高盛：中国互联网巨头Q1业绩前瞻，市场关注哪些重点因素

Core Insights - JD Group reported Q1 2025 revenue of RMB 301.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, with net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders at RMB 10.89 billion, up 52.73% [1] - Goldman Sachs anticipates continued revenue growth momentum for JD Retail in Q1, with a projected net profit of RMB 10.5 billion [1] - The overall earnings outlook for major stocks remains positive, driven by strong consumer spending trends and growth in AI cloud services [2] Company-Specific Insights Tencent - Tencent's Q1 revenue is expected to show a 15% increase in gaming revenue and an 18% rise in advertising revenue, with adjusted EBITDA projected at RMB 67.8 billion, a 16% year-on-year growth [4] - The company is focusing on AI-driven advertising technology upgrades and the sustainability of gaming revenue growth [5][6] Alibaba - Alibaba's Q1 forecast includes single-digit growth in GMV and a 9% increase in customer management revenue, with adjusted EBITDA expected at RMB 39 billion, a 1% year-on-year increase [7] - Key areas of focus include AI cloud revenue growth and the impact of geopolitical changes on international business [8] Pinduoduo - Pinduoduo's Q1 online marketing revenue is projected at RMB 48.9 billion, a 15% increase, while transaction commission revenue is expected to reach RMB 59.6 billion, up 34% [9] - The company faces challenges due to changes in its business model and competition from new entrants [10] Meituan - Meituan's Q1 core local commerce profit is expected to grow by 26% year-on-year, with a 13% increase in food delivery order volume [11] - The company is under scrutiny regarding its ability to maintain profit targets amid increased competition [12] JD Group - JD's Q1 retail EBITDA is projected at RMB 11.9 billion, a 28% year-on-year increase, with a profit margin of 4.7% [13] - Key considerations include the impact of its new food delivery business on overall profitability and the sustainability of revenue growth in the second half of 2025 [14]