Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in Moutai's prices signifies the end of an era where power empowered brands, as the company shifts focus towards a more diversified and consumer-oriented approach [2][9][10] Group 1: Price Decline - Moutai's "Flying Moutai" has dropped below 1800 yuan, with bulk sales reported at 1780 yuan, marking a significant decrease from previous highs of 3000 yuan [2] - Small distributors are panicking and selling off stock at a loss, with one distributor selling at 1840 yuan to mitigate losses, while others believe the price will stabilize above 2000 yuan [4] Group 2: Regulatory Impact - The recent implementation of a stringent alcohol ban, described as the "strictest alcohol ban in history," has severely impacted Moutai's sales, expanding restrictions from lunch to all working hours and all alcoholic beverages [5][8] - Local governments are enforcing these bans rigorously, with penalties for violations, further straining Moutai's market position [8] Group 3: Revenue Sources - Previously, 60% of Moutai's revenue came from government group purchases, but this has drastically reduced to 5%, leading to a significant revenue loss [9] - Moutai is now attempting to pivot towards "business wine" and "common people's wine" to recover from this loss, indicating a strategic shift in its market approach [9] Group 4: Brand Perception - Moutai's association with power and wealth has inflated its prices and stock value, distancing it from everyday consumers, leading to the saying that "those who buy Moutai do not drink it, and those who drink it do not buy it" [9][10] - The chairman has called for a return to the essence of Moutai, emphasizing the need for the brand to reconnect with ordinary consumers rather than being a luxury item for the elite [10] Group 5: Future Outlook - The ongoing price decline may ultimately benefit Moutai by removing its association with power and wealth, allowing it to return to its roots as a consumer-friendly product [12] - The success of Moutai in the future will be measured by its presence in everyday celebrations rather than its status as a luxury item, potentially marking a significant shift in the high-end consumer goods market in China [12]
1800元不是底?茅台价格突然崩盘