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受益贵金属价格增长 株冶集团上半年净利润预增超五成

Core Viewpoint - The performance forecast for the first half of 2025 by Zhuhai Group indicates a significant increase in net profit, driven by rising precious metal prices and improved operational efficiency [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zhuhai Group expects a net profit of 560 million to 650 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50.97% to 75.23% [1]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is projected to grow by 80.97% to 109.55% year-on-year [1]. - The company attributes its performance growth to the increase in precious metal prices and a recovery in zinc smelting processing fees, alongside enhanced operational efficiency through refined management practices [1]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The lead and zinc business of Zhuhai Group is currently in a recovery phase, with an expected increase in processing fees and improved supply-demand dynamics for zinc concentrate [2]. - The average processing fee for domestic zinc concentrate in the first quarter of 2025 was 4,463 yuan per ton, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 937 yuan per ton [2]. - The prices of gold and silver are expected to continue rising, supported by global geopolitical tensions and central bank purchasing trends, with gold prices increasing nearly 30% this year following a 27% rise last year [2][3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Institutions remain optimistic about the upward trend in precious metal prices, which is expected to support the performance of related companies [3]. - Recent dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding potential interest rate cuts are anticipated to bolster gold prices [3]. - Silver, with its dual industrial and financial attributes, is expected to see increased demand, particularly from the photovoltaic sector, leading to a favorable supply-demand balance [3].