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美團股價波動加劇 如何用牛熊證捕捉機會?
MEITUANMEITUAN(HK:03690) Ge Long Hui·2025-06-24 11:05

Core Viewpoint - Meituan's stock price is currently at HKD 132, showing a rebound of 2.64%, but is struggling near the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands, with significant resistance at the 10-day and 30-day moving averages [1][3] Technical Analysis - The first support level at HKD 122.5 is crucial; if breached, the stock may drop to the strong support zone at HKD 113.3 [3] - The upper resistance level is at HKD 136.6, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of HKD 142.7 [3] - The RSI indicator shows an oversold state at 38, while the VR ratio indicates a buy signal, suggesting a potential technical rebound with a 56% probability [3] - The MACD maintains a sell signal, but momentum oscillators show signs of divergence, indicating possible buying opportunities [1][3] Derivative Products Performance - Citigroup's put option (16254) achieved an 18% increase within two trading days following a 3.53% drop in Meituan's stock price [3][5] - Other put options, such as Morgan Stanley's (64017) and UBS's (63423), recorded gains of 18% and 19%, respectively, with UBS's product being the best-performing short tool of the day [3][5] - HSBC's call option (26318) has a strike price of HKD 150.1 with a leverage of 7.6 times, offering a cost-effective choice for bullish investors [6] - UBS's call option (26512) has a lower leverage of 7.3 times but provides a stable investment option due to its relatively low implied volatility [6] Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment indicates a potential test of the support at HKD 122.5 or a direct challenge to the resistance at HKD 136.6 [12] - The analysis suggests that the breakout of either key price level could significantly alter trading strategies [12]