Company Overview - Unum (UNM) currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A, indicating strong potential for momentum investing [2][11] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting it is positioned to outperform the market [3][11] Price Performance - Over the past week, Unum's shares increased by 0.92%, while the Zacks Insurance - Accident and Health industry remained flat [5] - In the last month, Unum's stock price rose by 6.5%, significantly outperforming the industry's 1.02% [5] - Over the past quarter, Unum's shares have risen by 5.47%, and they are up 58% over the last year, compared to the S&P 500's increases of 1.46% and 22.19%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - Unum's average 20-day trading volume is 1,046,270 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Estimates - In the past two months, four earnings estimates for Unum have been revised upwards, while none have been revised downwards, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $9.03 to $9.08 [9] - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have moved upwards, while one has been revised downwards [9] Conclusion - Given the strong price performance, positive earnings estimate revisions, and a favorable Momentum Style Score, Unum is recommended as a solid momentum pick for investors [11]

Core Viewpoint - Unum Group's fourth-quarter 2024 operating net income of $2.03 per share fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.7%, although it represented a 13.4% year-over-year increase [1] Operational Update - Total operating revenues reached $3.2 billion, reflecting a 2.5% year-over-year increase, driven by higher premium income, other income, and improved net investment income, but missed the consensus estimate by 1.5% [3] - Premium income increased by 3.1% year over year to $2.6 billion, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3] - Net investment income was $543.6 million, up 2.4%, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $540 million [3] - Total benefits and expenses rose by 2.7% year over year to $2.8 billion, primarily due to lower policy benefits [4] Quarterly Segment Update - Unum U.S. reported premium income of $1.7 billion, a 3% year-over-year increase, but adjusted operating income decreased by 2.6% to $333.2 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $346 million [5] - Unum International's premium income was $246.6 million, up 17.1% year over year, with adjusted operating income of $37.6 million, a 4.6% increase, but below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $42 million [5] - Unum U.K. premium income was £156.9 million, a 5.2% increase from the previous year, with adjusted operating income of £27.6 million, up 10.7% year over year [6] Benefit Ratio and Sales - The benefit ratio, excluding reserve assumption updates, was 72.1%, deteriorating by 420 basis points due to unfavorable claims in group long-term disability and group life products, partially offset by favorable claims in supplemental products [7] - Sales increased by 5% [7] Full-Year Highlights - Adjusted operating income for the full year was $8.44 per share, a 10.1% increase from 2023, with total premium income rising by 4.5% to $10.5 billion [12] Capital Management - As of December 31, 2024, the weighted average risk-based capital ratio for Unum Group's traditional U.S. insurance companies was approximately 430%, with holding company liquidity of $2 billion [13] - Book value per share grew by 23% year over year to $61.38, and the company executed accelerated share repurchase agreements totaling $471 million in the fourth quarter [13] Guidance - Unum Group expects after-tax adjusted operating income per share to grow by 8-12% in 2025, with core operations premium growth anticipated between 4% and 7% [14]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company achieved a 10% growth in earnings per share, exceeding initial expectations of 7% to 9% [12] - The core operations delivered over 20% return on equity (ROE) in 2024, with holding company cash reaching $2 billion and a risk-based capital (RBC) ratio of 430% [14] - The company repurchased approximately $1 billion of shares throughout 2024 and raised its dividend by 15% [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Unum U.S. saw a 6.5% increase in sales, with record absolute sales and nearly 20% growth in the fourth quarter [28] - Colonial Life's full-year adjusted operating earnings increased by 16.6% over 2023, reaching $466.7 million, with a return on equity of 19.7% [42] - Unum International's sales grew by 6.1% for the full year, with premium growth of 9.4% in the U.K. and 24.2% in Poland [28][41] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects premium growth in 2025 to be in the range of 4% to 7%, with consolidated sales growth projected in the high single digits [16] - The competitive labor market, wage inflation, and sustained interest rates are seen as supportive factors for business growth [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its digital capabilities and maintain a customer-centric approach to drive growth [15][16] - Strategic investments will focus on expanding offerings and pursuing selective mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to support internal initiatives [24] - The company plans to continue returning capital to shareholders through regular dividend increases and share repurchases [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of group disability margins, expecting a benefit ratio in the low 60s for the near to midterm [30] - The company anticipates strong operating trends to continue into 2025, with expected earnings per share growth of 8% to 12% [57] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting services to meet changing market needs and maintaining a competitive edge [17] Other Important Information - The company reported that 2024 was the first year in many years that long-term care (LTC) did not consume any capital, indicating improved financial health in this area [13] - The alternative investment portfolio backing LTC produced income of $30.5 million in the quarter, with a yield of 9.1% on an annualized basis [45] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the favorable outlook for group disability? - Management indicated that improved claims recovery and stable incidence rates contribute to confidence in maintaining a low 60% benefit ratio [70][73] Question: How does the competitive environment affect pricing? - Management acknowledged a competitive market but emphasized the importance of delivering high-quality benefits and maintaining stable pricing [78][79] Question: What is the outlook for long-term care risk transfer? - Management noted positive market dynamics for risk transfer but emphasized the complexity of such transactions and the need for careful structuring [82][84] Question: Can you elaborate on capital deployment and M&A considerations? - Management highlighted strong capital generation and the priority of growing the core business, with M&A focused on enhancing capabilities and distribution [92][94] Question: What is the outlook for voluntary benefits? - Management expects a modest increase in the benefit ratio for voluntary benefits, projecting it to be in the mid-40s, while maintaining confidence in the earnings power of this line [114]

2024 Results & 2025 Outlook February 5, 2025 SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT Certain information in this presentation constitutes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward- looking statements are those not based on historical information, but rather relate to our outlook, future operations, strategies, financial results, or other developments and speak only as of the date made. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, ...

Unum (UNM) reported $3.23 billion in revenue for the quarter ended December 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.4%. EPS of $2.03 for the same period compares to $1.79 a year ago.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.28 billion, representing a surprise of -1.53%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -4.70%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $2.13.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they ...

Unum (UNM) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.03 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.13 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.79 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -4.70%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this insurance company would post earnings of $2.09 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.13, delivering a surprise of 1.91%.Over the last four quarters, the company has ...

Unum Group Statistical Supplement Fourth Quarter 2024 TABLE OF CONTENTS (in millions of dollars, except share data and where noted) Interim Results are Unaudited | | Page | | --- | --- | | Financial Highlights | 1 | | Capital Metrics | 2 | | Ratings | 3 | | Consolidated Statements of Income | 4 | | Sales Data by Segment | 5 | | Consolidated Balance Sheets | 6 | | Financial Results by Segment | 7 | | Quarterly Historical Financial Results by Segment | 8 | | Financial Results and Selected Statistics by Segmen ...

Unum Group (UNM) is slated to report fourth-quarter 2024 earnings on Feb. 4, after market close. The insurer’s earnings beat estimates in three of the last four reported quarters and missed in one.See the Zacks Earnings Calendar to stay ahead of market-making news.Factors to NoteFavorable persistency and better sales in the operating segments are likely to have favored premiums in the fourth quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged at $2.7 billion, indicating an increase of 4.1% from the year-ago rep ...

Unum (UNM) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2024. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4, 2025, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expect ...

I am bullish on Unum Group (NYSE: UNM ) due to its strong market presence and bright growth outlook amid a better macro climate. The stock soared by more than 58% last year beating theI am an experienced financial analyst and a former writer for Fade The Market on Seeking Alpha, with a passion for numbers and a knack for unraveling complex financial data. Armed with a strong financial modeling and data analysis background, I thrive on providing accurate insights and recommendations to drive informed financi ...