Core Viewpoint - The new tea beverage company, Hu Shang A Yi, successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant entry into the capital market for the new tea beverage sector, which is experiencing intense competition and expansion [1][8]. Company Overview - Hu Shang A Yi opened its first store in 2013 and has grown to 9,176 stores by December 31, 2024, covering all four direct-controlled municipalities and over 300 cities across 22 provinces [3]. - The company reported revenues of 2.199 billion yuan, 3.348 billion yuan, and 3.285 billion yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with adjusted net profits of 154 million yuan, 416 million yuan, and 418 million yuan during the same period [3]. - The Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) increased from 6.068 billion yuan in 2022 to 9.732 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60.4%, and further rising to 10.736 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 10.3% [3]. Market Positioning - Over 50% of Hu Shang A Yi's stores are located in third-tier cities and below, indicating a strategic focus on the lower-tier market for growth [3][4]. - The company has launched a "light enjoyment" version of its products to cater to the demand in these markets, with the latest upgrade to version 2.0 in March 2024 [4]. Revenue Model - The franchise model is central to Hu Shang A Yi's business, with 99.7% of its stores operated by franchisees. The revenue from franchise-related activities has increased from 94.3% in 2022 to 96.5% in 2024 [5]. - The company’s self-operated store revenue has decreased significantly, from 5.7% in 2022 to 1.5% in 2024, highlighting the reliance on franchise operations [5]. Challenges and Opportunities - The average GMV per franchise store is projected to decline from 1.6 million yuan in 2023 to 1.4 million yuan in 2024 due to industry growth slowdown and increased competition [6]. - Despite the challenges, Hu Shang A Yi's revenue from ingredient sales increased by 1.3% to 2.548 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the expansion of its franchise network [6]. Competitive Landscape - The new tea beverage market is witnessing rapid growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% to 18% for lower-tier cities from 2024 to 2028, indicating significant potential for brands like Hu Shang A Yi [4][9]. - The recent IPOs of other tea brands have generated investor confidence, with Hu Shang A Yi's subscription rate reaching 3,447.33 times, indicating strong market interest [8]. Strategic Recommendations - To maintain investor confidence, Hu Shang A Yi needs to enhance store efficiency, optimize cost structures, and continue product innovation while balancing market share expansion with profitability [9]. - The company should consider international expansion while adapting to local cultural differences and consumer habits to ensure successful market penetration [9].
市值超200亿、下沉市场撑起半壁江山 沪上阿姨跻身今年第四家新茶饮IPO