Investment guru predicts ‘degrade' in Tesla stock growth; Here's why

Core Viewpoint - Concerns have been raised regarding Tesla's growth potential and valuation sustainability, leading to a significant exit from the company's stock by The Future Fund [1][2]. Valuation Concerns - Tesla currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 180x based on projected 2025 earnings, which is deemed unprecedented for a $1 trillion company [4]. - Future P/E ratios for 2026 and 2029 are estimated at 120x and 45x, respectively, indicating a perceived valuation imbalance [4]. - The projected slowdown in earnings has led Wall Street to reduce Tesla's earnings estimates for 2026 and 2028 by 25% to 40% [5]. Growth Prospects - The integration of emerging technologies like Robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid robot may contribute to a slowdown in Tesla's growth rate [2][3]. - Analysts predict that as forecasts extend to 2029 and beyond, Tesla's forward growth rate will decline [3]. Investment Strategy - The Future Fund's exit from Tesla stock is based on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term market sentiment, emphasizing a disciplined investment strategy focused on intrinsic value [2][6]. - True valuation should consider the present value of all future cash flows, rather than just short-term results [6]. Market Performance - Tesla's stock has recently lost momentum, closing down over 3% at$ 346.46, with a year-to-date decline of nearly 9% [7]. - Broader challenges include declining sales and backlash related to CEO Elon Musk's political views, although Musk's recent exit from a government advisory role may be seen as a potential catalyst for renewed growth [9].