VTEX(VTEX)

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VTEX: Attractive Valuation For A Profitable Start
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-23 02:55
Group 1 - The company is positioned for high future growth, with a target price of $7.08, indicating a potential return of over 10% from the current price [1] - Future growth will be driven by the sale of enterprise products [1] - The analysis follows a triangulation approach involving valuation by multiples, discounted cash flow (DCF), and dividend yield [1] Group 2 - The focus is on the Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples sectors, prioritizing companies with smaller capitalization and low institutional coverage [1] - The investment philosophy combines income and value investing strategies, emphasizing a margin of safety in multiples and projected cash flow [1] - Dividend yield is considered a fundamental component for generating returns and mitigating risks, especially in low coverage stocks [1] Group 3 - The analysis is based on a bottom-up approach, concentrating on operational fundamentals, execution history, and sustainable growth drivers [1] - Suggestions involving options may be included when they align with the main thesis and offer an asymmetric advantage [1] - The goal is to produce in-depth, rational, data-driven analyses to support informed investment decisions [1]
Wall Street Analysts See a 35.38% Upside in VTEX (VTEX): Can the Stock Really Move This High?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 14:56
Group 1 - VTEX shares have increased by 5% over the past four weeks, closing at $6.50, with a mean price target of $8.8 indicating a potential upside of 35.4% [1] - The average price targets range from a low of $7.30 to a high of $10.00, with a standard deviation of $1.33, suggesting a variability in estimates [2] - Analysts show a strong consensus that VTEX will report better earnings than previously estimated, which historically correlates with stock price increases [4][11] Group 2 - Recent revisions in earnings estimates have been positive, with two estimates moving higher and the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 5.4% [12] - VTEX holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - While consensus price targets may not be reliable for predicting exact gains, they can indicate the direction of price movement [14]
VTEX(VTEX) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription revenue grew 15% in FX neutral terms in Q1 2025, reaching $52.6 million compared to $50.4 million in Q1 2024, a 4% increase in U.S. dollars [25][30] - Gross profit reached $41 million, a 22% growth in FX neutral terms, with a 3.7 percentage points margin increase year over year [5][30] - Non-GAAP operating income increased to $5.3 million, an 85% growth year over year, with a 4.2 percentage points margin increase [5][30] - Non-GAAP net income for Q1 2025 was $5.3 million, more than doubling year over year, with a 10% margin [29][30] - Free cash flow reached $6.6 million, compared to $1.6 million in the same quarter of the prior year, achieving a free cash flow margin of 12% [29][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-GAAP subscription gross margin reached 79%, up 191 basis points year over year, reflecting operational efficiency improvements [26][30] - Total gross margin rose to 76%, up 371 basis points year over year, driven by a lower mix of services revenue [26][30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - GMV for the quarter reached $4.3 billion, growing 8% year over year in U.S. dollars and 17% on an FX neutral basis [25][30] - The company continues to expand its presence in various markets, including new customer launches in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Spain, Mexico, and the U.S. [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its product suite and enhancing operational efficiency through AI and automation [6][43] - A strategic emphasis is placed on B2B commerce and retail media, with the acquisition of Newpeo to enhance retail advertising capabilities [13][30] - The company aims to evolve from a single platform to a comprehensive suite of commerce products, reinforcing its position as a trusted partner for global enterprises [12][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's profitable growth trajectory despite macroeconomic volatility [30][54] - The company is targeting FX neutral year-over-year subscription revenue growth of 12.5% to 15.5% for Q2 2025 and 14% to 17% for the full year [30][54] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach to cost and expenses while focusing on customer value [57][30] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 2.7 million Class A common shares at an average price of $5.56 per share, totaling $15 million [29][30] - The company was recognized as a customer choice in the 2025 Gartner Voice of Customers for Digital Commerce report for the second consecutive year [11][12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Comment on subscription gross profit and sustainability of gains - Management noted a 190 basis point improvement in subscription gross margin, attributing gains to customer support optimization and the maturity of the partner ecosystem [35][36] Question: Areas seeing headcount reduction - Management indicated stability in headcount with minor changes primarily in the support area, not reflecting a trend [38] Question: Increase in R&D expenses - Management explained the increase in R&D expenses as a strategic investment in product development and innovation, particularly in B2B and retail media [42][43] Question: Update on U.S. expansion - Management confirmed ongoing momentum in U.S. sales, focusing on high-value enterprise customers and building durable relationships [46][47] Question: Macro situation in the U.S. and IT budgets - Management highlighted the company's resilience amid macroeconomic volatility, noting that enterprises are reassessing their technology infrastructure for cost efficiency [52][54] Question: Subscription revenue build-up by geography and category - Management provided qualitative insights, indicating Brazil's contribution to growth through new customer implementations [65] Question: Economics of retail media business - Management expressed confidence in the retail media business, emphasizing the connection between publishers and advertisers, and the rapid growth of the advertiser network post-acquisition [68][69]
VTEX(VTEX) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 20:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription revenue grew 15% in FX neutral terms in Q1 2025, reaching $52.6 million compared to $50.4 million in Q1 2024, a 4% increase in U.S. dollars [26] - Gross profit reached $41 million, a 22% growth in FX neutral terms, with a 3.7 percentage points margin increase year over year [5] - Non-GAAP operating income increased to $5.3 million, an 85% growth year over year, with a 4.2 percentage points margin increase [5][29] - Non-GAAP net income reached $5.3 million in Q1 2025, more than doubling year over year, with a 5.2 percentage points improvement in margin [30] - Free cash flow was $6.6 million, compared to $1.6 million in the same quarter of the prior year, achieving a free cash flow margin of 12% [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-GAAP subscription gross margin reached 79%, up 191 basis points year over year, reflecting operational efficiency improvements [27] - Total gross margin rose to 76%, up 371 basis points year over year, driven by a lower mix of services revenue and subscription gross margin gains [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - GMV for the quarter reached $4.3 billion, growing 8% year over year in U.S. dollars and 17% on an FX neutral basis [26] - The company successfully brought several new customers live across various regions, including Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Spain, Mexico, and the U.S. [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on building a future where intelligent agents evolve into digital workers, managing core workflows autonomously [6] - The strategy includes doubling down on high-impact product bets, particularly in B2B commerce and retail media, with the acquisition of Newpeo to enhance retail advertising capabilities [14] - The company aims to solidify its position as a trusted, scalable, and innovation-driven platform for global enterprises [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of the profitable growth strategy despite ongoing macroeconomic volatility [4] - The company is targeting FX neutral year-over-year subscription revenue growth of 12.5% to 15.5% for Q2 2025 and 14% to 17% for the full year 2025 [31] - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by macroeconomic conditions but emphasized the company's resilience and adaptability [56] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 2.7 million Class A common shares at an average price of $5.56 per share, totaling $15 million [29] - The company was recognized as a customer choice in the 2025 Gartner Voice of Customers for Digital Commerce report for the second consecutive year [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Comment on subscription gross profit and sustainability of gains - Management noted a 190 basis point improvement in subscription gross margin, attributing gains to customer support optimization and the maturity of the partner ecosystem [38] Question: Areas seeing headcount reduction - Management indicated stability in headcount with minor changes, primarily in the support area, but not indicative of a trend [40] Question: Increase in R&D expenses - Management explained the increase in R&D expenses as a strategic investment in product development and innovation, particularly in B2B and retail media [46] Question: Update on U.S. expansion - Management confirmed ongoing momentum in the U.S. market, focusing on high-value enterprise customers and building durable relationships [50] Question: Macro situation in the U.S. and IT budgets - Management highlighted the company's resilience amid macroeconomic volatility, noting that enterprises are reassessing their technology infrastructure for cost efficiency [56] Question: Subscription revenue build-up by geography and category - Management provided qualitative insights, indicating that Brazil is contributing to growth through new customer implementations [68] Question: Economics of the retail ads media business - Management expressed confidence in the retail media business, emphasizing the connection between publishers and advertisers and the rapid growth of the advertiser network [72]
VTEX(VTEX) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-26 04:09
VTEX (NYSE:VTEX) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 25, 2024 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Julia Fernandez - VP of Investor Relations Geraldo Thomaz Jr. - Founder, Co-Chief Executive Officer Ricardo Sodre - Chief Financial Officer Mariano Gomide - Founder, Co-Chief Executive Officer Conference Call Participants Marcelo Santos - JPMorgan Thiago Kapulskis - Itau BBA Leonardo Olmos - UBS Lucca Brendim - Bank of America Julia Fernandez Hello everyone, and welcome to the VTEX Earnings Conference Call fo ...
VTEX(VTEX) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-06 20:35
Business Overview Fourth Quarter 2024 February 2025 Safe Harbor This presentation may contain forward-looking statements relating to such matters as continued growth prospects for the Company, industry trends and product and technology initiatives. These statements are based on currently available information and our current assumptions, expectations and projections about future events. While we believe that our assumptions, expectations and projections are reasonable in view of currently available informat ...
VTEX (VTEX) Q4 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-26 00:01
Core Insights - VTEX reported revenue of $61.52 million for the quarter ended December 2024, reflecting a 1.3% increase year-over-year, but a -3.00% surprise compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $63.43 million [1] - The company's EPS was $0.03, up from $0.02 in the same quarter last year, but fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.05, resulting in a -40.00% EPS surprise [1] - The stock has returned -0.8% over the past month, compared to a -1.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] Revenue Breakdown - Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) was reported at $5.39 billion, lower than the estimated $5.65 billion [4] - Services revenue was $2.06 million, slightly above the $2 million average estimate, but represented a -17.4% year-over-year decline [4] - Subscription revenue reached $59.46 million, which was below the $61.43 million average estimate, but showed a +2.1% increase year-over-year [4]
VTEX (VTEX) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-25 23:20
Company Performance - VTEX reported quarterly earnings of $0.03 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.05 per share, and showing an increase from $0.02 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -40% [1] - The company posted revenues of $61.52 million for the quarter ended December 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3%, and compared to year-ago revenues of $60.72 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, VTEX has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates just once [2] Stock Outlook - VTEX shares have increased approximately 4.8% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.7% [3] - The company's earnings outlook, including current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters, will be crucial for investors [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.02 on revenues of $57.03 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.14 on revenues of $256.4 million [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which VTEX belongs, is currently ranked in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact VTEX's performance [5] - Another company in the same industry, Soho House & Co, is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.07 per share, with revenues projected at $313.14 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.7% [9]
VTEX(VTEX) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-25 22:32
VTEX (VTEX) Q4 2024 Earnings Call February 25, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants Julia Fernández - VP of Investor RelationsGeraldo do Carmo Thomaz - Co-founder, Co-CEO & Co-ChairmanRicardo Camatta Sodré - CFOMariano Gomide de Faria - Co-founder, Co-CEO & Co-ChairmanThiago Kapulskis - Head of Global TMT Sell-Side ResearchLeonardo Olmos - Executive DirectorLucca Brendim - Equity Research Associate Conference Call Participants Marcelo Santos - Equity Analyst Julia Fernández Hello, everyone, and welcome to ...
VTEX(VTEX) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-02-25 21:01
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 6-K REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16 UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the month of February 2025. Commission File Number 001-40626 VTEX (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) N/A (Translation of registrant's name into English) Harbour Place, 103 South Church Street Grand Cayman, KY1-1002 Cayman Islands (Address of principal executive office) Indicate by check mark wheth ...