Company Insights - Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) is currently experiencing solid earnings estimate revisions, indicating a positive outlook from analysts [3][4] - Over the past 60 days, current quarter earnings estimates have increased from $0.47 per share to $0.52 per share, and current year estimates have risen from $1.97 per share to $2.19 per share [4] - Velocity Financial has achieved a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), highlighting its strong position in the market [4] Industry Overview - The Finance sector, where Velocity Financial operates, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 38 out of 247 industries, suggesting it is well-positioned compared to other segments [2] - The positive trends in the Finance space indicate that a rising tide may benefit multiple companies within the industry [2]

Loan Originations and Portfolio Growth - The company originated 4,532 loans totaling $1.8 billion for investment in 2024, compared to 2,955 loans totaling $1.1 billion in 2023, indicating significant growth in loan originations[45]. - As of December 31, 2024, the company's portfolio of loans held for investment totaled $5.1 billion in unpaid principal balance, with 99.5% attributed to loan origination[45]. - The primary product, a 30-year fixed-rate amortizing term loan, comprised 85.2% of loan originations in 2024, reflecting strong market demand[42]. - The company funded 4,328 loans sourced by 1,415 different mortgage brokers in 2024, indicating a broad network and market penetration[41]. - The company aims to expand its network of mortgage brokers, with approximately 89% of loan originators having originated five or fewer loans, presenting growth opportunities[39]. - Total loans increased to $5,055,937 thousand as of December 31, 2024, up from $4,072,890 thousand in 2023, representing a growth of 24.2%[118]. - Loan originations for the year ended December 31, 2024, reached $1,817,600 thousand, an increase of $723,300 thousand or 64.7% from $1,094,300 thousand in 2023[122]. - Total loans held for investment, net, increased to $5,187,067 thousand in 2024 from $4,134,195 thousand in 2023[123]. Financial Performance - The company generated $159.6 million in portfolio-related net interest income for the year ended December 31, 2024, representing a net interest margin of 3.56%[34]. - For the year ended December 31, 2024, the yield on the total portfolio was 9.06% and the portfolio-related net interest margin was 3.56%[80]. - The company generated pre-tax income of $96.4 million and net income of $68.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, with a pre-tax return on average equity of 20.3%[80]. - Portfolio related net interest income increased by $35.3 million or 28.4% to $159.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $124.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2023[109]. - Net income for the year ended December 31, 2024 was $68,466 thousand, up from $52,293 thousand in 2023 and $32,519 thousand in 2022[159]. - Income before income taxes increased to $96,391 thousand for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $71,127 thousand in 2023 and $44,552 thousand in 2022[159]. Loan Quality and Credit Losses - The weighted average loan-to-value (LTV) ratio at origination for loans held for investment was 66.6%, providing a buffer against credit losses[47]. - Approximately 91.4% of loans held for investment were fully-amortizing over 30 years, which reduces the risk of default compared to balloon loans[46]. - Nonperforming loans as a percentage of total loans rose to 10.67% as of December 31, 2024, compared to 9.69% in 2023[118]. - The allowance for credit losses is maintained at a level deemed adequate by management to provide for expected losses in the portfolio at the balance sheet date[98]. - The allowance for credit losses decreased to $4,174 thousand as of December 31, 2024, from $4,769 thousand in 2023[128]. - Charge-offs for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $1,768 thousand, resulting in a charge-off rate of 0.55% of average nonperforming loans[127]. - The recovery rate on resolved nonperforming loans was 103.9% in 2024, compared to 102.3% in 2023 and 106.7% in 2022[137]. Operating Expenses and Income - Total operating expenses increased by 38.8%, or $39.0 million, to $139.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, from $100.6 million in 2023[195]. - Compensation and employee benefits rose to $69.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, from $48.3 million in 2023, primarily due to higher commissions[196]. - Income tax expense was $27.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, up from $18.8 million in 2023, with an effective tax rate of 29.0% compared to 25.2% in the prior year[202]. Securitization and Debt - The company has executed 37 securitizations of investor real estate loans, issuing $8.0 billion in principal amount of securities since 2011[30]. - In August 2023, the company completed its first securitization collateralized by a short-term loan product, issuing $81.6 million in securities[50]. - The company plans to finance its loan portfolio primarily through equity and financing arrangements, including warehouse lines and securitizations[53]. - Interest expenses related to corporate debt were $23.8 million, $16.6 million, and $29.5 million for the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023, and 2022, respectively[87]. - Total debt related to the portfolio increased to $4,076,596 thousand for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $3,341,411 thousand in 2023 and $2,750,822 thousand in 2022[155]. Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The investor real estate loan market is highly competitive, which could affect profitability and growth[111]. - Macroeconomic conditions, including interest rates and unemployment rates, may impact the investor real estate loan market[116]. - The company anticipates that future performance will depend on growing origination/acquisition volume, leveraging a large and fragmented core market[109].

Core Insights - Velocity Financial (NYSE: VEL) has reported another strong quarter, although its shares remain within the same trading range [1] Company Overview - Velocity Financial continues to demonstrate robust performance in its quarterly results, indicating potential for growth despite the current trading limitations [1] Investment Strategy - The investment approach involves a buy and hold strategy with tranche purchases, focusing on small companies with high growth potential [2]

Financial Performance - Net income for full year 2024 was $68.4 million, up 30.7% from $52.3 million in 2023, with diluted EPS increasing to $1.91 from $1.52[3] - Fourth quarter net income reached $20.6 million, an 18.6% increase from $17.4 million in Q4 2023, with core net income rising 34.6% to $21.8 million[4] - Net revenue for Q4 2024 was $71.2 million, an increase of 38.0% from $51.6 million in Q4 2023[22] - The company reported a net revenue of $236,029 thousand for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $171,746 thousand in 2023, an increase of 37.4%[62] - Core net income for FY 2024 reached $72.9 million, a 36.5% increase from $53.4 million in FY 2023[39] - Basic earnings per share for Q4 2024 was $0.62, compared to $0.53 in Q4 2023, indicating an increase of 17%[60] - Core diluted EPS for FY 2024 was $2.03, a 31.8% increase from $1.54 in FY 2023[39] Loan Production and Portfolio - Loan production for Q4 2024 was $563.5 million, a significant 60.0% increase from $352.1 million in Q4 2023, marking the second-highest quarterly volume in the company's history[16] - Loan production for FY 2024 totaled $1.84 billion, a 64.6% increase from $1.12 billion in FY 2023[36] - The total loan portfolio increased to $5.1 billion in UPB as of December 31, 2024, reflecting a 24.1% growth from $4.1 billion in 2023[12] - Average loans for FY 2024 were $4.49 billion, a 20.5% increase from $3.73 billion in FY 2023[36] - The total loans for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $4,488,301, with an interest income of $406,843, resulting in a yield of 9.06%, compared to $3,725,197 in loans and $310,775 in interest income for 2023, yielding 8.34%[65] Interest Income and Margin - Total net interest income for Q4 2024 was $38.8 million, a 29.9% increase from $29.9 million in Q4 2023[22] - Interest income for the year ended December 31, 2024, reached $406,843 thousand, a significant rise from $310,776 thousand in 2023, representing a growth of 30.8%[62] - The portfolio net interest margin (NIM) improved to 3.70% in Q4 2024, up from 3.52% in Q4 2023[9] - Portfolio net interest margin (NIM) for FY 2024 was 3.56%, up from 3.34% in FY 2023[39] - The net interest margin for the portfolio related to the total company was 3.20% in Q4 2024, up from 3.10% in Q4 2023[63] Nonperforming Loans and Resolutions - Nonperforming loans (NPL) totaled $539.4 million, representing 10.7% of loans held for investment, up from 9.7% in 2023[16] - Total gains on nonperforming loan (NPL) resolutions were $10.2 million, an 84.6% increase from $5.5 million in FY 2023[39] - NPL resolution totaled $79.4 million in UPB for Q4 2024, realizing 107.0% of UPB resolved compared to 102.2% in Q4 2023[32] - Nonperforming loans as a percentage of total held-for-investment loans were 10.7% as of December 31, 2024, compared to 9.7% as of December 31, 2023[39] Expenses and Operating Costs - Total operating expenses for Q4 2024 were $39.1 million, up 33.7% from $29.3 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to increased securitization expenses[27] - Total expenses for FY 2024 were $167.6 million, a 40.3% increase from $119.5 million in FY 2023[39] - Compensation and employee benefits increased to $20.1 million in Q4 2024, a 32.6% rise from $15.1 million in Q4 2023[24] - Total operating expenses for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $139,638 thousand, up from $100,619 thousand in 2023, marking a 38.8% increase[62] Capital and Equity - The average common equity increased by 15.5% to $498.9 million in Q4 2024 compared to $431.9 million in Q4 2023[7] - The company issued $7.3 million in new common equity through its ATM program, supporting ongoing growth initiatives[4] - The book value per share rose to $15.70 as of December 31, 2024, compared to $13.49 a year earlier, an increase of 16.4%[56] Debt and Interest Expense - Total debt for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $4,359,484, with an interest expense of $271,039, resulting in a yield of 6.22%, compared to $3,556,411 in total debt and $203,024 in interest expense for 2023, yielding 5.71%[65] - The corporate debt for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $282,888, with an interest expense of $23,821, yielding 8.42%, compared to $215,000 and $16,556 in interest expense for 2023, yielding 7.70%[65]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Velocity Financial, Inc. reported a 64% increase in originations for 2024, leading to a 37% increase in net revenue [8][9] - The Q4 pretax return on equity (ROE) was 26.8% [9] - Core earnings for Q4 were $0.60 per share, with full-year core earnings at $2.03 per share [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total loan production for Q4 was $563.5 million, an 18.2% increase over Q3 and a 60% increase year-over-year [19] - The weighted average coupon on the total portfolio at year-end was 9.53%, a 16 basis points increase from Q3 [23] - The non-performing loan (NPL) rate at the end of Q4 was 10.7%, relatively flat compared to 10.6% for Q3 [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total loan portfolio ended at $5.1 billion, a 6.4% increase from Q3 and over a 24% increase year-over-year [23] - The company experienced significant improvement in the capital markets post-presidential election, with tighter spreads for securitizations [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue capturing market share by lending to both residential and commercial real estate investors, addressing unmet needs in the market [7] - The strategy includes retaining earnings and building book value, with an adjusted book value estimated at $18.73 per share [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in another strong year of growth, citing healthy demand for their lending products [13][34] - The company is less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations compared to other mortgage segments, allowing it to continue providing capital to underserved borrowers [12] Other Important Information - The company reported $96 million in total liquidity at the end of Q4, with $50 million in cash and cash equivalents [31] - Non-performing loan resolution gains for Q4 were $5.6 million, with a total of $10.2 million for the year [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Production expectations for 2025 - Management indicated that the current run rate is a good forecast for the rest of the year, with increasing demand expected [39] Question: Average loan balance increase - The increase in average loan balance is attributed to a higher commercial component rather than entering new markets [41][43] Question: Capital needs for growth - Current retained earnings and ATM issuance are sufficient for growth, but additional capital may be needed if growth accelerates significantly [45] Question: Borrower mindset amidst rate volatility - Borrowers focus on acquiring and managing properties rather than being overly concerned with interest rates [52][55] Question: NPL resolutions process - Most NPL resolutions involve borrowers either paying current or refinancing, with a small percentage going to foreclosure [66]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Velocity Financial, Inc. reported a 64% increase in originations for 2024, leading to a 37% increase in net revenue [8][9] - The Q4 pretax return on equity (ROE) was 26.8%, with core earnings of $0.60 per share for Q4 and $2.03 per share for the full year [13][14] - The total loan portfolio reached $5.1 billion, marking a 6.4% increase from Q3 and over 24% year-over-year growth [22][23] - The non-performing loan (NPL) rate was stable at 10.7%, consistent with the previous quarter [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total loan production for Q4 was $563.5 million, an 18.2% increase from Q3 [19] - The weighted average coupon on the total portfolio was 9.53%, a 16 basis points increase from Q3 [23] - The net interest margin (NIM) for Q4 was 3.70%, reflecting a 10 basis points increase quarter-over-quarter [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced strong demand from borrowers, particularly in larger, more liquid metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) [10] - The securitization market showed significant improvement post-presidential election, leading to tighter spreads and increased investor participation [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue capturing market share by lending to both residential and commercial real estate investors, addressing unmet needs in the market [7] - The strategy includes retaining earnings and building book value, with an adjusted book value estimated at $18.73 per share [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth for 2025, citing strong borrower demand and a favorable capital market environment [34] - The company remains less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations compared to other mortgage segments, focusing on delivering capital to underserved borrowers [12] Other Important Information - The company reported $96 million in liquidity at the end of Q4, with a maximum line capacity of $785 million [31][32] - Non-performing loan resolution gains for Q4 were $5.6 million, with a total of $10.2 million for the year [27][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Production expectations for 2025 - Management indicated that the current run rate is a good forecast for the year, with potential for upward growth due to increasing demand [39] Question: Average loan balance increase - The increase in average loan balance is attributed to a higher commercial component rather than entering new markets [41][43] Question: Capital needs for growth - Current retained earnings and ATM issuance are sufficient for growth, but additional capital may be needed if growth accelerates significantly [45] Question: Borrower mindset amidst rate volatility - Borrowers focus on property management and acquisition rather than interest rates, valuing certainty of execution [55] Question: NPL resolutions process - Most NPL resolutions involve borrowers paying current or refinancing, with only a small percentage leading to foreclosure [66] Question: CMBS market response to volatility - The company has not seen significant volatility in its securitizations, which are more comparable to non-QM RMBS executions [73] Question: Visibility into NPL resolution pipeline - NPL resolutions are unpredictable and can vary significantly, but historical trends suggest a durable source of returns [75] Question: Composition of the portfolio - The portfolio is nearly evenly split between one to four rental properties and small commercial assets, with a focus on liquid and easily sellable REO [80]

Velocity Financial (VEL) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.60 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.47 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.46 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 27.66%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.47 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.47, delivering no surprise.Over the last four quarters, the company has sur ...

Financial Performance - Net income for 4Q24 was $206 million, an increase of 186% compared to $174 million in 4Q23[7] - Core net income for 4Q24 increased by 346% to $218 million from $162 million in 4Q23[7] - Full year diluted EPS increased by $039 to $191, up from $152 in 2023[7] - GAAP book value per share as of December 31, 2024, was $1570, a 53% increase from September 30, 2024[13] - Adjusted book value per share as of December 31, 2024, was $1873[13] Loan Production and Portfolio - Loan production in 4Q24 reached $5635 million in UPB, an 182% increase from 3Q24 and a 600% increase from 4Q23[7, 15] - The total loan portfolio reached $51 billion in UPB as of December 31, 2024, a 241% increase from $41 billion in UPB as of December 31, 2023[7, 18] - The WAC of the portfolio was 953% as of December 31, 2024, an increase from 888% as of December 31, 2023[18] Asset Quality and Resolution - Nonperforming Loans (NPL) were 107% of HFI loans as of December 31, 2024[7, 25] - 4Q24 NPL resolutions realized gains of $56 million, or 1070%, of UPB resolved[7] - NPL resolution totaled $794 million in UPB, realizing 1070% of UPB resolved compared to $701 million in UPB and realization of 1022% of UPB resolved for 4Q23[30] Financing and Liquidity - Completed securitizations totaling $2929 million and $2939 million, respectively, of securities issued in 4Q24[7] - Liquidity of $959 million and total available warehouse line capacity of $4350 million as of December 31, 2024[8] - Two securitization completed during 4Q24, totaling $5868 million of securities issued with a weighted average rate of 60%[39]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company released its Third Quarter 2024 results, which are available on its Investor Relations website [4] - The call may include forward-looking statements that are uncertain and outside of the company's control, with actual results potentially differing materially [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specific details regarding changes in business line data and key metrics were not provided in the available content Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specific details regarding changes in market data and key metrics were not provided in the available content Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company has not disclosed specific strategic initiatives or competitive positioning in the available content Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management has indicated that the content of the call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of the date of the call, with no commitment to update forward-looking statements [5] Other Important Information - The call included a reminder about the potential risks and factors that could affect results, which are detailed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission [5] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers - No specific questions and answers from the Q&A session were provided in the available content

Financial Performance - Net income for Q3 2024 was $15.8 million, a 30.8% increase from $12.1 million in Q3 2023, with diluted EPS rising to $0.44 from $0.35[2] - Core net income reached $16.9 million, up 31.2% from $12.9 million in Q3 2023, with core diluted EPS increasing to $0.47 from $0.37[2] - Net revenue for 3Q24 was $55.9 million, a 25.3% increase from $44.6 million in 3Q23, driven by strong portfolio growth[13] - Net interest income after provision for loan losses was $35.1 million, a 29.1% increase from $27.2 million in 3Q23[13] - Net income attributable to Velocity Financial, Inc. for Q3 2024 was $15,803, compared to $12,086 in Q3 2023, marking a 30.2% increase[36] - Core net income for Q3 2024 was $16,949, up from $12,918 in Q3 2023, indicating a year-over-year growth of 31.4%[38] Loan Production and Portfolio - Loan production totaled $476.8 million in UPB, marking a 64.1% increase from $290.6 million in Q3 2023[9] - Total loan portfolio reached $4.8 billion in UPB, a 22.6% increase from $3.9 billion in UPB as of September 30, 2023[8] - Total HFI loans increased to $4.73 billion, up 22.7% from $3.86 billion in the same quarter last year[10] - The average loan portfolio balance for Q3 2024 was $4,578,911, compared to $3,773,630 in Q3 2023, representing a year-over-year increase of 21.3%[37] - The company aims for a $5 billion loan portfolio by 2025, supported by strong production volume growth[4] Interest and Margins - The portfolio net interest margin (NIM) improved to 3.60%, a 26 basis points increase from 3.34% in Q3 2023[2] - The net interest margin for the total company improved to 3.06% in Q3 2024, compared to 2.90% in Q3 2023[37] - The weighted average total portfolio yield was 9.18%, an increase of 80 basis points from September 30, 2023[9] - Interest income for Q3 2024 reached $105,070, an increase of 32.8% compared to $79,088 in Q3 2023[36] Nonperforming Loans - Nonperforming loans as a percentage of Held for Investment (HFI) loans was 10.6%, slightly up from 10.1% in Q3 2023[2] - Nonperforming loans (NPL) reached $503.9 million as of September 30, 2024, representing 10.6% of total HFI loans, an increase from $387.7 million and 10.1% a year earlier[11] - Resolutions of nonperforming loans and real estate owned totaled $68.6 million in UPB, with realized gains of $2.3 million[2] - NPL resolution totaled $68.6 million in UPB for 3Q24, realizing 103.4% of UPB resolved compared to $65.7 million and 101.8% for 3Q23[21] Operating Expenses - Operating expenses totaled $34.6 million for 3Q24, a 26.6% increase from $27.3 million in 3Q23, primarily due to higher production volume[16] - Compensation and employee benefits rose to $17.6 million, a 40.4% increase from $12.5 million in 3Q23, driven by higher commissions[15] - Total operating expenses for Q3 2024 were $34,613, a slight increase from $27,334 in Q3 2023, representing a year-over-year increase of 26.8%[36] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased to $5,202,474 thousand as of September 30, 2024, up from $4,873,393 thousand as of June 30, 2024, representing a growth of 6.7%[35] - Total liabilities increased to $4,714,785 thousand, up from $4,398,646 thousand, reflecting a growth of 7.2%[35] - Stockholders' equity increased to $484,636 thousand, up from $471,323 thousand, marking a growth of 2.8%[35] Securitization and Other Income - The company completed one securitization during 3Q24, totaling $253.6 million of securities issued with a weighted average rate of 6.9%, down from 7.6% in 3Q23[18] - Total other operating income was $20.7 million for 3Q24, an increase from $17.4 million in 3Q23[14] - Gain on disposition of loans was $2.3 million for 3Q24, driven by loans transferred to Real Estate Owned (REO)[14] Future Outlook - The company will host a conference call on November 7, 2024, to review 3Q24 financial results[22]