Economic Data Release - The National Bureau of Statistics will release May economic data on June 16, including industrial added value, fixed asset investment, and retail sales [2] - The manufacturing PMI rose to 49.5%, indicating a recovery in the production sector, while traditional industries face cost pressures and insufficient demand [2] - Industrial added value is expected to grow by approximately 5.6% year-on-year, retail sales growth is projected at around 4.7%, and fixed asset investment growth is estimated at about 4% [2] Market Index Adjustments - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange will implement regular sample adjustments for indices such as the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index on June 16 [3] - New stocks added to the Shenzhen Component Index include Zhongtung High-tech and Gansu Energy, while stocks like Nanbo A and Tianmao Group will be removed [3] - The ChiNext Index will see additions like BlueFocus Communication and Changying Precision, with removals including Anke Bio and Steel Research High-tech [3] Oil Price Adjustment - The next round of fuel price adjustments will occur on June 17, with a projected increase of 155 CNY per ton based on current oil prices [4] - International oil prices have surged due to geopolitical tensions, with U.S. crude futures rising over 10% and Brent crude futures increasing over 9% [4] - Short-term oil prices may be supported by geopolitical risks, while OPEC+ production plans and global supply-demand dynamics could exert downward pressure in the medium to long term [4] Upcoming Financial Forum - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum will be held in Shanghai from June 18 to 19, focusing on financial openness and high-quality development amid global economic changes [5] - Key leaders from various financial regulatory bodies will deliver speeches, and significant financial policies will be announced during the forum [5] - The 2025 China International Financial Expo will also take place concurrently, emphasizing innovation and technology in finance [5] Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on June 19, with recent inflation data showing a 2.4% year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index for May [6] - Core CPI rose by 2.8% year-on-year, indicating stable labor market conditions, which may lead the Fed to adopt a cautious approach rather than rushing to cut rates [6] - The Fed's outlook on growth may be more optimistic compared to previous assessments, potentially leading to a hawkish stance from Chairman Powell [6] New Stock Issuance - A new stock, Xintong Electronics, will be issued on June 20, focusing on industrial IoT solutions for power and communication sectors [7] - The funds raised will be allocated to projects including the development of a transmission line inspection platform and the establishment of maintenance bases [7]
【下周看点】经济数据将公布 2025陆家嘴论坛举办在即