opportunities for growth [1] - The investment horizon is defined as ranging from one quarter to two years, suggesting a medium-term perspective on investment returns [1] Experience and Background - The individual has over three years of active investing experience, having worked as a buy-side analyst at a boutique research firm and family offices, which adds credibility to the investment insights provided [1]
Sterling Q3 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, '25 View Raised
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 20:10
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, and both metrics showing year-over-year growth [1][3]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reached $3.48, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.79 by 24.7%, and increased from $2.20 in the same quarter last year [3][9]. - Revenues totaled $689 million, exceeding the consensus mark of $612 million by 12.5%, and reflecting a 16% increase from $594 million in the prior year [3][9]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose 47% year over year to $155.8 million, with gross margin expanding by 280 basis points to 24.7% [6][9]. Segment Performance - E-Infrastructure Solutions generated revenues of $417.1 million, a 58% increase from $263.9 million year-over-year, with adjusted operating income rising 56.8% to $111.7 million [4]. - Transportation Solutions reported revenues of $170.5 million, up 10% from $155.1 million in the previous year, with adjusted operating income increasing to $26.7 million from $19.1 million [5]. - Building Solutions saw revenues of $101.4 million, a slight decline of 1.1% from $102.6 million year-over-year, but adjusted operating income increased by 9.6% to $12.6 million [5]. Outlook - The company raised its adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 to a range of $10.35 to $10.52, up from the previous expectation of $9.21 to $9.47 [8][9]. - Adjusted net income for the full year 2025 is now projected to be between $321 million and $326 million, compared to the prior estimate of $285 million to $294 million [8]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the year is expected to be between $486 million and $491 million, an increase from the previous forecast of $438 million to $453 million [10].
Sterling Infrastructure: Compelling Q3 Results, But Not Advisable To Chase
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-04 17:27
Group 1 - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) provides a range of infrastructure services including e-infrastructure, transportation, residential, and commercial building [1] - The e-infrastructure segment is particularly lucrative as it involves foundational civil and electrical infrastructure for U.S. data centers [1]
Sterling Infrastructure(STRL) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-04 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue grew by 32% year-over-year, driven by a 58% increase in the e-infrastructure solutions segment and a 10% increase in the transportation segment [6][7] - Adjusted earnings per share increased by 58% to $3.48, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 47% to $156 million [6][7] - Gross profit margins expanded by 280 basis points to 24.7% [6] - Operating cash flow for the quarter was strong at $84 million, with a backlog totaling $2.6 billion, a 64% year-over-year increase [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - E-infrastructure solutions revenue grew by 58% year-over-year, with a 42% organic growth rate [6][8] - Transportation solutions revenue increased by 10%, with adjusted operating profit growing by 40% [9] - Building solutions segment revenue declined by 1%, with adjusted operating income down by 10% due to challenges in the housing market [10][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - E-infrastructure backlog reached $1.8 billion, up 97% year-over-year, with a 45% increase excluding contributions from the recent acquisition of CEC [7][11] - Transportation solutions backlog was $733 million, a 23% year-over-year increase [9] - Building solutions faced a decline in revenue due to affordability challenges in the housing market [10][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its expanded service portfolio following the CEC acquisition, focusing on large mission-critical projects [8][17] - The strategy includes a commitment to sustainability and community engagement, referred to as "The Sterling Way" [7] - The company is exploring small to mid-size acquisitions to enhance service offerings and geographic footprint, primarily in e-infrastructure [19][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the multi-year growth opportunities across all markets, particularly in e-infrastructure and transportation solutions [16][18] - The company anticipates continued strong demand in the data center market and expects e-infrastructure revenue growth of 30% or higher on an organic basis for 2025 [17] - Transportation solutions are expected to grow in the low teens, with improved margins due to a shift towards higher-margin services [18] Other Important Information - The company has a strong liquidity position with $306.4 million in cash and $294.6 million in debt, resulting in a net cash position of $11.8 million [13] - Full-year guidance for 2025 has been increased, projecting revenue between $2.375 billion and $2.39 billion, representing over 5% growth at the midpoint [14][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth in CEC signed and unsigned work - Management noted strong bookings in the data center sector and expressed excitement about the reception from customers regarding the CEC acquisition [25][26] Question: Margin expansion opportunities - Management highlighted that larger project sizes and improved productivity from recent acquisitions contribute to expected margin expansion [27][28] Question: Composition of the $4 billion forward pipeline - The majority of the pipeline is in e-infrastructure, primarily driven by data center projects [43] Question: Impact of government shutdown on transportation funding - Management confirmed no impact from the government shutdown, as funding for current jobs has already been allocated [61][62] Question: Data center growth breakdown - Growth is attributed to both new projects and the conversion of future phases into backlog [66]
Sterling Infrastructure(STRL) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-04 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue grew by 32% year-over-year, driven by a 58% increase in the e-infrastructure solutions segment and a 10% increase in the transportation segment [6][7] - Adjusted earnings per share increased by 58% to $3.48, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 47% to $156 million [6][7] - Gross profit margins expanded by 280 basis points to 24.7% [6] - Operating cash flow for the quarter was strong at $84 million, with backlog totaling $2.6 billion, a 64% year-over-year increase [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - E-infrastructure solutions revenue grew by 58% year-over-year, with a 42% organic growth rate [6][8] - Transportation solutions revenue increased by 10%, with adjusted operating profit growing by 40% [9] - Building solutions segment revenue declined by 1%, with adjusted operating income down by 10% due to challenges in the housing market [10][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - E-infrastructure backlog reached $1.8 billion, up 97% year-over-year, with a 45% increase excluding contributions from the recent acquisition of CEC [7][11] - Transportation solutions backlog was $733 million, a 23% year-over-year increase [9] - Building solutions faced a decline in revenue due to affordability challenges in the housing market [10][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its expanded service portfolio following the CEC acquisition, focusing on large mission-critical projects [8][17] - The strategy includes a commitment to sustainability and community engagement, referred to as "The Sterling Way" [7] - The company is looking for small to mid-size acquisitions to enhance service offerings and geographic footprint, primarily in e-infrastructure [19][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the multi-year growth opportunities across all markets, particularly in e-infrastructure and transportation solutions [16][18] - The company anticipates continued strong demand in the data center market and plans to align with partners for multi-year capital deployment [16][17] - Management noted that while the building solutions segment faces short-term challenges, long-term growth is expected due to population growth in key geographies [19] Other Important Information - The company increased its full-year guidance for 2025, projecting revenue between $2.375 billion and $2.39 billion, representing over 5% growth at the midpoint [14][20] - Adjusted diluted EPS guidance was raised to a range of $10.35 to $10.52, indicating a 9% increase at the midpoint [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth in CEC signed and unsigned work - Management noted strong bookings in the data center sector and expressed excitement about the reception from customers regarding the CEC acquisition [25][26] Question: Margin expansion opportunities - Management highlighted that larger project sizes and improved productivity from recent acquisitions contribute to expected margin expansion [27][28] Question: Composition of the $4 billion forward pipeline - Management indicated that $3 billion of the pipeline is in e-infrastructure, primarily driven by data center projects [43] Question: Impact of government shutdown on transportation funding - Management confirmed no impact from the government shutdown, as funding for current jobs has already been allocated [61][62] Question: Data center growth breakdown - Management explained that data center growth is a combination of new projects and the conversion of future phases into backlog [66]