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智能时代,各国对未来制造业和供应链的准备程度(英)
世界经济论坛· 2024-12-11 07:05
Investment Rating - The report emphasizes that seven readiness factors are crucial for countries aiming to become attractive destinations for foreign investment in manufacturing and supply chains [32]. Core Insights - The report identifies a paradigm shift where manufacturers are increasingly balancing cost considerations with performance, resilience, and sustainability, with over 90% of manufacturers prioritizing regionalization [33][36]. - Four distinct country archetypes are defined based on the contribution of manufacturing to GDP and GDP per capita, which are Adapter, Converger, Connector, and Scaler [41][42]. - The report highlights that foreign investment is increasingly favoring nations that proactively invest in a holistic array of readiness factors beyond just cost [32][49]. Summary by Sections 1. Country Archetypes and Macro-Dynamic Trends - The report outlines four country archetypes: Adapter, Converger, Connector, and Scaler, based on their manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP and GDP per capita [41][42]. - It notes that adapters have seen a 15% decline in attractiveness for inward investment, while connectors have improved by 14% [49][52]. 2. A Proactive Approach to Balancing Readiness Factors - Seven readiness factors are identified as essential for attracting manufacturing investment: infrastructure, resources and energy, technology, labor and skills, fiscal and regulatory, geopolitical landscape, and environmental, social, and governance [58][60]. - The top three countries for physical and digital infrastructure quality are Denmark, the Netherlands, and Singapore [71]. - Chile, Australia, and Canada are recognized for their strong performance in energy infrastructure and natural resources [80]. 3. The Role of Public Sector Investment - The report discusses various public-private partnerships and government initiatives aimed at enhancing manufacturing capabilities, such as the Dominican Republic's port expansion and Malaysia's National Semiconductor Strategy [73][75]. - It emphasizes the importance of collaboration between public and private sectors to drive sustainable manufacturing and innovation [82][84]. 4. Conclusion - The report concludes that creating a favorable environment for manufacturing and supply chains requires continuous discourse and collaboration among stakeholders [29][34].
首席风险官展望:2024年10月(英)
世界经济论坛· 2024-10-28 08:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The global outlook for 2024 is characterized as "risky," with chief risk officers expressing concerns about geopolitical and geoeconomic relations (96%) and political developments (71%) impacting growth and innovation opportunities [10][18] - There is a notable decline in concern regarding technological developments, with only 24% of chief risk officers viewing it as a widespread issue, down from 38% in 2023 [10][18] - Chief risk officers anticipate macroeconomic indicators (76%), cyber risk and criminal activity (71%), and regulatory changes (67%) to have severe impacts on organizations in the next six months [19][20] Summary by Sections 1. A Volatile Mid-Year Outlook: The Global Perspective - Chief risk officers expect widespread volatility across various indicators, with no indicators perceived as highly stable [15] - The majority anticipate high volatility in the Middle East and North Africa (84%), Europe (40%), and the US (40%) for the remainder of 2024 [10][18] 2. Top Impacts of External Risks to Organizations - Key external risks identified include elections and political regime change (43%), pricing and supply disruptions, and human capital challenges [20][21] - The report highlights a significant increase in concern regarding elections and political regime change, moving from the ninth to the fourth position in risk ranking [20] 3. Spotlight: Rethinking the Role of the Risk Function - The risk function is viewed as beneficial, with 95% of respondents agreeing it provides a competitive edge [10] - There is a focus on short-term innovation and growth strategies, with 81% of chief risk officers prioritizing immediate strategies over longer-term ones [12][27] - The report indicates that the risk function's involvement in strategic decision-making varies, suggesting a need for organizations to enhance the impact of risk management [13][30]
世界经济论坛望报告:首席经济学家展
世界经济论坛· 2024-10-17 01:50
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The global economic outlook is stabilizing but remains vulnerable, with 54% of chief economists expecting conditions to remain unchanged and 37% anticipating a weakening [6][9] - Public debt levels are a significant concern, with 53% of economists in advanced economies and 64% in developing economies viewing them as a threat to macroeconomic stability [27][30] - The upcoming US presidential election is expected to have a substantial impact on global economic policy, with 80% of economists agreeing on its significance [12][14] Summary by Sections 1. Turbulent Crosswinds - The short-term outlook for the global economy shows signs of stabilization, but vulnerabilities persist, with a majority of economists expecting weak growth [6][9] - Political volatility, particularly related to the US elections, is a major source of uncertainty [12][14] - South Asia is projected to perform strongly, with 70% of economists expecting robust growth in 2024 and 2025 [14][15] 2. A Brewing Storm - Public debt levels have risen significantly, with global public debt as a proportion of GDP increasing from 84.2% in 2019 to 93.2% in 2023 [27][30] - The combination of high debt levels and interest rates is leading to increased economic strain, with many countries spending more on debt servicing than on essential services [30][31] - There is a notable difference in expectations of sovereign debt defaults, with 39% of economists expecting an increase in developing economies compared to only 9% in advanced economies [32][33] 3. Better Balanced Growth - The report highlights the need for fiscal consolidation, but many economists doubt its feasibility due to domestic pressures for increased spending [33][36] - Rising debt levels are expected to undermine government efforts to boost growth, particularly in advanced (53%) and developing (65%) economies [39][40] - The outlook for fiscal policy varies by region, with expectations of tightening in the US and Europe, while China is anticipated to loosen its fiscal policy [36][39]
改善城市发展中的社会成果:从业者指南(英)2024
世界经济论坛· 2024-10-14 11:45
In collaboration with Avison Young Improving Social Outcomes in Urban Development: A Playbook for Practitioners WHITE PAPER AUGUST 2024 Images: Getty Images Contents | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|-------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------| | | | | | | | Foreword | | 3 | | | Executive summary | | 4 | | 1 | | Introduction to social value in urban development | 5 | | | | 1.1 What is social value in the built environment? | 5 | | | | 1. ...
全球塑造者社区年度报告20232024(英)
世界经济论坛· 2024-09-02 04:35
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The Global Shapers Community comprises over 18,000 young leaders driving action in 500 major cities across 154 countries, focusing on building youth leaders, accelerating youth action, and amplifying youth voices [4][5] - In 2024, the community celebrated the certification of 1,000 Global Shapers as climate action leaders, highlighting their commitment to addressing critical global issues [6] - The community implemented over 400 local social change initiatives in 2024, engaging more than 1 million people globally, with a strong focus on equity and inclusion [20][23] Summary by Sections Foreword - The Global Shapers Community is recognized as a force for positive change, emphasizing the role of young people in enhancing the state of the world [4] Impact Model - Established in 2011, the community has over 18,000 members and focuses on local projects to drive collective action [8] - The community's strategic activities include building youth leaders, accelerating youth action, and amplifying youth voices [8] Expanding Reach - The community has surpassed 500 hubs globally, with nearly 11,000 members and 8,000 active alumni [9][10] Building Youth Leaders - Over 1,800 changemakers received leadership skills training, with 98% reporting valuable skill development [14] - The Global Shapers Annual Summit attracted over 9,600 participants, marking the largest virtual audience to date [14] Accelerating Youth Action - Since 2011, over 3,000 projects have been implemented, directly improving the lives of over 2.5 million people [19] - In 2024, over 400 initiatives engaged more than 1 million people, with a focus on vulnerable groups [20] Amplifying Youth Voices - Global Shapers participated in key global meetings, influencing decision-making and advocating for youth participation [28][29] - The community published 50 thought-leadership pieces and shared over 25 impact stories across digital channels [30] Looking Ahead - The community aims to expand membership and maintain over 500 hubs while mobilizing responses to their annual review [33]
世界经济论坛报告:2024年十大新兴技术报告
世界经济论坛· 2024-07-12 01:20
In collaboration with Frontiers Top 10 Emerging Technologies of 2024 FLAGSHIP REPORT JUNE 2024 Images: Midjourney, Studio Miko. All images in this report have been generated using artifcial intelligence. Contents Foreword 3 Introduction 4 Methodology 5 1 AI for scientifc discovery 8 2 Privacy-enhancing technologies 11 3 Reconfgurable intelligent surfaces 14 4 High altitude platform stations 17 5 Integrated sensing and communication 20 6 Immersive technology for the built world 23 7 Elastocalorics 26 8 Carbo ...
首席经济学家展望:2024年5月(英)
世界经济论坛· 2024-06-12 08:00
Centre for the New Economy and Society Chief Economists Outlook May 2024 Chief Economists Outlook ...