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Robotaxi在德州登场,特斯拉能止住下滑吗?

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's launch of Robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, marks a significant step in the commercialization of autonomous driving, but the company faces declining global sales and intense competition in the electric vehicle market [1][5][9] Group 1: Robotaxi Launch and Features - The Robotaxi service officially started on June 22, 2025, with approximately 10 modified Model Y vehicles operating without a steering wheel [1] - The initial service area is limited to a specific geographic zone in South Austin, avoiding complex intersections, and operates within a 50 square kilometer area [3] - The vehicles utilize a pure vision technology approach, equipped with 4D millimeter-wave radar and 12 high-definition cameras, powered by Tesla's Dojo supercomputer [3] Group 2: Market Challenges - Tesla's global delivery volume fell to 336,700 units in Q1 2025, a 13% year-over-year decline, marking the worst performance since Q2 2022 [5] - The demand for Tesla's main models, Model 3 and Model Y, has weakened, with European sales plummeting by 53.7% and continuous declines in the Chinese market [5] - Increased competition from traditional automakers and Chinese EV brands, along with slow product updates, have contributed to Tesla's market struggles [5] Group 3: Regulatory and Technical Challenges - The commercialization of Robotaxi faces regulatory hurdles, including investigations by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) regarding the system's performance in low visibility conditions [7] - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system requires human intervention in real-world testing, with a significantly lower mileage per intervention compared to competitors like Waymo [7][8] - New regulations in Texas require operators to obtain state licenses and provide detailed safety data, adding pressure on Tesla to comply [7] Group 4: Future Outlook - While Robotaxi could enhance Tesla's brand influence and potentially increase FSD subscription rates, its commercial success is uncertain due to technical reliability and market competition [8][9] - The long-term potential of Robotaxi hinges on overcoming technological challenges, establishing a robust regulatory framework, and developing a sustainable business model [8][9] - The success of Robotaxi could significantly impact Tesla's future growth and the broader autonomous driving industry landscape [9]