中广核矿业(01164.HK)：新签三年长协业绩增长可期 铀价有望打开上升通道

Group 1 - The company signed a sales framework agreement with China General Nuclear Power Group, establishing a pricing mechanism for uranium procurement from 2026 to 2028, consisting of 30% fixed price and 70% spot price [1] - The fixed price for 2026 is set at $94.22 per lb U3O8, increasing annually by a factor of 1.041, resulting in prices of$94.22, $98.08, and$102.10 per lb U3O8 for 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively [1] - The expected sales volume for uranium is projected to be 1438 tons in 2026, 1617 tons in 2027, and 1598 tons in 2028 based on the company's current capacity and business plans [1] Group 2 - The new three-year uranium trade long-term contract features a significant increase in fixed prices compared to the previous cycle, with fixed prices for 2026, 2027, and 2028 rising approximately 42%, 48%, and 55% respectively compared to 2025 [2] - The proportion of spot price in the new contract has increased from 60% to 70%, enhancing the company's earnings elasticity [2] - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 630 million, HKD 950 million, and HKD 1.1 billion, respectively, up from previous estimates of HKD 635 million, HKD 785 million, and HKD 836 million [2]