Goldman Sachs(US:GS) Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-04-09 23:45Group 1 - Goldman Sachs initially predicted a 65% chance of a U.S. recession within the next 12 months but retracted this forecast shortly after [1] - Goldman Sachs has frequently revised its recession expectations, raising the probability from 20% to 35% just a week prior, and then to 45% [2] - Notable economist Nouriel Roubini believes the U.S. will avoid recession, suggesting that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates for the remainder of the year after tariff-related disputes ease [2] Group 2 - Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers warns that the economy is still in danger, criticizing the current administration's strategies and highlighting potential losses for middle-class families due to tariffs [2] - Market reactions have been volatile, with significant stock market gains following Trump's comments on tariffs, including a more than 9% rise in the Nasdaq and over 10% increases in stocks like Apple and Nvidia [1] - The Federal Reserve is under pressure to respond to economic impacts from new tariffs, with traders speculating on multiple rate cuts in the near future [2]