泡沫化，泡泡玛特最致命的威胁｜消费快评

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Pop Mart has shown significant volatility, reflecting the sensitivity of its business model, which relies heavily on consumer emotions and trends [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On June 19, Pop Mart's stock price dropped by 5.33%, and on June 20, it opened significantly lower with a decline of 6.19%, eventually narrowing to a 5.55% drop [1]. - The short-selling volume of Pop Mart shares surged from 1.438 million shares in early April to 3.692 million shares by June 17, marking a 157% increase and reaching a new high since March [3]. Group 2: Business Model and Market Dynamics - Pop Mart's business model is characterized as an "emotional business," which is subject to the fickleness of consumer preferences. The popularity of the Labubu series has led to market saturation and aesthetic fatigue among consumers [2]. - The presence of scalpers and counterfeit products in the secondary market has intensified the "bad money drives out good" phenomenon, undermining consumer trust and Pop Mart's pricing power [2]. Group 3: Comparison with Disney - Pop Mart aims to emulate Disney's success but faces challenges due to the shorter lifecycle of its IPs compared to Disney's classic characters, which have enduring appeal across generations [3][4]. - Disney maintains strict control over its IP image and has established a comprehensive anti-counterfeiting system, highlighting the need for Pop Mart to strengthen its brand protection [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Pop Mart is recognized as a pioneer in China's trendy toy market and is striving to enhance its content infrastructure, including plans to launch an animated series titled "LABUBU and Friends" [4]. - The company must be cautious about the rapid commercialization of its IPs and the influence of scalpers, as these factors could deplete consumer enthusiasm and trust, posing a significant threat to its business model [5].