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机构:关税对中国新能源企业影响有限,大调整或是布局机会。央企现代能源ETF(561790)近1月新增规模居可比基金首位

Group 1: Market Performance - The China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index (932037) has decreased by 7.27% as of April 7, 2025 [1] - The leading stocks in the index include Changsheng Technology (300073) down by 15.81%, China Aluminum (601600) down by 10.04%, and others experiencing similar declines [1] - The Central Enterprise Modern Energy ETF (561790) has fallen by 6.57%, with a latest price of 1 yuan and a trading volume of 2.6229 million yuan, resulting in a turnover rate of 5.3% [1] Group 2: U.S. Tariff Impact - On April 2, 2025, U.S. President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% "minimum benchmark tariff" on trade partners, with China facing a 34% tariff [4] - Pacific Securities believes that the impact of these tariffs on Chinese lithium battery and photovoltaic companies is limited, presenting a potential opportunity for adjustment [4] - The current tariff changes are similar to those during the 2018-2019 U.S.-China trade war, occurring at a low point in the lithium and photovoltaic industry cycle [4] Group 3: ETF Valuation and Performance - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the Central Enterprise Modern Energy ETF is 12 times, which is below 85.49% of the time over the past year, indicating a historical low valuation [5] - The ETF has seen a significant growth in scale, increasing by 1.8786 million yuan over the past month, ranking in the top third among comparable funds [5] - Since its inception, the ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 10.03% and a longest consecutive monthly gain of 7 months, with an average monthly return of 3.25% [5] Group 4: Index Composition - The China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index consists of 50 listed companies involved in modern energy sectors, reflecting the overall performance of state-owned enterprises in this field [6] - As of March 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 50.55% of the total, including Changjiang Electric Power (600900) and China Nuclear Power (601985) [6]