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零跑汽车(9863.HK):Q1业绩超预期 毛利率再创新高
09863LEAPMOTOR(09863) Ge Long Hui·2025-05-22 01:51

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong Q1 performance with revenue of 10.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 187.1%, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 25.6%, and a net loss of 130 million yuan, which exceeded expectations of a loss between 500 million to 1 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Q1 Performance Highlights - Q1 revenue reached 10.02 billion yuan, driven by a significant year-on-year increase of 187.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 25.6% [1] - The company delivered 87,552 vehicles in Q1, representing a year-on-year increase of 162.1%, which strongly contributed to revenue growth [1] - The gross margin for Q1 was 14.9%, marking a historical high, with improvements attributed to scale effects from increased sales, ongoing cost management, and an optimized product mix [1] Group 2: Future Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - The company is entering a strong new vehicle cycle in 2025, with three models from the B platform set to launch and updates for D and C platform models expected [2] - The company has expanded its distribution network, with 756 stores covering 279 cities as of Q1 2025, and plans to add 80 more cities by the end of the year [2] - International expansion is accelerating, with 7,546 units exported in Q1 and over 500 overseas outlets established, alongside plans for local assembly in Malaysia and localized manufacturing in Europe by 2026 [2] Group 3: Financial Projections and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 68.7 billion yuan, 91.4 billion yuan, and 116.7 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 350 million yuan, 2.04 billion yuan, and 4.31 billion yuan [2] - The company is assigned a target price of 81.15 HKD for 2025, reflecting a 10% premium due to the anticipated strong new vehicle cycle, rapid localization, and strategic partnerships [2]