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下一波AI催化剂来了?大摩详解英伟达GTC三大亮点:欧洲投资追赶、量子商业化、工业AI全面提速

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley supports Nvidia, highlighting three growth drivers that will provide additional momentum, maintaining an overweight rating and a target price of $170, indicating approximately 20% growth potential, and listing it as a preferred stock in the semiconductor sector [1] Group 1: Growth Drivers - Nvidia is expected to benefit from accelerated AI data center investments in Europe, opportunities in quantum computing, and industrial/physical AI applications [1][3] - The company reported that its top four cloud customers plan to deploy 1.3 million Hopper chips in 2024 and 3.6 million Blackwell chips in 2025, indicating a significant increase in demand [1][2] - Morgan Stanley noted that the power capacity of 5GW corresponds to a demand for about 2 million Blackwell chips, slightly exceeding the orders from the four major U.S. cloud service providers [1] Group 2: European AI Investment - The EU launched a €200 billion AI investment plan earlier this year, which includes €20 billion for the construction of five AI super factories, each equipped with over 100,000 GPUs [3] - Nvidia's plans require "over 3000 exaflops of Nvidia Blackwell computing power," with GPU installations expected to triple from 2024 to 2026 [3] - Revenue from the European market is projected to increase eightfold or more from 2024 to 2026, with a growth rate exceeding 150% in 2026 [3] Group 3: Quantum Computing - CEO Jensen Huang indicated that quantum computing is reaching a critical turning point, with the potential to solve significant global issues in the coming years [4] - Morgan Stanley expressed optimism about the commercial application timeline for GPU/QPU hybrid systems, despite a cautious outlook on the timeline beyond the NISQ era [4] Group 4: Industrial AI and Physical AI - The focus is shifting towards physical AI and industrial applications, with significant investments being made despite the long development timeline for humanoid robots [5][7] - The use of Omniverse for creating digital twins for manufacturing and warehousing planning is highlighted as a key area of investment [7] - Collaborations with various partners aim to establish the first industrial AI cloud in Europe, equipped with 10,000 Blackwell GPUs [6]