BIOKIN PHARMACEUTICAL(SH:688506) Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-06-30 11:19Core Viewpoint - The company, Baili Tianheng, has faced significant volatility in its financial performance, primarily due to reliance on non-recurring income, raising concerns about the sustainability of its profit model [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Baili Tianheng reported a net profit of 3.7 billion yuan, a dramatic increase from a loss of 780 million yuan in the previous year, attributed to an 800 million USD upfront payment from Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) [2]. - However, in Q1 2025, the company's revenue plummeted by 98.77% to 67 million yuan, with a net loss of 531 million yuan, highlighting the instability of its earnings [4]. Revenue Structure - The company's revenue is primarily derived from chemical and traditional Chinese medicine preparations, with the leading product, Propofol emulsion injection, experiencing a significant decline in revenue due to national procurement policies [5][6]. - Propofol emulsion injection's revenue fell from 212 million yuan in 2023 to 132 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of approximately 38% [6][7]. Market Competition - The company faces increasing competition in the pharmaceutical market, particularly from new drugs like Remimazolam, which offers superior efficacy and lower side effects compared to Propofol [8]. - The traditional Chinese medicine segment has remained relatively stable, but rising raw material costs have pressured profit margins [8]. Research and Development - Baili Tianheng's R&D investment as a percentage of revenue has been low, with figures of 53.32%, 132.81%, and 24.78% from 2022 to 2024, indicating a lack of commitment to innovation compared to industry peers [10][11]. - The average R&D expenditure ratio for comparable companies in 2024 was 53%, suggesting that Baili Tianheng is significantly lagging behind [11]. Challenges Ahead - The company is grappling with multiple challenges, including severe earnings volatility, declining traditional business, and insufficient innovation, raising questions about its future sustainability [12].