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Down 27.0% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM)
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 14:36
Core Viewpoint - Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. (TNDM) has experienced a significant decline of 27% over the past four weeks, but it is now positioned for a potential trend reversal as it enters oversold territory, with analysts predicting better earnings than previously expected [1] Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that indicates whether a stock is oversold, with readings below 30 typically signaling this condition [2] - TNDM's current RSI reading is 19.31, suggesting that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, indicating a potential bounce back towards equilibrium [5] Group 2: Fundamental Indicators - There is a strong consensus among sell-side analysts that TNDM's earnings estimates for the current year have increased by 0.6% over the last 30 days, which often correlates with price appreciation [7] - TNDM holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the stock's potential for a turnaround [8]
TNDM Stock Gains on t:slim X2's Compatibility With FreeStyle Libre 3 +
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 14:51
Company Overview - Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. (TNDM) has launched its t:slim X2 insulin pump with Control-IQ+ technology, now compatible with Abbott's FreeStyle Libre 3 Plus continuous glucose monitoring sensor in the U.S. An early access program has been initiated, with plans for broader availability in the second half of 2025 [1][9]. Stock Performance - Following the announcement of the new compatibility, TNDM's shares increased by 1.6%, reaching $20.55 [2]. However, over the past year, TNDM shares have experienced a decline of 49.4%, compared to a 14.8% decline in the industry [12]. Financial Metrics - Tandem Diabetes has a market capitalization of $1.35 billion and is projected to have an earnings per share (EPS) growth rate of 28.3% in 2025, significantly higher than the industry's expected growth of 13.8%. Revenue for 2025 is anticipated to rise by 10.6% [4]. Product Features - The t:slim X2 insulin pump utilizes advanced hybrid closed-loop technology, adjusting insulin delivery every five minutes based on predicted glucose values. It features the unique AutoBolus function, which calculates and delivers correction boluses for missed meals [5]. The FreeStyle Libre 3 Plus sensor offers a 15-day wear time and transmits glucose readings every minute to the t:slim mobile app [6]. Industry Insights - The global insulin delivery device market was valued at $16.43 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.9% by 2027, driven by the increasing prevalence of diabetes and advancements in technology [7][10]. Strategic Developments - Tandem Diabetes has entered an agreement to develop integrated diabetes solutions that will combine Abbott's future dual glucose-ketone sensor with Tandem's insulin delivery systems, enhancing options for diabetes management [11].
Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-10 13:40
Summary of Tandem Diabetes Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tandem Diabetes - **Key Executives**: President and CEO, Susan Morrison (Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer) Recent Performance - **2024 Growth**: Guided for 10% growth but achieved 18% growth, marking the highest fourth quarter performance ever [4][5] - **Q1 Performance**: Q1 growth exceeded 20%, driven by strong demand and the introduction of new products [9][20] Product Developments - **Tandem Mobi**: A smaller, discreet device utilizing Control IQ technology, leading to double-digit growth in MDI starts since its launch [6][7] - **Type 2 Approval**: Received approval for Type 2 diabetes management, with expectations for meaningful growth in the coming years [8][15] - **Pharmacy Channel**: Plans to fully leverage the pharmacy channel, which is expected to enhance accessibility and profitability [8][66] Market Dynamics - **Competitive Landscape**: Anticipated disruption from a competitor separating their diabetes business, but Tandem believes its pipeline and initiatives will maintain competitive advantage [18][19] - **Type 2 Market Potential**: Approximately 2.3 million people in the U.S. with insulin-intensive Type 2 diabetes, with only about 100,000 currently using pumps, indicating significant growth potential [30][31] Sales Strategy - **Sales Force Expansion**: Ongoing evaluation of sales force size and market access strategies, particularly for Type 2 diabetes management [34][36] - **Pharmacy Channel Strategy**: Focus on increasing covered lives and establishing contracts to enhance market access [70][72] Financial Outlook - **Gross Margin Expectations**: Anticipated increase from 51% to 54% for the year, with long-term targets of 60% gross margin by 2026 [78][82] - **Operational Efficiency**: Initiatives in place to improve operating margins while expanding sales force and entering new markets [80][86] Pipeline and Future Developments - **Integration with CGMs**: Ongoing integration of new technologies, including the FreeStyle Libre 3, to enhance product offerings [46][48] - **AdaNet Algorithm**: Collaboration with UVA to develop a new algorithm aimed at improving diabetes management [54][61] Key Takeaways - **Market Awareness**: Increased awareness of AID systems among Type 2 diabetes patients is expected to drive steady growth [32][33] - **Long-term Strategy**: Tandem is focused on a portfolio approach to address diverse market needs, ensuring a competitive edge through innovation and technology [40][43] Conclusion - Tandem Diabetes is positioned for significant growth driven by innovative product offerings, strategic market expansions, and a focus on improving patient access through pharmacy channels. The company is optimistic about its future performance and market potential, particularly in the Type 2 diabetes segment.
Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 20:47
Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) - **Industry**: Diabetes management technology, specifically insulin delivery systems Key Points and Arguments Market Expansion - Tandem has expanded its focus from primarily Type 1 diabetes to include Type 2 diabetes, which has more than doubled its addressable market in the U.S. [4][7] - The company is also exploring opportunities in the pharmacy channel, which could enhance revenue and margins [5][21] Product Offerings - Tandem's product portfolio includes the t:slim and Mobi insulin pumps, with Mobi designed to attract new users, particularly in the pediatric population [10][12] - Mobi has seen double-digit growth in new pump starts, particularly among those transitioning from multiple daily injections (MDI) [12][14] Pipeline Developments - Upcoming products include enhancements to Mobi and the introduction of the SIGI pump, which will offer tubeless functionality [15][17] - The company plans to share updates on its Control IQ study at the upcoming ADA conference, which could further validate its technology [19][20] Financial Outlook - Tandem aims for gross margins of 60% by 2026, with a long-term goal of 65% [21][22] - The introduction of Mobi and its lower cost profile, along with pharmacy channel penetration, are expected to drive margin improvements [23][24] Sales Strategy - Tandem is transitioning to a direct sales model in select international markets, which is anticipated to improve margins and market penetration [27][30] - The company has been expanding its sales force in the U.S. to enhance market awareness and support for physicians prescribing insulin pumps [50][51] Competitive Landscape - The competitive dynamics may shift with Medtronic's business changes, but Tandem remains confident in its ability to compete effectively [60][61] - The company is focused on differentiating its products, particularly with the upcoming SIGI pump [62][63] Pharmacy Channel Opportunity - The pharmacy channel is seen as a significant growth opportunity, with about 30% of lives in the U.S. covered under pharmacy agreements [34][40] - Tandem is testing the waters in the pharmacy space, with the potential for it to become a material part of the business before the SIGI launch [32][34] Investor Sentiment - There is a growing appreciation among investors for Tandem's pharmacy opportunity, which is expected to enhance revenue and profitability [74][75] Additional Important Insights - The company is focused on innovation as a driver for market adoption, with expectations for increased penetration rates in both Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes populations [42][44] - Tandem's strategy includes offering a diverse portfolio of products to meet varying customer needs, which is expected to enhance its competitive position [65][66]
Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) Up 6.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-05-30 16:37
Company Overview - Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. (TNDM) has seen its shares increase by approximately 6.5% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 [1] - The most recent earnings report is crucial for understanding the key drivers affecting the stock [1] Earnings Estimates - Estimates for Tandem Diabetes Care have trended downward over the past month, with the consensus estimate shifting by -19.45% [2] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [4] VGM Scores - Tandem Diabetes Care has an average Growth Score of C, a Momentum Score of F, and a Value Score of C, placing it in the middle 20% for the value investment strategy [3] - The overall aggregate VGM Score for the stock is D, which is significant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Industry Performance - Tandem Diabetes Care is part of the Zacks Medical - Instruments industry, where another player, Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG), has gained 7.5% in the past month [5] - Intuitive Surgical reported revenues of $2.25 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +19.2% [5] - The expected earnings for Intuitive Surgical in the current quarter are $1.92 per share, indicating a +7.9% change from the previous year [6]
Should Tandem Diabetes Stock Stay in Your Portfolio Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 11:40
Core Insights - Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. is focused on innovative solutions for diabetes management and is expanding its international presence, which is expected to drive growth despite macroeconomic challenges and competitive pressures [1][2][10]. Group 1: Company Performance - Tandem Diabetes has experienced a significant stock decline of 56.4% over the past year, compared to a 12.1% decline in the industry, while the S&P 500 has risen by 12.5% during the same period [2]. - The company has a market capitalization of $1.57 billion and projects an earnings growth rate of 44.5% for 2026, surpassing the industry's growth rate of 20.8% [2]. - In the last four quarters, Tandem Diabetes has exceeded earnings estimates twice and missed them twice [2]. Group 2: Product Innovation - The t:slim X2 insulin pump software, launched in 2023, is now compatible with Dexcom G7 and G6 Continuous Glucose Monitoring systems, and has received approval for sale in Canada [4]. - The t:slim X2 is the first pump in the U.S. integrated with Abbott's FreeStyle Libre 2 Plus sensor, enhancing its competitive edge [4]. - The new Tandem Mobi device is under development, featuring a tubeless patch option for insulin delivery, which aims to expand wearability options [5]. Group 3: International Expansion - Sales outside the U.S. increased by 35.4% year-over-year in Q1 2025, with approximately 11,000 pumps shipped to 25 international markets [6]. - The company is enhancing its international strategy by appointing new leadership with global diabetes experience and aligning its technology offerings with its U.S. portfolio [6]. Group 4: Market Trends - The diabetes market is expected to grow due to an aging population, unhealthy lifestyles, and increased healthcare spending, with over 5 million people living with type 1 diabetes in the U.S. [7]. - The company aims to expand the adoption of insulin pumps among type 1 and type 2 diabetes patients, with recent FDA clearance for its Control IQ+ technology for type 2 diabetes patients [9]. Group 5: Challenges - Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties may hinder the company's ability to predict product demand, potentially increasing operational costs [10]. - The competitive landscape includes numerous players, making it challenging for Tandem Diabetes to implement pricing strategies and maintain market share [11]. Group 6: Financial Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tandem Diabetes' 2025 loss per share is projected at $1.37, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 28.3% [12]. - The estimated revenue for 2025 is $1.01 billion, indicating a 10.5% increase from the previous year [12].
Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-05-20 15:00
Tandem Diabetes Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Tandem Diabetes - **Event**: RBC's 2025 Global Healthcare Conference - **Key Speakers**: Lee Wassler (CFO), Susan Morrison (Chief Administrative Officer) Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - **Strong Q1 Performance**: Tandem Diabetes reported a strong first quarter with a 6.5% upside surprise and 22% year-over-year growth, shipping 28,000 new pumps [4][1] - **Market Expansion**: The company is focused on doubling its market size in the U.S. with type two diabetes indications and exploring direct sales outside the U.S. in future years [3][2] - **Under-Penetrated Market**: Approximately 1 million people in the U.S. live with type one diabetes, with only 40% using pumps, indicating significant growth potential [8][2] Product Performance - **Pump Shipments**: The breakdown of pump shipments is expected to be roughly 50% new starts and 50% renewals, with a notable shift towards MDI (Multiple Daily Injections) conversions driving growth [5][6] - **MDI Conversion Growth**: Mobi product has been a key driver for MDI conversions, contributing to double-digit growth for four consecutive quarters [7][8] - **Retention and Utilization**: Strong customer retention trends were noted, with close to 500,000 users worldwide and improved customer utilization in Q1 [14][15] Type Two Diabetes Opportunity - **Market Size**: There are approximately 2.3 million insulin-dependent type two diabetes patients in the U.S., with only 5% currently using pumps, presenting a substantial growth opportunity [20][21] - **Cautious Rollout**: The company is taking a measured approach to marketing and training for the type two market, focusing on understanding the population's needs [21][22] - **Synergistic Therapies**: The combination of GLP-1 medications and Control IQ technology has shown to improve patient outcomes, indicating a synergistic relationship [26][27] Financial Guidance and Projections - **2025 Guidance**: The company has included a modest benefit from type two opportunities and pharmacy expansion in its 2025 guidance, with expectations for significant growth in the back half of the year [25][48] - **Gross Margin Targets**: Tandem Diabetes aims for 60% gross margins by 2026, driven by Mobi and pharmacy channel expansion [38][39] - **Operating Margins**: The company is targeting 25% operating margins at 1 million customers, with potential to achieve this sooner than previously anticipated [53][54] Pipeline and Future Initiatives - **Product Development**: Tandem is advancing multiple projects, including t:slim x MobiPatch and SIGI, leveraging R&D expertise from previous product developments [56][59] - **Integration with CGM**: The integration with DexCom and Abbott's CGM technologies is expected to drive incremental adoption of pump therapy [40][41] Investor Insights - **Opportunities for Growth**: The company highlighted multiple growth opportunities, including type two market penetration and pharmacy channel expansion, which are not fully factored into current market valuations [60][61] - **Market Positioning**: Tandem Diabetes believes it has more opportunities than many competitors in the diabetes space, positioning itself for significant upside potential [61][62]
TNDM Stock Rises Despite Q1 Earnings Miss, Gross Margin Up
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 13:06
Core Insights - Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. reported a first-quarter 2025 loss of 67 cents per share, which was worse than the previous year's loss of 63 cents and missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 60 cents per share [1] - Despite the earnings miss, TNDM's stock surged 18.6% following the announcement [1] - The company achieved record quarterly revenues, with non-GAAP revenues of $234.4 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21.6% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.4% [2] Revenue Performance - Non-GAAP revenues for the first quarter were $234.4 million, up 21.6% year over year, and GAAP revenues also totaled $234.4 million, marking a 22.2% increase [2] - In the United States, non-GAAP sales reached $150.6 million, a 15% increase year over year, with over 17,000 pumps shipped [4] - Internationally, non-GAAP sales were $83.8 million, up from $61.9 million in the prior-year period [5] Margins and Expenses - Gross profit for the quarter was $118.4 million, a 25.1% increase year over year, with a gross margin of 50.5%, up 112 basis points despite a 19.6% rise in the cost of sales [6] - Selling, General and Administrative (SG&A) expenses rose 26.3% to $113.8 million, while Research and Development (R&D) expenses increased 8.6% to $50.2 million [6] - The adjusted operating loss was $45.7 million, compared to a loss of $41.7 million in the same period last year [6] Financial Position - At the end of the first quarter of 2025, Tandem Diabetes had cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaling $368.6 million, down from $438.3 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2024 [7] Guidance - The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 GAAP financial guidance, estimating sales between $970 million and $1.007 billion, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for full-year revenues at $1.00 billion [8] - GAAP sales in the United States are projected to be between $725 million and $730 million, while sales outside the United States are expected to be in the range of $272 million to $277 million [10] Overall Assessment - Tandem Diabetes ended the first quarter of 2025 with mixed results, as earnings lagged estimates but revenues exceeded expectations, driven by an expanding product portfolio [11] - The launch of Control-IQ+ technology for type 2 diabetes patients in the U.S. contributed to the strong performance [11] - However, the company's operating loss remains a concern [12]
Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. (TNDM) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-01 00:11
Group 1 - Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. held its Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call on April 30, 2025, at 4:30 PM ET [1] - The call featured key company participants including Susan Morrison, John Sheridan, and Leigh Vosseller [1][2] - The conference included a presentation followed by a question and answer session for participants [2] Group 2 - The discussion included forward-looking statements regarding management's expectations about future events, product pipeline, development timelines, and financial performance [4] - Management emphasized that these statements reflect expectations as of the date of the call [4]
Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 00:05
Core Insights - Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. reported $234.42 million in revenue for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 22.3% [1] - The EPS for the same period was -$0.67, compared to -$0.63 a year ago, indicating a decline [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $220.24 million by 6.44%, while the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of -$0.60 by 11.67% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - The company’s stock has returned -10.5% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which changed by -0.2% [3] - Tandem Diabetes Care has a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance in the near term [3] Pump Shipments and Sales - U.S. pump shipments totaled 17,000, slightly above the average estimate of 16,952 [4] - Total worldwide pump shipments were 28,000, below the average estimate of 29,200 [4] - Outside the U.S., pump shipments were 11,000, compared to the average estimate of 12,248 [4] Geographic Sales Performance - Geographic sales outside the U.S. reached $83.79 million, exceeding the average estimate of $74.74 million, representing a year-over-year change of +35.4% [4] - U.S. pump sales were $72.14 million, slightly above the average estimate of $71.94 million, with a year-over-year increase of +16.9% [4] - Sales of supplies and other products in the U.S. amounted to $78.49 million, surpassing the average estimate of $74.32 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +13.5% [4] - Outside the U.S., pump sales were $29.95 million, below the average estimate of $31.46 million, with a year-over-year change of +17.1% [4] - Sales of supplies and other products outside the U.S. reached $53.84 million, exceeding the average estimate of $43.03 million, representing a year-over-year change of +48.1% [4] - Total geographic revenues in the U.S. were $150.63 million, above the average estimate of $146.17 million, with a year-over-year change of +16.1% [4] - Non-GAAP geographic revenues in the U.S. were $150.63 million, compared to the average estimate of $146.45 million [4] - Revenue from supplies and other products was $132.33 million, exceeding the average estimate of $118.22 million [4] - Pump revenue was $102.09 million, slightly below the average estimate of $102.82 million [4]