Tesla(US:TSLA) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-06-26 13:09Group 1 - Tesla's expected Q2 delivery volume has decreased to 393,000 vehicles, down from 443,956 vehicles year-over-year, but up from 336,681 vehicles in Q1 [1] - Baird has lowered its Q2 delivery forecast to 377,000 vehicles, citing weak third-party data since May and ongoing production ramp-up of the new Model Y [1] - Barclays analysts predict Tesla will deliver approximately 375,000 electric vehicles in Q2 2025, while UBS forecasts 366,000 vehicles for the same period [1] Group 2 - UBS reports that investors are focusing on Tesla's Robotaxi, potentially overlooking electric vehicle delivery data, as they believe Tesla's value lies in AI [2] - UBS emphasizes that Tesla's current financial performance heavily relies on its automotive business, which funds its advanced projects [2] - Historical data shows that underperforming delivery reports can lead to a decline in Tesla's stock price, although the previous quarter saw a 5% increase despite a delivery miss [2] Group 3 - Analysts from Seeking Alpha indicate that if Q2 delivery data does not improve significantly, it may suggest a serious ongoing demand issue for Tesla [3] - Oakoff Investments notes that while Q2 delivery volumes are expected to be similar to Q1, recent data from China suggests actual numbers may fall short of expectations [3] - The competitive landscape in the industry is intensifying, particularly in China, with signs of weakness in Tesla's sales in Europe as well [3]