XIAOMI(HK:01810) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-02 16:58Core Insights - The recent meeting with Lei Jun focused on additional information regarding the YU7 model, highlighting key points about order transitions, production plans, and market strategy. Group 1: Order and Production Insights - Approximately 15% of YU7 orders are from the SU7 series, translating to about 36,000 units, which has a minimal impact on overall SU7 orders [1] - The current backlog for SU7 is estimated at around 250,000 units, while total orders for Xiaomi's vehicles exceed 500,000 units, indicating a significant demand [1][2] - The company plans to prioritize domestic deliveries and aims to be ready for international expansion by 2027, as current orders will take until mid-2024 to fulfill [2][40] Group 2: Capacity and Financial Projections - Once the first three phases of production ramp up, Xiaomi's monthly production capacity could exceed 80,000 units, leading to an annual capacity of nearly 1 million units [3] - By 2027, with an average vehicle price of 255,000 yuan and a projected gross margin of 25.7%, the core operating profit for Xiaomi's automotive business is expected to reach 22.1 billion yuan, a 43% increase year-on-year [3] Group 3: Market Positioning and Strategy - Xiaomi will not pursue the production of a low-cost vehicle under the Redmi brand, focusing instead on the mid-to-high-end market segment priced between 200,000 to 350,000 yuan [1][26] - The company has made significant investments in production capacity and quality testing, with over 1 million kilometers of road testing completed for the SU7 model [23] Group 4: Competitive Analysis - The YU7 model has shown strong initial order performance, with 240,000 units locked in within 18 hours of the launch, indicating robust market interest [7][8] - The company aims to compete directly with established players like Tesla, using performance metrics from the Nürburgring as a benchmark for quality and capability [30][31]