Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released ...

Core Viewpoint - Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates in upcoming quarterly reports [1] Group 1: Earnings Performance - Advanced Drainage has a strong history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 12.72% over the last two quarters [2] - In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.97 per share, exceeding the expected $1.7 per share by 15.88% [3] - For the previous quarter, the actual earnings were $1.95 per share against an estimate of $1.78 per share, resulting in a surprise of 9.55% [3] Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Advanced Drainage, indicated by a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) [4] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [5] - Advanced Drainage currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.98%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [7] Group 3: Importance of Earnings ESP - The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [6] - A negative Earnings ESP reduces predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [8] - Checking a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for increasing the odds of success in investment decisions [9]

Group 1 - The article discusses a cautionary note issued regarding shares of Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS), warning investors about potential risks as peak post-pandemic margins are declining [1] - The service "Value in Corporate Events" provides coverage of major corporate events such as earnings reports, M&A, and IPOs, aiming to identify actionable investment opportunities [1] - The leader of the investing group has a Master of Science specializing in financial markets and a decade of experience in tracking companies through significant corporate events [1]

Core Insights - The construction sector is expected to benefit from moderating monetary policy, easing inflation, and improved economic visibility as it approaches 2026 [2][4] Economic Environment - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in 2025, lowering the benchmark range to 3.5%-3.75%, with an additional cut projected for 2026 [3] - Inflation is expected to decrease to 2.5% in 2026, GDP growth is revised to 2.3%, and the unemployment rate is projected to decline to 4.4% [4] Construction Demand Drivers - Construction demand is increasingly driven by multi-year, non-discretionary investment cycles, including digital infrastructure, public works, and water management [5] - Federal infrastructure funding and private-sector investments provide longer-duration visibility that is less sensitive to short-term economic fluctuations [5] Investment Opportunities - Wall Street favors construction companies with multi-year backlog visibility, exposure to structurally funded spend categories, and strong operating discipline [6] - Notable companies include Dycom Industries, Sterling Infrastructure, Comfort Systems USA, Tutor Perini, and Advanced Drainage Systems, which are well-positioned for growth into 2026 [7] Company Performance Highlights - Dycom Industries (DY) has a projected EPS growth of 35% and a stock surge of 95.3% YTD, with strong demand for digital infrastructure [10][13] - Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) has gained 89.4% YTD, with a projected EPS growth of 14.6% [10][15] - Comfort Systems USA (FIX) has surged 108.4% YTD, with a projected EPS growth of 16.4% [10][17] - Tutor Perini (TPC) has gained 172.8% YTD, with a projected EPS growth of 17.7% [10][19] - Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) has gained 25.2% YTD, with a projected EPS growth of 17.7% [10][21]

Core Insights - The BBH Select Series - Mid Cap Fund experienced a total return decrease of -0.9% in Q3 2025, underperforming the Russell Midcap Index, which returned 5.3% [1] - Year-to-date, the Fund's total return is -1.8%, compared to the Index's 10.4% [1] - The third quarter saw a continuation of the low-quality rally that began late last year, gaining momentum throughout 2025 [1] Company Highlights - Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (NYSE:WMS) is noted as a significant contributor to the Fund's performance in Q3 2025 [3] - The stock of Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. had a one-month return of -2.42% but gained 13.05% over the last 52 weeks [2] - As of December 09, 2025, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. closed at $144.80 per share, with a market capitalization of $11.26 billion [2]

Core Insights - The U.S. Stormwater Management Market is projected to grow from USD 8.25 billion in 2025 to USD 15.05 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 7.8% [1][6] Market Growth Drivers - There is an increasing demand for eco-friendly stormwater management solutions due to a growing emphasis on sustainability in urban design and construction [1][2] - Local governments are seeking robust infrastructure solutions to comply with environmental regulations, driving market expansion and innovation [2] Market Segmentation By Service Type - In 2024, Installation Services accounted for approximately 43% of total revenue, driven by urban development and infrastructure renewal [7] - The Annual Maintenance Services segment is expected to grow at the largest CAGR during the forecast period [7] By Solution Type - The Detention & Infiltration segment held the largest market share in 2024, essential for managing stormwater runoff [8] - Biofiltration systems are projected to experience the largest CAGR, utilizing vegetation and microorganisms for stormwater treatment [8] By End-user - The Community, Government & Military segment captured the largest market share in 2024, influenced by stringent regulations and environmental mandates [9] - The Commercial segment is expected to grow at the largest CAGR, as businesses adopt stormwater management systems to meet environmental standards [10] Regional Insights - The U.S. held the largest market share in 2024 due to significant infrastructure needs, urbanization, and strict environmental regulations [11] Recent Developments - A survey by Advanced Drainage Systems revealed that over half of Americans are concerned about flooding, with 64% believing stormwater negatively impacts their communities [12] Key Market Players - Leading companies in the U.S. stormwater management market include Advanced Drainage Systems, Contech Engineered Solutions, and Hydro International among others [5]

Group 1 - Installed Building Products (IBP) is currently ranked 1 (Strong Buy) in the Zacks Rank system, indicating strong potential for outperforming the market in the near term [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IBP's full-year earnings has increased by 9.6% over the past quarter, reflecting improved analyst sentiment and a more positive earnings outlook [4] - IBP has achieved a year-to-date return of 51.8%, significantly outperforming the average gain of 4.7% in the Construction sector [4] Group 2 - Installed Building Products is part of the Building Products - Miscellaneous industry, which includes 33 stocks and currently ranks 97 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - Stocks in the Building Products - Miscellaneous industry have, on average, lost 2.8% this year, further highlighting IBP's strong performance relative to its peers [6] - Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS), another stock in the Construction sector, has a year-to-date return of 32.1% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating solid performance as well [5]

Core Insights - Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (NYSE:WMS) stock price is currently at $146.44, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.10% in the current market session, but has increased by 10.97% over the past month and 9.52% over the past year [1] Valuation Metrics - The P/E ratio is a critical metric for assessing the company's market performance, comparing the current share price to the company's earnings per share (EPS) [5] - A higher P/E ratio may indicate that investors expect better future performance, potentially suggesting overvaluation, while a lower P/E could imply undervaluation or lack of expected growth [10] - Advanced Drainage Systems has a P/E ratio lower than the aggregate P/E of 26.77 for the Building Products industry, which may suggest that the stock is undervalued compared to its peers [6] Investment Considerations - The P/E ratio should not be used in isolation; it is essential to consider other financial metrics and qualitative factors, such as industry trends and business cycles, to make informed investment decisions [10]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific information or insights regarding a company or industry [1]

Core Insights - Advanced Drainage Systems reported Q3 CY2025 results that exceeded Wall Street's revenue expectations, with sales increasing by 8.7% year-on-year to $850.4 million, and a non-GAAP profit of $1.97 per share, which was 19.8% above analysts' consensus estimates [1][3][6] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 was $850.4 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $797.5 million, reflecting an 8.7% year-on-year growth and a 6.6% beat [6] - Adjusted EPS was $1.97 compared to analyst estimates of $1.64, marking a 19.8% outperformance [6] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $287.5 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $252.1 million, with a margin of 33.8%, representing a 14.1% beat [6] - The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $2.95 billion from $2.9 billion, a 1.6% increase [6] - Full-year EBITDA guidance is set at $920 million, above analyst estimates of $907.2 million [6] - Operating margin improved to 26.3%, up from 23.9% in the same quarter last year [6] - Market capitalization stands at $11.4 billion [6] Strategic Outlook - Management expressed a cautious outlook for the second half of the year, highlighting risks related to market volatility, seasonality, and potential government-related disruptions [4] - CEO Scott Barbour noted that while there are no immediate signs of recovery, ongoing investments in capacity, product development, and the pending NDS acquisition are expected to bolster future growth [4] - CFO Scott Cottrill emphasized the importance of maintaining favorable price/cost dynamics and leveraging operational efficiencies to support margin expansion despite limited visibility into end-market demand [4] Operational Highlights - The quarter's outperformance was attributed to a favorable product mix, operational initiatives, and resilience in core markets, along with contributions from recent acquisitions [5] - Strong growth was noted in higher-margin Allied Products and Infiltrator segments, supported by operational improvements and disciplined cost controls [3]