GREE(SZ:000651) Ge Long Hui·2025-04-27 10:52Core Viewpoint - Gree Electric's stock has seen an increase of over 4% since April 8, 2023, attributed to the impact of tariffs and strong domestic demand [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, Gree Electric reported a revenue of 416.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.78%, and a net profit of 59.04 billion yuan, up 26.29% [4] - For the full year 2023, Gree Electric's revenue was 1900.38 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.31%, while the net profit was 321.85 billion yuan, an increase of 10.91% [4] - The revenue for Q4 2023 was 426.22 billion yuan, down 13.38% year-on-year, with a net profit of 102.24 billion yuan, up 14.55% [4] Business Segments - The consumer electronics segment is projected to generate 1485.6 billion yuan in revenue for 2024, a decline of 4.29% [5] - The industrial products and green energy segment is expected to see a slight increase in revenue to 172.46 billion yuan, up 0.8% [5] - The smart equipment segment is forecasted to decline significantly, with revenue of 4.24 billion yuan, down 36.68% [5] - Domestic revenue from main business operations fell by 5.45%, while overseas revenue grew by 13.25% [6] Dividend Policy - Gree Electric plans to distribute a cash dividend of 20 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 111.7 billion yuan, which represents 52.06% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [10] - The total cash dividend for 2024 is projected to be 167.55 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase from previous years [11] Market Outlook - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to drive growth in home appliance sales, with sales exceeding 720 billion yuan this year [12] - Analysts have raised profit expectations for 2025-2026, anticipating net profits of 339 billion yuan and 366 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 10% and 8% [12] - Gree Electric is viewed as a strong defensive stock, with ongoing operational changes expected to enhance performance [12]