Toll Brothers(TOL)
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Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2023 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-12-06 17:24
Financial Data and Key Metrics - The company delivered 2,755 homes in Q4 2023, generating $2.95 billion in home sales revenues, $211 million above the midpoint of guidance [4] - Adjusted gross margin was 29.1% in Q4 2023, beating guidance by 60 basis points [4] - Full-year 2023 adjusted gross margin was 28.7%, a 120 basis-point increase over 2022 and 20 basis points better than guidance [5] - Earnings in fiscal year 2023 were $1.4 billion or $12.36 per diluted share, both company records [6] - The company repurchased $326 million of common stock in Q4 2023, bringing full-year repurchases to $556 million at an average price of $72 per share [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - Affordable luxury and active adult communities were the strongest performers in Q4 2023, with unit sales up 109% and 82% respectively compared to Q4 2022 [8] - Affordable luxury accounted for 46% of unit sales in Q4 2023, luxury was 31%, and active adult was 23% [8] - Spec homes represented approximately 42% of orders and 33% of deliveries in Q4 2023, with expectations for 35% of deliveries in fiscal 2024 to be spec homes [10] Market Data and Key Metrics - The Pacific region saw a nearly 250% increase in agreements in Q4 2023 compared to the prior year, followed by the Mountain region with a 127% increase and the South with an 87% increase [8] - Strongest markets in Q4 2023 included Denver, Boise, Southern California, all of Texas, and the Mid-Atlantic from Atlanta up the Eastern Seaboard to Boston [8] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company's strategy of broadening product offerings to include lower price points and capture greater market share is working, as evidenced by the mix shift and lower ASPs [7] - The company plans to increase community count by 10% in fiscal 2024, targeting 410 operating communities at year-end [12] - The company continues to focus on capital efficiency, with an overall mix target of 60% optioned and 40% owned land over the longer-term [12] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management is encouraged by the recent 75 basis point decline in mortgage rates and believes rates may drop further, setting up nicely for the upcoming spring selling season [10] - The company expects a modestly better trend in Q1 2024 compared to historical seasonality, driven by the decline in mortgage rates and easing inflation [10] - Management is optimistic about the company's ability to raise prices and reduce incentives in the upcoming spring selling season [46] Other Important Information - The company ended fiscal year 2023 with over $3 billion of liquidity, including $1.3 billion of cash and $1.8 billion available under its revolving bank credit facility [17] - The company invested $2.3 billion in land acquisition and land development in fiscal year 2023 [18] - The company's net debt to capital ratio was 17.7% at fiscal year-end, with no significant debt maturities until fiscal 2026 [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Product Mix Shift and Absorption Rates - The company expects the product mix to stabilize around 45% for affordable luxury on a unit basis, with absorption rates potentially increasing to 26 sales per community per year in 2024 [29][32] Question: Inventory and Construction in Progress - The company's construction in progress (CIP) is $5.5 billion, including backlog and land improvements [35][36] - The company expects inventory turns to improve with the spec strategy and mix shift to more affordable luxury and active adult homes [34] Question: Pricing and Order Trends - Management is optimistic about pricing power in 2024, particularly with the decline in mortgage rates and the upcoming spring selling season [44][46] - The company expects order growth to be around 20% in 2024, driven by community count growth and improved absorption rates [47] Question: Spec vs Build-to-Order Performance - Spec homes sell for about $200,000 less than build-to-order homes, with gross margins approximately 250 basis points lower [51][52] - The return on equity for spec homes is higher than for build-to-order homes, despite the lower gross margins [59] Question: Land Strategy and Inventory Turns - The company's long-term goal is to reduce owned land to 2 to 2.5 years of supply, with almost a year's worth of that land having a backlog or spec home in various stages of construction [56] Question: Incentives and Mortgage Rate Buydowns - The company offers various rate buydown programs, but few clients take advantage of them, preferring to use incentives for home upgrades instead [67][68] Question: Realtor Commissions and NAR Ruling - Two-thirds of the company's sales involve an outside Realtor, with an average commission of 2.25% of the delivered price of the home [80] - Management believes third-party commissions will likely come down in the long term due to ongoing litigation and industry trends [80] Question: Land Banking and Optioned Land - The company may slow the progression to 60% optioned land in 2024 due to higher developer costs of capital, but remains focused on capital efficiency and driving IRRs [82]
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2023 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2023-08-31 11:50
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☑ Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended July 31, 2023 or ☐ Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from to Commission file number 001-09186 Toll Brothers, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 23-2416878 (State or other jurisdiction ...
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2023 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-08-23 16:17
Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Q3 2023 Earnings Conference Call August 23, 2023 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Douglas Yearley - Chairman and CEO Martin Connor - CFO Conference Call Participants Rafe Jadrosich - Bank of America Stephen Kim - Evercore ISI Joe Ahlersmeyer - Deutsche Bank Mike Dahl - RBC Capital Markets Ken Zener - Seaport Research Alex Barron - Housing Research Center John Lovallo - UBS Operator Good morning, and welcome to the Toll Brothers Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 Conference Call. [O ...
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2023 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2023-05-31 16:00
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☑ Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended April 30, 2023 ☐ Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from to Commission file number 001-09186 Toll Brothers, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 23-2416878 (State or other jurisdiction o ...
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2023 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-05-24 15:33
Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Q2 2023 Earnings Conference Call May 24, 2023 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. - Chairman and CEO Martin P. Connor - CFO Conference Call Participants Spencer Kaufman - UBS Michael Rehaut - J.P. Morgan Stephen Kim - Evercore ISI Rafe Jadrosich - Bank of America Securities Alex Barron - Housing Research Center Alan Ratner - Zelman Associates Michael Dahl - RBC Capital Markets Operator Good morning everyone and welcome to the Toll Brothers Second Quarter Ea ...
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2023 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2023-03-01 16:00
☑ Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended January 31, 2023 ☐ Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from to Commission file number 001-09186 Toll Brothers, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) Delaware 23-2416878 (State or other jurisdiction ...
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2023 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-02-22 17:34
Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Q1 2023 Results Conference Call February 22, 2023 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Fred Cooper - SVP, Finance & IR Douglas Yearley - CEO Martin Connor - CFO Conference Call Participants Stephen Kim - Evercore ISI Michael Rehaut - JP Morgan Rafe Jadrosich - Bank of America John Lovallo - UBS Susan Maklari - Goldman Sachs Truman Patterson - Wolfe Research Mike Dahl - RBC Capital Markets Operator Good morning, and welcome to the Toll Brothers First Quarter Earnings Conference Call ...
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2022 Q4 - Annual Report
2022-12-18 16:00
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-K ☑ Annual report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the fiscal year ended October 31, 2022 ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------- ...
Toll Brothers(TOL) - 2022 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2022-12-07 17:00
Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Q4 2022 Earnings Conference Call December 7, 2022 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Douglas Yearley - Chief Executive Officer Martin Connor - Chief Financial Officer Rob Parahus - President and Chief Operating Officer Fred Cooper - Senior Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations Wendy Marlett - Chief Marketing Officer Gregg Ziegler - Senior Vice President and Treasurer Conference Call Participants Michael Rehaut - JPMorgan Stephen Kim - Evercore ISI Alan Ratner - Zelman ...