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“各种打脸”的上半年,“全天候”崛起!

Core Insights - The article highlights a significant shift in investment strategies on Wall Street, favoring diversified asset risk management over concentrated bets on large tech stocks, resulting in strong performance for multi-asset strategies [1][3]. Group 1: Multi-Asset Strategy Performance - Societe Generale's multi-asset portfolio is experiencing its strongest first half since 2008, showcasing resilience even in the face of market uncertainties [2]. - The classic 60/40 stock-bond allocation strategy has shown relative elasticity during the pandemic era, while risk parity strategies have increased by approximately 6% [2]. - Investments in gold have been particularly successful, with portfolios focused on gold seeing gains exceeding 10% this year [2]. Group 2: Challenges for Traditional Concentrated Strategies - Traditional concentrated investment strategies have struggled amid tariffs, fiscal policies, inflation concerns, and geopolitical conflicts, with the S&P 500 index only rising 1.5% since January [3]. - Broader government bond indices have yielded only a 3% return this year, contrasting with the strong performance of diversified portfolios driven by previously overlooked assets [3]. - Developed market stocks outside the U.S. and Canada have risen 14% this year, while the Bloomberg Commodity Index has surged 8%, and gold has increased nearly 30% [3]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Behavior - Investors are increasingly embracing asset diversification, with a notable shift in attitudes towards holding assets outside the U.S. [4]. - Recent data indicates that U.S. investors are beginning to accept diversification, as evidenced by significant inflows into ETFs covering a broader range of asset classes, including gold, Bitcoin, and foreign stocks [5]. - In June, stock ETFs attracted approximately $56 billion, surpassing the total inflows of the previous two months, indicating a strong interest in traditional asset classes despite the diversification trend [5].