Trendlines(US:TRNLY) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-25 00:33Core Viewpoint - The international gold market is experiencing fluctuations due to reduced safe-haven demand and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, with a focus on the support levels of gold prices [1][3][5]. Market Performance - On June 24, gold opened at $3368.29, reached a high of $3369.46, and then fell to a low of $3295.29 before closing at $3322.84, marking a daily decline of $45.45 or 1.34% [1]. - The price movement indicates increased bearish pressure, with gold prices dropping below the 30-day moving average but rebounding upon reaching the 60-day moving average support [1][3]. Influencing Factors - The announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Palestine by Trump has diminished safe-haven buying, while Powell's comments about resisting interest rate cuts have further pressured gold prices [3][5]. - Despite the hawkish stance from Powell, there remains a potential for two interest rate cuts within the year, which could support gold prices in the long term [5][6]. Technical Analysis - The gold price is currently testing key support levels, including the 60-day and 100-day moving averages, with expectations of a rebound if these levels hold [1][8]. - The monthly chart indicates that gold has been relying on the 5-month moving average for support since the beginning of its bull market last year [7]. - If gold prices break below the 5-month moving average, it may lead to a wider range of fluctuations, with potential declines towards $2500 if the upward trend line is breached [6][8]. Future Outlook - The market anticipates that gold could potentially reach above $4000 within the next year, contingent on geopolitical developments and economic conditions [5][6]. - However, if the tariff agreement between the U.S. and China is extended, gold may face prolonged high volatility or a peak in its bull market [5].