滔搏(06110.HK)：业绩符合预期 派发特别股息提升股东回报

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its FY25 financial results, showing a revenue decline of 6.6% to 27.01 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 42% to 1.29 billion yuan, which aligns with expectations [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The decline in revenue and profit was primarily due to weak offline customer traffic and ongoing inventory destocking, despite positive growth from online channels [1] - The main brand revenue decreased by 6.1% to 23.31 billion yuan, while non-main brand revenue fell by 9.9% to 3.50 billion yuan [1] Dividend Distribution - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 0.02 yuan per share and a special dividend of 0.12 yuan per share, totaling 0.28 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 135.0% [1] Brand Performance - Professional sports brands showed stronger resilience, while casual sports brands were significantly impacted by consumer fatigue [1] - Recent partnerships with high-end running brand Soar and outdoor brand further enhance the company's market presence [1] Channel Performance - Direct sales revenue decreased by 6.8% to 23.03 billion yuan, with a significant drop in offline store traffic and a reduction in the number of stores by 18.3% to 5,020 [2] - Online business maintained double-digit growth, accounting for 30-40% of overall direct sales [2] Inventory and Cash Management - Inventory improved, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% and a cash flow from operating activities increasing by 20% to 3.76 billion yuan [2] - The company demonstrated strong cash management capabilities, with cash at the end of the period growing by 32.3% to 2.59 billion yuan [2] Profitability and Cost Control - Gross margin decreased by 3.4 percentage points to 38.4%, influenced by deeper discounts and changes in the sales mix [3] - Total expenses fell by 5.6%, with a slight increase in expense ratio despite a revenue decline [3] Strategic Partnerships and Market Outlook - The company has deepened cooperation with major brands like NIKE and Adidas, enhancing retail operations and channel optimization [4] - Profit forecasts for FY26-28 have been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 1.29 billion, 1.42 billion, and 1.55 billion yuan respectively [4]