TBEA(600089) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-06 14:45Core Insights - The performance of TBEA has come under scrutiny due to a significant decline in revenue and profit, raising questions about the strategic leadership of Chairman Zhang Xin [2][10] Financial Performance - TBEA's revenue growth was positive from 2019 to 2022, but it has stagnated in 2023 and 2024, with a projected revenue decline of 0.35% in 2024 [2] - Net profit peaked in 2022 but has since dropped by 32.62% in 2023 and is expected to plummet by 61.37% in 2024, with a further decline of 19.74% anticipated in Q1 2025 [2] Business Segment Challenges - The new energy sector, once a growth driver, has become a major area of concern, particularly for TBEA's subsidiary, New Special Energy, which has faced significant losses due to falling polysilicon prices [6] - The coal business, while showing revenue growth in 2024, has experienced a 26.19% decrease in gross profit, marking the first profit decline since coal became a main business in 2014 [7] Strategic Leadership and Management - Zhang Xin's past successes contrast sharply with the current challenges, leading to doubts about his strategic direction and ability to adapt to market changes [2][10] - The company has faced management issues in the past, particularly during a failed hedging strategy in 2004, which highlighted weaknesses in risk management and operational oversight [8][9] Market Confidence and Stock Performance - TBEA's stock price has halved since 2022, reflecting a loss of market confidence, with a significant reduction in institutional investor holdings by the end of 2024 compared to the peak in 2022 [9][10] Future Outlook - The company must address its strategic misalignment and adapt to the rapidly changing energy sector to regain its competitive edge and restore investor confidence [10]