Workflow
Tractor Supply(TSCO)
icon
Search documents
Tractor Supply(TSCO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-24 15:28
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales for Q1 2025 reached a record $3.47 billion, an increase of 2.1% year-over-year, while comparable store sales declined by 0.9% due to a decrease in average ticket size by 2.9% [17][18][36] - Diluted earnings per share were 34 cents, which was below expectations, primarily impacted by adverse weather conditions [18][36] - Operating income decreased by 5.3% to $249.1 million, and net income decreased by 9.5% to $179.4 million [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong transaction growth of 2.1% was noted, with unit growth in consumable, usable, and edible categories being particularly robust [11][32] - Categories that performed well included heating fuel, which increased over 20%, while spring seasonal categories saw declines, with lawn and garden down low double digits and riding lawnmowers down about 25% [29][31] - The company experienced a decline in average unit retail prices, primarily due to a negative product mix from fewer spring seasonal goods [32][33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Southern markets were significantly impacted by a delayed spring season, while Northern markets performed reasonably well despite lingering cold weather [26][27] - The delay in spring weather was estimated to have a headwind effect of about 250 basis points on sales [24] - The company noted that big ticket items represented less than 15% of total business, indicating resilience in other categories [62] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on managing costs, investing with purpose, and maintaining customer engagement amid a volatile macroeconomic environment [10][12] - The updated fiscal year outlook reflects a cautious approach due to seasonal softness and ongoing tariff pressures [13][40] - The company is committed to its "Life Out Here" strategic growth drivers while being disciplined in capital investments [44][75] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the uncertainty in the macro environment and its potential impact on consumer spending, but emphasized the underlying health of the business [19][20] - The company expects net sales growth between 4% and comparable store sales to range from flat to up 4% for the full year [40] - Management remains optimistic about the performance of core categories and anticipates a return to positive average unit retail by mid-year [73][114] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 1.7 million shares and paid quarterly cash dividends totaling $122.4 million, marking the sixteenth consecutive year of dividend growth [37] - Merchandise inventories were $3.2 billion at the end of Q1, reflecting a modest 1.5% increase in average inventory per store [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on the tariff environment for Q2 and the second half of the year - Management clarified that they are assuming current tariffs will be in place for Q2 and are monitoring the situation closely [89][90] Question: Expectations for big ticket pressure in Q2 and full year guidance - Management indicated a conservative approach for Q2, assuming no significant recovery in big ticket categories but expecting core categories to perform well [97][98] Question: Widespread vendor price increases and passing through costs - Management stated that they are not currently passing through price increases but are preparing for future discussions with vendors regarding cost management [104][106] Question: Clarification on guidance and embedded tariffs - Management explained that they are managing multiple scenarios regarding tariffs and their impact on guidance, focusing on maintaining market share [146][148]
Tractor Supply (TSCO) Lags Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 13:05
Tractor Supply shares have lost about 4.4% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's decline of -8.6%. What's Next for Tractor Supply? While Tractor Supply has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? Tractor Supply (TSCO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.34 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.37 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.37 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non- ...
Tractor Supply: Mixed Earnings Signal
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-24 12:37
Core Insights - Tractor Supply reported mixed results for Q1 2025, with a slight revenue growth of 2.1% to $3.47 billion, but a decline in earnings per share (EPS) to $0.34, an 8.0% decrease from the previous year [1][3][6] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1 2025 reached $3.47 billion, up from $3.39 billion in Q1 2024, reflecting a 2.4% year-over-year increase [3][6] - EPS decreased to $0.34 from $0.37 in Q1 2024, marking an 8.1% decline [3][6] - Net income fell to $179.4 million, down 9.5% from $198.2 million in Q1 2024 [3][7] - Operating margin decreased to 7.2% from 7.8% in the previous year, influenced by increased expenses [3][8] Business Overview - Tractor Supply focuses on rural lifestyle products, serving farmers, ranchers, and rural homeowners, with a strong emphasis on customer loyalty through initiatives like the Neighbors Club loyalty program [4] - The company is expanding its physical and digital presence, aiming for a seamless omnichannel shopping experience [5] Operational Highlights - The company opened 15 new Tractor Supply stores and two Petsense locations in Q1 2025 [8] - Comparable store sales declined by 0.9% in Q1 2025, contrasting with a 1.1% increase in the previous year, indicating challenges in the retail sector [6][8] - Gross margin improved to 36.2% from 36.0% the previous year, despite rising selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) to 29.0% of net sales [7] Future Outlook - Management revised its 2025 guidance, expecting net sales growth of 4% to 8% and EPS of $2.00 to $2.18, reflecting caution due to market volatility [9][10] - For Q2 FY2025, the company anticipates a sales increase of 3% to 4%, with comparable store sales expected to remain flat or show marginal growth [10]
Tractor Supply(TSCO) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-04-24 11:00
Brentwood, Tenn., April 24, 2025 - Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO), the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States (the "Company"), today reported financial results for its first quarter ended March 29, 2025. "As the year unfolds amid increasing volatility, our conviction in Tractor Supply's resilient and durable business model remains strong. We have a long track record of navigating uncertain environments, and we believe we are well-positioned to do so once again. Tractor Supply is unique ...
TSCO Introduces Tractor Supply Rx to Facilitate Pet Pharmacy Offerings
ZACKS· 2025-04-23 17:50
Core Insights - Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is leveraging its Life Out Here Strategy, 'ONETractor' Strategy, and Neighbor's Club membership program to drive growth through new launches and innovations [1][5] Product Launch and Features - The company has introduced Tractor Supply Rx, a low-cost pet and animal pharmacy, which allows customers to enroll in automatic delivery via the Autoship program and access expert pharmacy advice [2][3] - Customers can easily request medications and share their pet and veterinarian's details, with same-day shipping available for prescriptions [3][4] - The new launch includes additional services such as pet wash stations, grooming at Petsense, and veterinary care through a partnership with PetVet [4] Membership and Customer Engagement - The company aims to reach approximately 38 million Neighbor's Club members with its pharmacy solutions, integrating digital pharmacy services into its stores [5] - Neighbor's Club members can benefit from rewards and exclusive offers, enhancing customer loyalty and savings [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - TSCO is focused on its 'ONETractor' strategy, which connects in-store and online shopping experiences, supported by investments in curbside pickup, same-day and next-day delivery, and a revamped website and mobile app [6] - The company is expanding its store base and incorporating technology to drive traffic and revenue, with Project Fusion aimed at improving customer experience in existing stores [7] Financial Performance and Market Position - Despite the growth initiatives, TSCO's shares have declined by 11.6% over the past three months, compared to a 20.6% decline in the industry [8] - The company is facing challenges with rising selling, general and administrative (SG&A) costs, which are attributed to growth investments and the onboarding of a new distribution center [10]
Tractor Supply Pre-Q1 Earnings: Should You Buy Amid Positive Trends?
ZACKS· 2025-04-21 16:45
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is likely to register an increase in the top line when it reports first-quarter 2025 results on April 24, before the market opens. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $3.6 billion, indicating 4.8% growth from the year-ago reported figure.The bottom line of the leading rural lifestyle retailer in the United States is expected to remain flat year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) has been unchanged at 37 cents in ...
1 Top Dividend Stock Is on Sale
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-17 08:31
Tractor Supply is a reliable dividend payer with a promising future, and recent weakness in the stock could be a gift to long-term investors.As macroeconomic uncertainty persists, many investors may be looking for resilient businesses likely to hold up well even if a recession rears its ugly head. Dividend stocks with a long track record of dividend growth are usually good options when investors are seeking out companies like this. But investors looking for more resilience in their portfolio shouldn't pick ...
Should You Buy Tractor Supply Stock Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-12 23:50
Core Insights - The article discusses the investment positions of Parkev Tatevosian, CFA, and mentions that The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tractor Supply [1] Company Insights - The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy regarding its investment positions [1] - Parkev Tatevosian is affiliated with The Motley Fool and may receive compensation for promoting its services [1]
How to Play Tractor Supply Stock After 18% Drop in 6 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-04-11 16:55
Core Viewpoint - Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) has experienced a 17.8% decline in share price over the past six months, underperforming both the industry and broader market indices, reflecting challenging macroeconomic conditions and company-specific challenges [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - TSCO closed at $51.32, remaining below its 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) of $54.52 and $54.17, respectively, indicating a potential sustained downward trend [4]. - Investors are divided on the future trajectory of TSCO, with some anticipating further downside while others see potential for a rebound [7]. Group 2: Growth Challenges - The company reported a modest 0.6% increase in comparable store sales in Q4 2024, driven by a 2.3% rise in transaction count, but offset by a 1.7% decline in average ticket size, indicating reduced consumer spending per visit [8]. - TSCO is facing mounting cost pressures, with SG&A expenses, including depreciation and amortization, increasing by 5.5% year over year, leading to a 4.8% decline in operating income and a 69-basis point drop in operating margin to 8.44% [9][10]. - SG&A costs are expected to rise another 6.7% in 2025, with SG&A as a percentage of sales forecasted to increase by 30 basis points, compounded by a tough retail environment and anticipated deflationary pressures [11]. Group 3: Growth Initiatives - TSCO is leveraging strong customer engagement and market share gains through its "Life Out Here" lifestyle assortment and convenience store format, which enhances customer loyalty [12]. - The Neighbor's Club loyalty program is a key growth driver, achieving record highs in active accounts and customer retention, while cross-shopping between Petsense and Tractor Supply is increasing [13]. Group 4: Valuation Concerns - TSCO's stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 22.95X, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.84X, raising concerns about the sustainability of this premium valuation amid slowing growth and rising costs [14]. - The elevated valuation may limit upside potential in the near term, especially if performance does not improve significantly [15]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The recent stock decline and ongoing challenges from shifting consumer behavior and macroeconomic pressures suggest a cautious approach for investors, as TSCO's near-term outlook remains uncertain [16].
Tractor Supply's Growth Strategies Yield: Apt to Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-03 17:25
Core Viewpoint - Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is well-positioned for growth due to its robust business strategies, particularly its omnichannel investments and customer engagement initiatives [1][4]. Group 1: Growth Strategies - TSCO's omnichannel investments include curbside pickup, same-day and next-day delivery, a re-launched website, and a new mobile app, with a focus on leveraging AI technologies for enhanced personalization [2]. - Key initiatives under the Life Out Here strategy include Project Fusion and Garden Center rollouts, which are generating compelling returns through improved space productivity [3]. - The Neighbor's Club membership program has expanded significantly, representing over 85% of sales at Petsense and surpassing 38 million members overall, contributing to strong customer engagement [4]. Group 2: Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions - TSCO has entered a multiyear strategic licensing partnership with Field & Stream, offering various hunting and outdoor products, and has acquired Allivet to expand its presence in the pet wellness and animal health sector [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - TSCO's stock is currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 24.93 on a forward 12-month basis, compared to the industry average of 16.56, with a five-year high of 27.91 [6]. - In the most recent quarter, selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses, including depreciation and amortization, increased by 60 basis points year over year, impacting profitability [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts project a growth of 5.4% in sales and 6.4% in earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, with further growth estimates for 2026 indicating sales of $16.67 billion and EPS of $2.41, reflecting year-over-year increases of 6.3% and 11.2% respectively [10]. - TSCO's stock has rallied 8.8% over the past year, outperforming the industry's 4.9% decline, supported by ongoing cost-saving initiatives [9].