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阿里影业(01060.HK):现场演出+IP衍生高景气 打造现实娱乐平台

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba Pictures is rebranding to "Damai Entertainment Holdings" and shifting its focus from traditional film to diversified entertainment experiences, emphasizing live performances and IP derivatives [1] Group 1: Business Strategy and Performance - Alibaba's entertainment segment will be restructured under the new name "Damai Entertainment Holdings," with a strategic focus on "real entertainment" [1] - In FY2025, 72% of the company's revenue will come from live entertainment ticketing and content production, while 22% will come from IP derivative products [1] - Damai's ticketing revenue is projected to reach 57.95 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.37% [1] - The share of large-scale commercial performances in ticketing revenue has increased to 51%, with audience attendance growing by 31% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Competitive Advantages - Damai holds over 50% market share in ticketing and over 70% in concert categories, with FY25 revenue expected to reach 2.057 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39% [1] - Competitive advantages include technological expertise, event management capabilities, a large user base, and strong partnerships for exclusive content [1] - Continued growth in ticketing is driven by strong demand for large concerts, expansion into tourism and sports events, and international ticketing opportunities [1] Group 3: IP Derivatives and AI Integration - The company leverages Alibaba's entertainment and e-commerce ecosystem to enhance IP commercialization, with a focus on full-chain operational capabilities [2] - Collaborations with brands like Sanrio have led to significant revenue growth, with Alibaba Pictures' IP derivative income increasing by 73% year-on-year [2] - The company is investing in AI applications to improve efficiency in film production and marketing, supported by its technological advantages and data assets [2] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY26-28 are 7.566 billion, 8.684 billion, and 9.739 billion yuan, with net profits of 915 million, 1.118 billion, and 1.288 billion yuan respectively [3] - The target valuation based on the sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) method is 31.9 billion yuan, with a target price of 1.17 HKD per share [3]