美联储官员警告：美关税政策致通胀风险“显著上升”

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. economy faces significant risks of inflation and recession due to President Trump's tariff policies, as highlighted by both Federal Reserve officials and JPMorgan [1][3][6]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Insights - A senior official from the Federal Reserve indicated that Trump's tariff policies are increasing the risk of inflation and economic recession in the U.S. [1] - The Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President, Esther George, noted that tariffs disrupt global markets and consumer confidence, leading to heightened inflation risks and downward pressure on employment and economic growth [1]. - The minutes from the Federal Reserve's recent meeting revealed concerns among participants about the potential impact of tariffs exceeding industry expectations, with nearly all attendees acknowledging upward inflation risks and downward pressures on employment and economic growth [3]. Group 2: JPMorgan's Economic Outlook - JPMorgan has warned that the likelihood of a U.S. recession could be as high as 60%, attributing this to ongoing policy confusion in trade and domestic fiscal matters, which negatively impacts stock markets and consumer confidence [6]. - JPMorgan's CEO, Jamie Dimon, stated that Trump's tariff policies are disrupting financial markets, potentially leading the U.S. economy into recession [6].