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TXO Partners(TXO) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-08-05 21:06
Acquisition and Investments - The company acquired oil and gas assets from White Rock Energy, LLC for cash consideration of $338.6 million, including a deferred payment of $70.0 million due on July 31, 2026[104]. - The company completed a public offering resulting in net proceeds of approximately $189.5 million, which were used to fund the WRE Acquisition and repay borrowings[157]. - The company incurred approximately $15.2 million for drilling, completion, and recompletion activities in the six months ended June 30, 2025, with a budget of approximately $65.0 million for such costs in 2025[160]. Financial Performance - Total revenues increased by $32.6 million, or 57%, from $57.3 million in Q2 2024 to $89.9 million in Q2 2025, driven by a 407 MBoe increase in production and a 73% rise in average selling price of natural gas[126]. - Adjusted EBITDAX for Q2 2025 was $27.5 million, compared to $21.1 million in Q2 2024, reflecting a 30% increase[120]. - Cash available for distribution rose to $18.8 million in Q2 2025, up from $15.0 million in Q2 2024, marking a 25% increase[120]. - Revenues increased by $49.5 million, or 40%, from $124.7 million in 2024 to $174.2 million in 2025, driven by a 689 MBoe increase in production and a 32% increase in average selling price of natural gas[142]. - Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $9.4 million, from $48.1 million in 2024 to $57.5 million in 2025, attributed to improved operating results[166]. Expenses and Costs - Production expenses increased by $6.9 million, or 19%, from $36.4 million in Q2 2024 to $43.3 million in Q2 2025, primarily due to acquisitions in the Williston Basin[127]. - General and administrative expenses surged by $4.9 million, or 106%, from $4.6 million in Q2 2024 to $9.5 million in Q2 2025, mainly due to higher personnel costs[134]. - Depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A) increased by $11.4 million, or 110%, from $10.3 million in Q2 2024 to $21.7 million in Q2 2025, largely due to higher rates from Williston Basin acquisitions[132]. - Total expenses for Q2 2025 were $93.6 million, up from $67.4 million in Q2 2024, reflecting a 39% increase[122]. - Production expenses rose by $16.1 million, or 23%, from $69.5 million in 2024 to $85.6 million in 2025, primarily due to acquisitions in the Williston Basin[143]. - Depreciation, depletion, and amortization increased by $22.3 million, or 107%, from $20.8 million in 2024 to $43.1 million in 2025, largely due to higher rates associated with Williston Basin acquisitions[148]. - General and administrative expenses increased by $4.7 million, or 64%, from $7.2 million in 2024 to $11.9 million in 2025, mainly due to higher personnel costs[150]. Market Conditions - NYMEX crude oil prices reached a high of $86.91 per Bbl and a low of $57.13 per Bbl from January 1, 2024, to June 30, 2025, indicating significant price volatility[107]. - Natural gas prices peaked at $4.49 per MMBtu in March 2025 before declining to $3.57 per MMBtu as of July 18, 2025[107]. - The company anticipates continued volatility in crude oil and natural gas markets, which will impact revenue and profitability[108]. - Inflationary pressures have increased operating costs, particularly for steel, chemicals, and transportation, with no short-term reversal expected[109]. Debt and Liquidity - The company increased its revolving credit facility borrowing base from $275 million to $410 million, extending the maturity date to August 30, 2029[105]. - Outstanding borrowings under the Credit Facility were $12.0 million at June 30, 2025, down from $150.0 million at December 31, 2024, with remaining availability increasing to $263.0 million[155]. - The weighted average interest rate on Credit Facility borrowings was 8.0% for the six months ended June 30, 2025[171]. - The net-debt-to-EBITDAX ratio is expected to increase to between 1.0 times and 1.5 times following the WRE Acquisition[158]. - The company believes it has adequate liquidity to continue as a going concern for at least the next twelve months from the date of the report[173]. Other Financial Metrics - Cash available for distribution is defined as Adjusted EBITDAX less net cash interest expense, exploration expense, non-recurring gains/losses, and development costs[118]. - Adjusted EBITDAX is used to evaluate operating performance, excluding interest, depreciation, impairment, and other non-cash expenses[114]. - The company plans to dynamically allocate funds to meet goals, including capital budget returns and acquisition opportunities[108]. - The second quarter distribution was declared at $0.45 per unit, with payments scheduled for August 22, 2025[159]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $12 million in debt outstanding and $263 million available under its Credit Facility[174].
Here's Why TXO Partners LP (TXO) Fell More Than Broader Market
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 23:16
Company Performance - TXO Partners LP (TXO) closed at $15.20, reflecting a -1.36% change from the previous day's closing price, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.37% [1] - The stock has increased by 0.46% over the past month, which is below the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 3.65% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.68% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of -$0.02, indicating a 122.22% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $81.09 million, representing a 41.49% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Full-Year Estimates - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $0.77 per share and revenue of $372.59 million, reflecting year-over-year increases of +18.46% and +31.75%, respectively [3] Analyst Estimates and Outlook - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for TXO indicate evolving short-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks TXO as 5 (Strong Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate decreasing by 7.23% over the last 30 days [6] Valuation Metrics - TXO has a Forward P/E ratio of 20.01, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 13.22 [7] - The Energy and Pipeline - Master Limited Partnerships industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 232, placing it in the bottom 7% of over 250 industries [7]
TXO Partners LP (TXO) Surpasses Market Returns: Some Facts Worth Knowing
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 23:16
Company Performance - TXO Partners LP closed at $15.07, with a +1.14% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.78% [1] - The stock has decreased by 3.06% over the past month, underperforming the Oils-Energy sector's loss of 3.19% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.88% [1] Earnings Expectations - Analysts expect TXO Partners LP to report earnings of $0.17 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 88.89% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $81.89 million, indicating a 42.89% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full-Year Estimates - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $0.77 per share and revenue of $391.11 million, representing year-over-year changes of +18.46% and +38.29%, respectively [3] - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are crucial as they indicate changing business trends, with positive revisions suggesting analyst optimism [3] Valuation Metrics - TXO Partners LP has a Forward P/E ratio of 19.35, which is higher than the industry average Forward P/E of 12.27 [6] - The Energy and Pipeline - Master Limited Partnerships industry is ranked 234 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 6% of over 250 industries [6]
A Targeted Trade On TXO Partners
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-20 09:19
Group 1 - The article discusses the potential investment opportunities in small and mid-cap stocks, particularly those with significant insider buying activity [2][3] - The focus is on the AI revolution and its impact on natural gas producers due to increased electricity demand from AI data centers [2] - The Insiders Forum portfolio aims to outperform the Russell 2000 benchmark by selecting 12-25 attractively valued stocks across various sectors [2] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of insider purchases as a signal for potential stock performance [2] - It highlights the company's strategy of identifying stocks that have had recent significant insider buying, which may indicate confidence in the company's future [2] - The overall goal is to provide subscribers with market-beating returns through informed investment choices [2]
TXO Partners LP (TXO) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 23:16
Company Performance - TXO Partners LP (TXO) experienced a decline of 1.18% in its stock price, closing at $15.04, which lagged behind the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.52% [1] - Over the past month, TXO's stock has increased by 1.74%, underperforming compared to the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 3.92% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.27% [1] Upcoming Earnings - TXO is expected to report an EPS of $0.18, reflecting a 100% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $81.89 million, which represents a 42.89% increase from the previous year [2] Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $0.83 per share and revenue at $391.11 million, indicating increases of 27.69% and 38.29% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest optimism regarding TXO's business and profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - TXO is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 18.34, which is higher than the industry's Forward P/E of 16.59 [6] - The Energy and Pipeline - Master Limited Partnerships industry is part of the Oils-Energy sector and holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 212, placing it in the bottom 14% of over 250 industries [6] Analyst Ratings - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates stocks from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently rates TXO Partners LP as 5 (Strong Sell) [5] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past month, indicating a lack of positive momentum [5]
TXO Partners LP (TXO) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 23:15
Company Performance - TXO Partners LP closed at $15.37, reflecting a -2.91% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.11% [1] - The stock has increased by 3.46% over the past month, which is below the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 5.39% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.92% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect TXO Partners LP to report earnings of $0.18 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 100% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $81.89 million, representing a 42.89% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.83 per share and revenue at $391.11 million, reflecting changes of +27.69% and +38.29% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates suggest a favorable outlook on the company's business health and profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - TXO Partners LP has a Forward P/E ratio of 19.07, which is a premium compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 16.22 [6] - The Energy and Pipeline - Master Limited Partnerships industry is ranked 212 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 14% of over 250 industries [6] Zacks Rank - TXO Partners LP currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating a negative outlook [5] - The Zacks Rank system has a history of outperforming, with stocks rated 1 producing an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [5]
TXO Partners LP (TXO) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 23:15
Group 1 - TXO Partners LP closed at $15.69, with a +1.36% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.84% [1] - Over the last month, TXO's shares increased by 1.84%, while the Oils-Energy sector remained flat and the S&P 500 gained 1.44% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings report for TXO is expected to show an EPS of $0.18, a 100% increase year-over-year, with revenue forecasted at $81.89 million, reflecting a 42.89% growth [2] - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $0.83 per share and revenue at $391.11 million, indicating increases of +27.69% and +38.29% respectively from the prior year [3] Group 3 - Recent changes to analyst estimates for TXO are important as they reflect the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns, with positive revisions indicating analysts' confidence in performance [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks TXO Partners LP as 5 (Strong Sell), indicating a stagnant EPS projection over the past 30 days [6] Group 4 - TXO Partners LP has a Forward P/E ratio of 18.65, which is higher than the industry average of 17.08, suggesting a premium valuation [7] - The Energy and Pipeline - Master Limited Partnerships industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 212, placing it in the bottom 14% of over 250 industries [7]
Top Dividend Plays With Strong Analyst Ratings
MarketBeat· 2025-06-04 19:40
Core Insights - The article discusses various strategies for investing in dividend stocks, highlighting the balance between stable income and growth potential [1][2][3] Group 1: Dividend Stock Strategies - Traditional dividend investing focuses on established companies that provide steady payouts, appealing during market volatility [1] - An alternative approach involves seeking companies with higher growth potential, albeit with increased risk of dividend cuts [2][3] Group 2: Eagle Point Credit - Eagle Point Credit Co. Inc. (NYSE: ECC) offers a high dividend yield of 21.87% with an annual dividend of $1.68 and a significant annualized 3-year dividend growth of 13.57% [4] - The company has invested nearly $200 million in new investments in Q1, benefiting from lower debt costs and beating earnings expectations by 2 cents per share [5] - Despite a high payout ratio of -420%, analysts project nearly 11% upside potential for ECC shares, indicating possible capital appreciation [6] Group 3: Mach Natural Resources - Mach Natural Resources LP (NYSE: MNR) has a dividend yield of 24.18% and an annual dividend of $3.16, with a payout ratio of 197.50% [8] - Analysts unanimously rate MNR as a Buy, estimating over 80% upside potential, despite the stock falling nearly a third in the past year [8][9] - The company is transitioning to natural gas drilling, which may align with increasing demand for cleaner energy sources [9] Group 4: TXO Partners - TXO Partners LP (NYSE: TXO) has a dividend yield of 16.26% and a payout ratio of 580.95%, with a Buy rating and about 34% upside potential [11] - The company is expanding by acquiring property in the Elm Coulee field for approximately $350 million, which may impact its dividend schedule [12][13] - The Elm Coulee field is estimated to contain around four billion barrels of oil, presenting potential for both capital appreciation and passive income [13]
Is It Worth Investing in TXO Partners LP (TXO) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 14:36
Core Viewpoint - TXO Partners LP has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.00, indicating a Strong Buy based on recommendations from three brokerage firms, all of which are Strong Buy [2] Group 1: Brokerage Recommendations - The current ABR of TXO Partners LP is derived from three Strong Buy recommendations, representing 100% of the total recommendations [2] - Despite the Strong Buy recommendation, relying solely on this information for investment decisions may not be prudent, as studies show limited success of brokerage recommendations in predicting stock price increases [5][10] - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, with five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][10] Group 2: Zacks Rank vs. ABR - The Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, is a reliable indicator of near-term price performance, contrasting with the ABR which is based solely on brokerage recommendations [8][11] - The Zacks Rank is driven by earnings estimate revisions, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements, while the ABR may not be up-to-date [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TXO Partners LP has declined by 25.9% over the past month, leading to a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) for the company [13][14] Group 3: Investment Implications - The significant decline in the consensus estimate and the Zacks Rank of 5 suggest that the positive ABR for TXO Partners LP should be approached with caution [14]
TXO Partners LP (TXO) Misses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 00:25
Core Insights - TXO Partners LP reported quarterly earnings of $0.24 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.36 per share, and down from $0.33 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -33.33% [1] - The company posted revenues of $84.33 million for the quarter, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.40%, compared to $67.44 million in the same quarter last year [2] - TXO Partners LP has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters [2] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.34 on revenues of $82.99 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.33 on revenues of $326.08 million [7] - The estimate revisions trend for TXO Partners LP is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Energy and Pipeline - Master Limited Partnerships industry is currently in the bottom 7% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for stocks in this sector [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact investor sentiment [5]