Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has been on a downward trend for the past year, with a year-to-date loss of 17.80% as of March 10, trading at $99.29 [1][3]. Financial Performance - AMD's latest product line performed well against Nvidia's, with earnings per share (EPS) and revenues exceeding consensus estimates during the earnings call on February 4 [3]. - However, data center revenue did not meet Wall Street expectations, leading analysts to lower their price targets for AMD shares [3]. Technical Analysis - The stock is currently viewed as a value play, with indications of being oversold, suggesting a potential correction to the upside [4]. - AMD stock has been in a channel up pattern for the last five years, with an all-time high of $202 reached on March 1, 2024 [5]. - Currently, the stock is in a bearish leg of this channel, close to the 0.618 Fibonacci extension level, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 32.25, indicating oversold conditions [6]. Price Projections - If AMD stock mirrors previous performance, it could reach a low near $78 at the 0.786 Fibonacci level before entering a bullish leg, potentially resulting in a price surge to $320 over the next year and a half [7][8]. - An earlier analysis suggested a near-term surge to $148, but the validity of that pattern is now questionable due to the breach of the lower trendline [10].
Time to buy AMD stock as it enters oversold territory?