Airbus(US:EADSY) Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-06-12 07:16Group 1 - Airbus predicts that the global commercial aircraft fleet will double to nearly 50,000 aircraft over the next 20 years, increasing from 24,480 to 49,210 by 2044 [1] - The primary growth driver is expected to be single-aisle aircraft, such as the Airbus A320 series and Boeing 737, which are the backbone of airline fleets [1] - Global passenger traffic is projected to grow steadily at an average annual rate of 3.6%, with the Middle East identified as another key growth driver [2] Group 2 - India is expected to lead as the fastest-growing market for aviation over the next 20 years, with China anticipated to become the largest aviation market in terms of capacity [3] - India is currently the third-largest domestic aviation market, driven by a population exceeding 1.4 billion and a rapidly expanding middle class [3] - Air India has ordered 570 aircraft since 2023, while low-cost carrier IndiGo has placed orders for over 900 aircraft, including a recent expansion of 60 A350 wide-body aircraft [3] Group 3 - Despite global trade tensions, Airbus has raised its 20-year demand forecast for jetliners [4] - Airbus Commercial Aircraft CEO Christian Scherer stated that there has been no fundamental shift in customer demand, except for the U.S. domestic market [5] - Trade tensions, particularly due to tariffs, pose challenges for the aviation industry, potentially disrupting the cross-border flow of aircraft and parts, impacting production and delivery schedules [6] Group 4 - Supply chain issues remain a significant challenge for Airbus, with some key component shortages still affecting delivery timelines [6] - For instance, the shortage of engines from CFM International has impacted A320neo deliveries, while the flagship A350 has faced delays due to a shortage of toilet components [6]