滔搏(06110.HK)：创新驱动运动零售新范式

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in total sales for the first quarter of FY25/26, indicating challenges in the retail environment and a need for strategic adjustments [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first quarter of FY25/26 (March 1 to May 31), total sales experienced a mid-single-digit percentage decline year-over-year [1]. - The gross sales area of direct-operated stores decreased by 1.3% compared to the previous quarter and by 12.3% year-over-year [1]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - In 2025, the company announced partnerships with the UK running gear brand Soar and a high-end outdoor brand from Norway, becoming their exclusive operational partners in China [1]. - The introduction of the Norwegian high-end outdoor brand is viewed as a strategic move to strengthen the company's presence in the professional sports sector [1]. Group 3: Retail Strategy - The company aims to break traditional channel expansion models by implementing a new retail concept that emphasizes comprehensive operations and precise targeting [1]. - Offline, the company is redefining retail space by integrating elements from art, culture, and music into stores, creating an immersive shopping experience for consumers [2]. - Online, the company is leveraging a dual-resource strategy that combines physical stores with live streaming, community engagement, and regional IPs, enhancing its presence on major social media platforms [2]. Group 4: Marketing and Brand Engagement - The company is exploring creative marketing strategies, including cross-brand collaborations, to foster emotional connections with younger consumers [2]. - The development of themed stores and diverse creative merchandise aims to integrate sports lifestyle, trendy IP culture, and innovative marketing, achieving deep brand value transmission [2]. Group 5: Earnings Forecast - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting revenues of 26.5 billion RMB, 27.3 billion RMB, and 28.6 billion RMB for FY26-28, with net profits of 1.3 billion RMB, 1.5 billion RMB, and 1.7 billion RMB respectively [2]. - Expected EPS for FY26-28 is 0.21 RMB, 0.24 RMB, and 0.27 RMB, with corresponding PE ratios of 13x, 12x, and 11x [2].