76亿元并购“流产”！现金流告急的新诺威创新药梦能否实现

Core Viewpoint - The termination of the merger between New Nuo Wei and Shiyao Baike Bio marks a significant setback for New Nuo Wei's innovative drug strategy, leading to a financial crisis due to high R&D costs and declining cash flow [2][10]. Financial Performance - New Nuo Wei's net profit for 2024 was 53.73 million yuan, a decrease of 87.63% year-on-year, and in Q1 2025, the net profit loss was 26.90 million yuan, a decline of 134.03% [10]. - The company's operating cash flow for 2024 was -1.235 billion yuan, marking its first instance of cash flow loss, with Q1 2025 still showing a negative cash flow of -86.80 million yuan [10][11]. - The total revenue for New Nuo Wei in Q1 2025 was 472 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.94%, while the total revenue for 2024 was 1.981 billion yuan, down 21.98% [15]. Product Performance - The core product "Jin You Li" (long-acting G-CSF drug) saw a dramatic revenue decline, with projected 2024 revenue of 922 million yuan, down from 2.316 billion yuan in 2023 [3][4]. - The average selling price of "Jin You Li" dropped from 1,349.22 yuan per unit in 2022 to 1,053.12 yuan per unit by mid-2024 [4][5]. - Sales volume for "Jin You Li" in the first half of 2024 was 87.39 million units, compared to 203.52 million units in 2023 [5]. Market Competition - The market for long-acting G-CSF drugs has intensified, with New Nuo Wei's "Jin You Li" facing competition from multiple new entrants, increasing the competitive landscape from six to nine major players [4][6]. - The reliance on a single product for revenue generation poses a significant risk, as "Jin You Li" accounted for over 97% of Shiyao Baike's income [3][6]. Strategic Implications - The failed merger was intended to provide stable income and cash flow to support New Nuo Wei's R&D investments in its subsidiary, Jushi Bio, which is currently under financial strain [10]. - The ongoing high R&D expenditures have significantly impacted New Nuo Wei's profitability, with a gross margin of 41.97% in 2024, down 3.36 percentage points year-on-year [15].