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Embedded B2B Payments: Unlocking the $16 Trillion Opportunity with a 5 Step Action Plan
Edgar, Dunn & Company· 2025-03-08 00:20
Investment Rating - The report indicates a bullish outlook for embedded B2B payments, projecting significant growth and adoption in the coming years, with a market size expected to reach $16 trillion by 2030 [6][22]. Core Insights - Embedded B2B payments are defined as the integration of payment functionalities into existing non-financial platforms, enhancing the efficiency and intuitiveness of B2B transactions [10][11]. - The report highlights the clear value of embedded payments in the B2B space, emphasizing benefits such as real-time reconciliation, integrated payment systems, efficient approval workflows, and enhanced security [14][15]. - The embedded B2B payments market is projected to grow from $4.1 trillion in 2024 to $15.6 trillion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% [17][22]. Summary by Sections Introduction - The report introduces the concept of embedded payments, noting their rapid adoption in consumer services and the growing momentum in the B2B sector, with a projected market size of $16 trillion by 2030 [6][4]. What are Embedded B2B Payments? - Embedded B2B payments aim to streamline the payment process by integrating payment capabilities directly into business systems, eliminating the need for users to switch between different platforms [10][11]. Value of Embedded Payments in B2B - Key advantages of embedded payments include automated reconciliation, increased internal efficiency, reduced errors, faster approval workflows, and enhanced security against fraud [14][15]. B2B Embedded Payments Opportunity - The report outlines the strong growth potential in the embedded B2B payments market, driven by technological advancements, digitalization of B2B processes, and the expansion of B2B e-commerce [22][23]. B2B Embedded Payments Value Chain - The value chain consists of various specialized participants, including regulated entities, payment service enablers, and technology platforms, all contributing to the embedded payment ecosystem [26][30]. Technology Platforms Using Embedded Payments - Several technology platforms, including SAP and Microsoft Dynamics 365, are already leveraging embedded payment solutions to enhance transaction processing and streamline workflows [36][39]. Strategic Considerations for Embedding Payments - The report identifies key hurdles for technology platforms, such as security concerns, internal policy resistance, and the need for clear ROI analysis to drive adoption of embedded payment solutions [44][45]. 5 Step Action Plan - A structured action plan is provided for technology platforms to implement embedded payments, including assessing payment needs, developing a business case, evaluating partners, creating a go-to-market strategy, and planning for implementation [51][54].
Five Best Practices to Unlock the Hidden Potential of Payments for Hotel Chains
Edgar, Dunn & Company· 2025-02-11 00:13
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the hotel industry but emphasizes the importance of optimizing payment strategies to enhance competitiveness and revenue growth. Core Insights - The hotel sector has shown strong recovery post-COVID, with projected revenues of $975 billion in 2024, reflecting a robust upward trajectory [9] - Direct payment acceptance costs are estimated to reach $21 billion in 2024, highlighting significant operational costs associated with payment processing [30] - A quarter of guests experience booking difficulties due to payment issues, leading to reservation abandonment or bookings with competitors [2] - The report identifies five best practices for hotel chains to transform their payment processes into strategic assets [3][42] Summary by Sections Introduction - The hotel industry surpassed pre-pandemic revenue levels in 2023 and is expected to grow at an annual rate of 3.7% from 2024 to 2029 [9] - Exceptional payment experiences are crucial for fostering guest loyalty and driving revenue [10] Payments Landscape: Current State and Challenges - The hotel payment ecosystem is characterized by decentralized operations, with individual properties managing their own payment processes [16] - Online bookings accounted for 63% of total hotel chain revenue in 2023, with direct bookings increasing by 9 percentage points to 29% [18] - The reliance on card payments leads to high direct acceptance costs and operational challenges, including fraud and chargeback management [30][37] Five Best Practices to Unlock the Hidden Potential of Payments for Hotel Chains 1. **Establish Centralized Payment Systems** - Centralization can reduce operational complexity and improve fraud management and reconciliation efficiency [45] - A phased implementation strategy is recommended to address practical barriers [46][50] 2. **Implement an Omnichannel Payments Strategy** - A comprehensive omnichannel strategy is essential for delivering seamless guest experiences across multiple touchpoints [52] - Innovations like self-service technologies and digital room keys enhance the payment experience [56] 3. **Offer the Right Mix of Payment Methods and Currencies** - Expanding payment methods and currencies is crucial, as 74% of consumers abandon bookings when their preferred payment method is unavailable [58] - Multi-Currency Pricing and Dynamic Currency Conversion can enhance transparency and trust [60][61] 4. **Maximize Value from Payments Data** - Payment data can provide insights for personalizing guest experiences and enhancing loyalty programs [62][68] - Integrating payment data with CRM systems allows for a holistic view of guest interactions [67] 5. **Monitor and Optimize Payment-Related KPIs** - Systematic measurement of KPIs across payment acceptance, revenue optimization, risk management, and operational efficiency is critical [70] - Dedicated payment stakeholders and regular engagement with key metrics are necessary for effective optimization [79]
Global FX Positioning_ Long USD Positioning Edges Higher Ahead of the FOMC Meeting
Edgar, Dunn & Company· 2024-12-19 16:37
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The conference call pertains to the foreign exchange (FX) market, specifically focusing on USD positioning and related currency strategies as analyzed by Morgan Stanley Research. Core Insights and Arguments - **USD Positioning**: Speculative USD (DXY) futures positioning increased to 27.5% of open interest in the week ending December 10, up from 24.1% the previous week [11] - **Market Sentiment**: In the week ending December 12, USD experienced the largest improvement in the Daily Sentiment Index, while sentiment on JPY, CAD, and CHF deteriorated the most among G10 currencies [11] - **Options and Futures Market Activity**: Investors added long USD positions and reduced short NOK positions against EUR, while increasing short positions in JPY and GBP. In the futures market, short positions in CHF and CAD were reduced, while short positions in USD and AUD were added [42][45] - **Tactical Investor Behavior**: Options data indicate that tactical investors are predominantly long on USD (DXY) and most short on AUD and GBP, with futures positioning showing long EUR and short CAD and NZD [45] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Data Sources and Methodology**: The analysis is based on options and futures data from DTCC, Bloomberg, and Macrobond, with specific methodologies outlined for assessing FX positioning [20][44] - **Market Trends**: The report highlights a shift in investor behavior, indicating a strategic pivot towards USD amidst changing market conditions, which could signal potential investment opportunities or risks in the FX market [42][45] - **Analyst Insights**: The report includes insights from multiple strategists at Morgan Stanley, emphasizing the collaborative nature of the analysis and the importance of diverse perspectives in understanding market dynamics [42] This summary encapsulates the critical points discussed in the conference call, focusing on USD positioning and market sentiment within the FX landscape.
New Oriental Education_Quality compounder at a (deep) bargain; affirm OW
Edgar, Dunn & Company· 2024-12-05 02:58
Summary of New Oriental Education Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: New Oriental Education (EDU) - **Industry**: Education sector in China Key Points and Arguments 1. **Stock Performance**: EDU has seen a 30% correction over the past six months, underperforming compared to KWEB (+5%) and TAL (-14) despite strong core business momentum [1][2] 2. **Revenue and Operating Profit Growth**: Expected revenue and operating profit growth of approximately +30% and +40% respectively for FY25E, indicating the company's status as a "quality compounder" [1] 3. **Valuation Opportunity**: Current P/E ratio of 13x presents an attractive accumulation opportunity, with a potential upside of around 45% [2] 4. **Guidance and Earnings**: EDU has beaten revenue guidance for nine consecutive quarters, although the magnitude of beats has narrowed, leading to some investor disappointment [3] 5. **Margin Concerns**: Recent softness in margins attributed to one-off costs and transitory issues, including higher-than-expected bonuses and new center opening costs [3] 6. **Record Profits**: The company reported all-time-high profits of US$300 million in the latest quarter, with core education operating profit increasing by 47% year-over-year [3] 7. **Future Guidance**: Upcoming Nov-Q print is expected to meet guidance and consensus for both revenue (28%+ y/y) and operating profit margin (down 50-100bps y/y) [4] East Buy Impact 1. **Departure of Dong Yuhui**: The exit of Dong Yuhui, a key figure for East Buy, is expected to impact EDU's growth and operating profit margin for FY25E by approximately 10 percentage points and over 2 percentage points respectively [12] 2. **Transitory Nature of Impact**: The impact of East Buy's performance is viewed as transitory, with the valuation impact being minimal due to the higher margins of the core education business [13] 3. **Break-up Fees**: EDU incurred about US$50 million in break-up fees due to Dong's departure, but most of these costs are expected to be behind the company [13] Market Trends and Concerns 1. **Population Decline Concerns**: Investors are worried about the implications of a shrinking population in China on the tutoring sector; however, comparisons with South Korea suggest that demand for tutoring can still grow despite declining student numbers [20][21] 2. **Regulatory Environment**: The regulatory environment is expected to remain stable, with no significant policy changes anticipated that could negatively impact the tutoring industry [28][29] Technical Developments 1. **Inclusion in Hang Seng Index**: New Oriental Education will be added to the Hang Seng Index, expected to bring in approximately US$83 million in passive inflows, which is seen as a positive technical development [30] Financial Forecasts 1. **Revenue Projections**: Forecasts indicate revenue growth from US$4.314 billion in FY24 to US$6.075 billion in FY25, with a significant portion coming from the core education business [33] 2. **Operating Profit Margins**: Non-GAAP operating profit margins are projected to improve from 11% in FY24 to 15% in FY27 [33] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call regarding New Oriental Education, highlighting its current performance, market position, and future outlook.
Fintech & Advanced Payments Report 2025
Edgar, Dunn & Company· 2024-11-01 00:13
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The payments sector is undergoing a significant transformation driven by advancements in technology, particularly generative AI, Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), and the Internet of Things (IoT) [5][6][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of balancing innovation, inclusion, and regulation to ensure secure and accessible advancements in the payments landscape [7] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report explores 14 key topics that highlight the latest trends in payments and fintech, aiming to provide insights into critical developments and opportunities [3][23] Emerging Technologies - Technologies such as AI, IoT, blockchain, and CBDCs are reshaping payment systems, enhancing security, efficiency, and financial inclusion [24][61] - The report notes that the adoption of Alternative Payment Methods (APMs) is also transforming transaction processes [24] Financial Services Inclusion and Innovations - Open banking and financial inclusion initiatives are driving innovation, particularly in underserved populations and emerging markets [25] - The report highlights the growth of peer-to-peer (P2P) remittances and insurtech as key areas for expanding access to financial services [25] Consumer Trends - Shifts in consumer preferences are prompting the industry to deliver more seamless and convenient payment solutions, particularly in e-commerce and the gig economy [26] - Despite a decline in cash usage, it is unlikely to become obsolete in the near future [26] Advanced Payments Survey Results - A survey conducted among 100 senior payments professionals revealed that 68% identified rising demand for instant payments as a key trend, while 61% noted the growing adoption of mobile payment solutions [31] - The survey also indicated that 88% of professionals expect increased demand for digital wallets over the next 1 to 3 years [31] Growth Verticals - Retail and e-commerce are projected to experience the fastest growth in digital payments, with 65% of respondents prioritizing these sectors [33] - International remittances (48%) and travel and hospitality (46%) are also expected to undergo substantial digital transformation [33] Emerging Payment Methods and Technologies - Instant payments (74%) and in-app payments (64%) are forecasted to see significant growth in the next 1-3 years [34] - Technologies such as open banking APIs (68%) and tokenization (57%) are deemed essential in today's market [34] Regional Innovation Hubs - The Asia-Pacific (APAC) region is expected to lead payment innovations over the next 3-5 years, with 50% of respondents identifying it as the top region [36] Security and Functionality in Mobile Banking Apps - Enhanced security features, such as advanced biometric authentication (63%), are driving the growth of mobile banking apps [39] Growth Trajectory - The industry's growth trajectory is closely tied to advancements in technology, consumer demand for convenience, and the development of secure, adaptable payment solutions [40] Blockchain's Expanding Influence - Blockchain technology enhances security, reduces costs, and expands financial inclusion, while also introducing new compliance and privacy challenges [61][64] - Major institutions are investing in blockchain to streamline payments and enhance transparency [64] Internet of Things (IoT) and Payments - IoT payments are expected to drive significant transaction volumes, with the market estimated to total $711 billion in 2024 [87] - The rise of IoT payments is set to redefine traditional checkout experiences by enabling seamless and invisible payments [88]